Horgan

Career Overview

Total luck in wins
-0.53
Cumulative luck
-6.5
Lucky / unlucky weeks
20 / 21
Mean all-play rate
51.2%

Season history

SeasonTeamThroughRecordExpected winsLuck pointsLucky / unlucky
2026Notorious TMP72–51.769+2.51 / 0
2025Notorious TMP146–86.769-1.51 / 2
2024Notorious TMP147–77.462-2.01 / 1
2023Tickle My Pickles148–67.000-2.53 / 2
2022Tickle My Pickles145–92.769+12.04 / 0
2021Tickle My Pickles143–115.077-4.00 / 2
2020Tickle My Pickles1310–39.7310.02 / 2
2019Tickle My Pickles138–58.385-2.50 / 1
2018Tickle My Pickles139–410.231-6.50 / 3
2017Tickle My Pickles1312–19.818+0.51 / 0
2016This Commish is Ass137–67.545-3.01 / 3
2015The Birds of War134–94.182+1.52 / 1
2014The Birds of War139–48.0910.02 / 2
2013The Birds of War138–56.636+1.01 / 1
2012BurrestedDevelopment133–103.818-2.01 / 1

Nemesis

Nevans2–7 in 9 games

Outscored by 169.75 points, with -0.46 luck wins. Last met in 2025 week 14 and lost 106.48–159.12.

Open last meeting

Has Their Number

Adam11–3 in 14 games

Outscored them by 307.30 points, with -0.09 luck wins. Last met in 2026 week 7 and won 147.65–90.43.

Open last meeting
OpponentRecordGamesPFPAMarginLuck winsEvidence
Adam11–3141842.441535.14+307.30-0.09
14 games
Big Hut8–7151834.281623.42+210.86-0.27
15 games
Miller8–7151849.701861.14-11.44+0.06
15 games
j-mart10–7171947.341908.45+38.89+0.05
17 games
Joe Shore7–7141754.611746.27+8.34-0.24
14 games
Krajcik9–4131592.001462.50+129.50+0.20
13 games
Josh8–8161945.631825.86+119.77+0.06
16 games
Kev6–10161841.971958.10-116.13-0.49
16 games
Martin8–8161859.241820.04+39.20+0.34
16 games
Demich10–5151710.901608.72+102.18+0.21
15 games
Niz5–38978.18979.75-1.57+0.42
8 games
Nevans2–791158.141327.89-169.75-0.46
9 games
Fischer7–9162039.191842.26+196.93-0.31
16 games

Postseason head-to-head

OpponentRecordGamesPFPAEvidence
Adam0–11111.53121.38
1 game
Big Hut1–23335.54396.10
3 games
Miller2–24642.88636.70
4 games
j-mart0–22155.85232.32
2 games
Joe Shore4–15641.36601.80
5 games
Krajcik1–12272.20221.11
2 games
Kev1–01121.90118.27
1 game
Martin1–01116.79104.87
1 game
Demich3–14522.31409.68
4 games
Niz0–11129.93172.39
1 game
Nevans1–12255.66281.72
2 games
Fischer0–22192.38235.96
2 games

Player Data

SeasonBench points leftBench evidenceCarried leaderShareCarry evidenceFinal BossDamageBoss evidence
202633.90; 0 avoidable losses
7 weeks
  • W1: 14.70 left
  • W2: 17.50 left
  • W3: 0.00 left
  • W4: 0.00 left
  • W5: 1.70 left
  • W6: 0.00 left
  • W7: 0.00 left
Tony Pollard12.6%
7 weeks
  • W1: Justin Jefferson 28.0%
  • W2: DeVonta Smith 34.4%
  • W3: Tony Pollard 16.5%
  • W4: Emanuel Wilson 27.2%
  • W5: Justin Jefferson 18.1%
  • W6: DeVonta Smith 24.6%
  • W7: Tony Pollard 26.1%
Drake Maye144.10
5 weeks
  • W2: Dak Prescott +4.27
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W4: Lamar Jackson +12.25
  • W5: Drake Maye +30.88
  • W6: Brock Purdy +11.86
2025240.36; 4 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 22.10 left
  • W2: 11.10 left
  • W3: 18.84 left
  • W4: 33.18 left
  • W5: 22.48 left
  • W6: 10.80 left
  • W7: 8.36 left
  • W8: 16.42 left
  • W9: 19.60 left
  • W10: 3.16 left
  • W11: 18.60 left
  • W12: 11.64 left
  • W13: 37.02 left
  • W14: 7.06 left
A.J. Brown11.9%
14 weeks
  • W1: Zay Flowers 24.9%
  • W2: Malik Nabers 31.0%
  • W3: A.J. Brown 22.7%
  • W4: Quinshon Judkins 21.7%
  • W5: Kendrick Bourne 24.3%
  • W6: Patrick Mahomes 26.7%
  • W7: A.J. Brown 19.2%
  • W8: Michael Pittman Jr. 19.8%
  • W9: Michael Pittman Jr. 21.8%
  • W10: Aaron Jones Sr. 20.1%
  • W11: Greg Dortch 26.8%
  • W12: A.J. Brown 21.0%
  • W13: A.J. Brown 32.7%
  • W14: Zay Flowers 21.2%
Josh Allen176.47
8 weeks
  • W1: Josh Allen +22.27
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W4: Bijan Robinson +14.12
  • W9: DJ Moore +15.48
  • W10: No single-player flip
  • W11: George Pickens +6.90
  • W13: Davante Adams +14.37
  • W14: No single-player flip
2024157.16; 1 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 5.50 left
  • W2: 13.40 left
  • W3: 32.40 left
  • W4: 11.50 left
  • W5: 19.62 left
  • W6: 30.30 left
  • W7: 8.60 left
  • W8: 0.00 left
  • W9: 5.22 left
  • W10: 4.30 left
  • W11: 4.34 left
  • W12: 12.90 left
  • W13: 5.60 left
  • W14: 3.48 left
Bijan Robinson14.9%
14 weeks
  • W1: Rhamondre Stevenson 20.1%
  • W2: Malik Nabers 26.1%
  • W3: Dak Prescott 26.1%
  • W4: Malik Nabers 19.5%
  • W5: Mike Evans 19.7%
  • W6: Bijan Robinson 18.7%
  • W7: Bijan Robinson 28.8%
  • W8: Bijan Robinson 16.9%
  • W9: Zay Flowers 18.9%
  • W10: Bijan Robinson 34.0%
  • W11: Tua Tagovailoa 25.0%
  • W12: Tua Tagovailoa 29.5%
  • W13: Mike Evans 18.4%
  • W14: Tua Tagovailoa 21.5%
Ja'Marr Chase202.79
7 weeks
  • W1: Tyreek Hill +10.43
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W5: DJ Moore +19.42
  • W7: Jahmyr Gibbs +12.68
  • W10: Ja'Marr Chase +43.93
  • W11: Jerry Jeudy +23.79
  • W14: Tyreek Hill +3.17
2023173.54; 3 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 7.60 left
  • W2: 23.50 left
  • W3: 0.00 left
  • W4: 5.50 left
  • W5: 32.10 left
  • W6: 5.00 left
  • W7: 5.30 left
  • W8: 14.20 left
  • W9: 11.60 left
  • W10: 25.92 left
  • W11: 8.50 left
  • W12: 11.72 left
  • W13: 10.10 left
  • W14: 12.50 left
Josh Allen19.7%
14 weeks
  • W1: Amon-Ra St. Brown 20.9%
  • W2: George Pickens 21.6%
  • W3: Zack Moss 17.2%
  • W4: Josh Allen 31.9%
  • W5: Josh Allen 25.9%
  • W6: Amon-Ra St. Brown 25.5%
  • W7: Amon-Ra St. Brown 22.6%
  • W8: Josh Allen 23.7%
  • W9: Noah Brown 25.5%
  • W10: Amon-Ra St. Brown 29.4%
  • W11: Josh Allen 24.6%
  • W12: Josh Allen 36.7%
  • W13: Evan Engram 25.3%
  • W14: Evan Engram 26.4%
Keenan Allen315.30
6 weeks
  • W2: Bijan Robinson +17.42
  • W3: Keenan Allen +26.75
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W6: Kyren Williams +23.21
  • W11: No single-player flip
  • W13: Trevor Lawrence +23.72
2022174.98; 1 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 17.40 left
  • W2: 0.00 left
  • W3: 13.40 left
  • W4: 10.50 left
  • W5: 18.40 left
  • W6: 9.00 left
  • W7: 22.40 left
  • W8: 37.06 left
  • W9: 1.10 left
  • W10: 8.70 left
  • W11: 1.70 left
  • W12: 14.70 left
  • W13: 19.92 left
  • W14: 0.70 left
Najee Harris12.6%
14 weeks
  • W1: Kareem Hunt 25.3%
  • W2: Carson Wentz 27.9%
  • W3: Russell Gage Jr. 25.6%
  • W4: Tom Brady 29.9%
  • W5: Tom Brady 24.8%
  • W6: Chris Godwin Jr. 23.1%
  • W7: Tom Brady 18.4%
  • W8: Chris Godwin Jr. 20.1%
  • W9: Kenyan Drake 31.6%
  • W10: Chris Godwin Jr. 23.8%
  • W11: Najee Harris 23.0%
  • W12: Chris Godwin Jr. 26.6%
  • W13: AJ Dillon 20.7%
  • W14: Keenan Allen 23.1%
Josh Allen44.88
9 weeks
  • W1: Josh Allen +22.48
  • W4: No single-player flip
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W7: No single-player flip
  • W8: No single-player flip
  • W9: No single-player flip
  • W10: No single-player flip
  • W12: No single-player flip
2021205.00; 5 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 0.40 left
  • W2: 6.22 left
  • W3: 19.50 left
  • W4: 8.00 left
  • W5: 18.20 left
  • W6: 0.18 left
  • W7: 7.40 left
  • W8: 28.20 left
  • W9: 8.60 left
  • W10: 53.70 left
  • W11: 19.80 left
  • W12: 0.00 left
  • W13: 9.10 left
  • W14: 25.70 left
Lamar Jackson15.1%
14 weeks
  • W1: Amari Cooper 31.2%
  • W2: Lamar Jackson 32.4%
  • W3: Saints 20.2%
  • W4: Saquon Barkley 20.9%
  • W5: Lamar Jackson 36.9%
  • W6: Jaylen Waddle 20.3%
  • W7: Lamar Jackson 21.9%
  • W8: Devontae Booker 18.3%
  • W9: Lamar Jackson 27.5%
  • W10: Stefon Diggs 31.3%
  • W11: Jaylen Waddle 20.0%
  • W12: Jaylen Waddle 23.0%
  • W13: Deonte Harty 15.9%
  • W14: Chiefs 23.9%
Tyreek Hill222.52
11 weeks
  • W1: Tyreek Hill +20.23
  • W2: Jalen Hurts +3.30
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W5: Dak Prescott +9.97
  • W6: Cooper Kupp +21.12
  • W7: Mike Evans +15.37
  • W8: Robert Woods +7.98
  • W9: Nick Chubb +9.71
  • W10: CeeDee Lamb +12.75
  • W11: Keenan Allen +3.98
  • W14: Justin Herbert +16.02
202092.46; 0 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 18.44 left
  • W2: 1.30 left
  • W3: 0.90 left
  • W4: 4.00 left
  • W5: 7.36 left
  • W6: 5.00 left
  • W7: 6.10 left
  • W8: 0.00 left
  • W9: 12.50 left
  • W10: 19.80 left
  • W11: 0.00 left
  • W12: 14.16 left
  • W13: 2.90 left
Kyler Murray16.2%
13 weeks
  • W1: Kyler Murray 18.0%
  • W2: Kyler Murray 18.9%
  • W3: Rex Burkhead 24.2%
  • W4: Dalvin Cook 17.4%
  • W5: Kyler Murray 15.5%
  • W6: Kyler Murray 20.3%
  • W7: Kyler Murray 24.5%
  • W8: Dalvin Cook 42.7%
  • W9: Dalvin Cook 24.2%
  • W10: Kyler Murray 19.4%
  • W11: Dalvin Cook 16.7%
  • W12: Wayne Gallman 17.6%
  • W13: Dalvin Cook 22.4%
Justin Jefferson77.64
3 weeks
  • W1: Calvin Ridley +11.56, Josh Jacobs +11.56
  • W6: Justin Jefferson +24.72
  • W13: No single-player flip
2019186.26; 1 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 3.90 left
  • W2: 16.64 left
  • W3: 9.80 left
  • W4: 13.30 left
  • W5: 26.06 left
  • W6: 35.88 left
  • W7: 21.34 left
  • W8: 6.30 left
  • W9: 19.60 left
  • W10: 14.30 left
  • W11: 1.64 left
  • W12: 0.10 left
  • W13: 17.40 left
Patrick Mahomes12.8%
13 weeks
  • W1: DeAndre Hopkins 19.0%
  • W2: Patrick Mahomes 26.8%
  • W3: Keenan Allen 25.4%
  • W4: Patrick Mahomes 26.8%
  • W5: Matt Breida 21.6%
  • W6: Julian Edelman 20.7%
  • W7: Darren Waller 23.5%
  • W8: Julian Edelman 18.3%
  • W9: DeAndre Hopkins 17.8%
  • W10: Patrick Mahomes 24.6%
  • W11: Michael Gallup 17.9%
  • W12: DeAndre Hopkins 19.9%
  • W13: Derrius Guice 20.1%
Christian McCaffrey133.35
5 weeks
  • W4: No single-player flip
  • W5: Aaron Jones Sr. +18.83
  • W6: Nick Chubb +8.75
  • W8: Christian McCaffrey +21.47
  • W9: Zach Ertz +3.56
2018165.22; 0 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 8.40 left
  • W2: 9.80 left
  • W3: 35.10 left
  • W4: 0.00 left
  • W5: 17.26 left
  • W6: 6.20 left
  • W7: 3.56 left
  • W8: 58.72 left
  • W9: 4.70 left
  • W10: 5.70 left
  • W11: 0.60 left
  • W12: 0.00 left
  • W13: 15.18 left
Todd Gurley15.8%
13 weeks
  • W1: Tyreek Hill 21.8%
  • W2: Todd Gurley 20.4%
  • W3: Cam Newton 23.1%
  • W4: James White 17.0%
  • W5: James Conner 21.3%
  • W6: Tyreek Hill 18.6%
  • W7: Todd Gurley 16.3%
  • W8: James Conner 23.3%
  • W9: James Conner 19.2%
  • W10: Tyreek Hill 24.6%
  • W11: Tyreek Hill 30.4%
  • W12: Cam Newton 18.0%
  • W13: Todd Gurley 23.0%
Patrick Mahomes132.09
4 weeks
  • W2: Keelan Cole Sr. +7.76
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W11: Patrick Mahomes +33.38
  • W12: Kenyan Drake +2.66
2017239.20; 0 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 18.66 left
  • W2: 17.46 left
  • W3: 36.40 left
  • W4: 31.84 left
  • W5: 10.70 left
  • W6: 11.50 left
  • W7: 9.80 left
  • W8: 28.44 left
  • W9: 15.02 left
  • W10: 11.30 left
  • W11: 9.40 left
  • W12: 0.20 left
  • W13: 38.48 left
Tom Brady14.9%
13 weeks
  • W1: Rams 23.9%
  • W2: Tom Brady 21.1%
  • W3: Tom Brady 25.8%
  • W4: Le'Veon Bell 30.3%
  • W5: Will Fuller V 16.9%
  • W6: Le'Veon Bell 19.2%
  • W7: Amari Cooper 27.1%
  • W8: Tom Brady 18.1%
  • W9: Matthew Stafford 19.9%
  • W10: Tom Brady 21.1%
  • W11: Tom Brady 25.9%
  • W12: Zach Ertz 15.4%
  • W13: Tyreek Hill 26.3%
No single-player result flip0.00
1 week
  • W11: No single-player flip
2016138.28; 1 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 1.80 left
  • W2: 14.14 left
  • W3: 11.36 left
  • W4: 13.00 left
  • W5: 0.00 left
  • W6: 32.76 left
  • W7: 15.80 left
  • W8: 0.00 left
  • W9: 0.00 left
  • W10: 0.00 left
  • W11: 3.60 left
  • W12: 33.04 left
  • W13: 12.78 left
Aaron Rodgers17.7%
13 weeks
  • W1: Spencer Ware 22.5%
  • W2: Aaron Rodgers 18.6%
  • W3: Aaron Rodgers 16.3%
  • W4: Kirk Cousins 19.1%
  • W5: Bills 20.7%
  • W6: Terrelle Pryor Sr. 22.1%
  • W7: LeGarrette Blount 21.3%
  • W8: Aaron Rodgers 23.1%
  • W9: Aaron Rodgers 21.3%
  • W10: Aaron Rodgers 24.6%
  • W11: Aaron Rodgers 23.0%
  • W12: Aaron Rodgers 18.1%
  • W13: Travis Kelce 16.5%
David Johnson117.79
6 weeks
  • W1: C.J. Anderson +4.31
  • W2: No single-player flip
  • W4: No single-player flip
  • W5: Jordan Howard +8.16
  • W10: Russell Wilson +17.10
  • W13: David Johnson +21.94
2015239.28; 4 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 17.80 left
  • W2: 34.80 left
  • W3: 32.38 left
  • W4: 1.00 left
  • W5: 11.70 left
  • W6: 23.20 left
  • W7: 1.20 left
  • W8: 7.70 left
  • W9: 23.10 left
  • W10: 9.16 left
  • W11: 20.00 left
  • W12: 28.94 left
  • W13: 28.30 left
Brandon Marshall12.0%
13 weeks
  • W1: Panthers 25.4%
  • W2: Demaryius Thomas 24.4%
  • W3: A.J. Green 35.4%
  • W4: Brandon Marshall 17.7%
  • W5: Thomas Rawls 25.2%
  • W6: LeGarrette Blount 19.7%
  • W7: Nate Washington 29.9%
  • W8: Demaryius Thomas 20.4%
  • W9: LeGarrette Blount 26.0%
  • W10: Matt Jones 24.4%
  • W11: Mason Crosby 22.9%
  • W12: Brandon Marshall 27.6%
  • W13: Tyrod Taylor 27.2%
Drew Brees201.97
9 weeks
  • W1: No single-player flip
  • W2: Brandon Marshall +9.40
  • W4: Blake Bortles +6.05
  • W5: Tyler Eifert +17.35
  • W7: No single-player flip
  • W8: Drew Brees +21.32
  • W9: No single-player flip
  • W11: Matthew Stafford +20.19
  • W13: Javorius Allen +9.65
2014166.54; 2 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 25.40 left
  • W2: 21.40 left
  • W3: 8.70 left
  • W4: 5.80 left
  • W5: 33.10 left
  • W6: 12.10 left
  • W7: 12.60 left
  • W8: 4.20 left
  • W9: 0.00 left
  • W10: 0.00 left
  • W11: 8.64 left
  • W12: 2.80 left
  • W13: 31.80 left
Demaryius Thomas15.2%
13 weeks
  • W1: Matt Ryan 27.0%
  • W2: Demaryius Thomas 16.7%
  • W3: Marshawn Lynch 22.9%
  • W4: Reggie Wayne 19.1%
  • W5: Demaryius Thomas 26.0%
  • W6: Demaryius Thomas 20.6%
  • W7: Demaryius Thomas 28.0%
  • W8: Rob Gronkowski 28.4%
  • W9: Marshawn Lynch 21.7%
  • W10: Marshawn Lynch 33.4%
  • W11: Alfred Blue 15.1%
  • W12: Demaryius Thomas 27.6%
  • W13: Matt Ryan 18.2%
DeAndre Hopkins159.63
4 weeks
  • W10: Dez Bryant +17.98
  • W11: Jeremy Hill +17.42
  • W12: No single-player flip
  • W13: DeAndre Hopkins +27.91
2013239.33; 2 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 14.10 left
  • W2: 43.10 left
  • W3: 24.93 left
  • W4: 36.40 left
  • W5: 12.20 left
  • W6: 17.72 left
  • W7: 26.76 left
  • W8: 8.60 left
  • W9: 11.82 left
  • W10: 19.60 left
  • W11: 18.00 left
  • W12: 1.68 left
  • W13: 4.42 left
Andre Johnson13.0%
13 weeks
  • W1: Colin Kaepernick 24.1%
  • W2: Patriots 18.8%
  • W3: Frank Gore 17.5%
  • W4: Frank Gore 17.3%
  • W5: Terrance Williams 19.4%
  • W6: Chiefs 23.6%
  • W7: Frank Gore 17.8%
  • W8: Colin Kaepernick 26.3%
  • W9: Andre Johnson 36.4%
  • W10: Stephen Hauschka 18.5%
  • W11: Ray Rice 20.7%
  • W12: Josh Gordon 45.1%
  • W13: Josh Gordon 30.1%
Kendall Wright55.74
5 weeks
  • W2: No single-player flip
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W4: Jimmy Graham +4.95
  • W8: Reggie Bush +8.63
  • W12: Kendall Wright +11.06
2012309.95; 6 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 13.38 left
  • W2: 39.46 left
  • W3: 28.30 left
  • W4: 48.20 left
  • W5: 27.22 left
  • W6: 38.20 left
  • W7: 0.00 left
  • W8: 11.30 left
  • W9: 14.10 left
  • W10: 16.20 left
  • W11: 18.04 left
  • W12: 32.70 left
  • W13: 22.85 left
Michael Turner10.2%
13 weeks
  • W1: Jets 18.6%
  • W2: DeSean Jackson 24.5%
  • W3: Andre Brown 19.8%
  • W4: Michael Turner 21.6%
  • W5: Rashard Mendenhall 20.1%
  • W6: Michael Vick 23.9%
  • W7: Josh Freeman 27.3%
  • W8: Josh Freeman 23.7%
  • W9: DeSean Jackson 14.5%
  • W10: Broncos 27.6%
  • W11: Carson Palmer 25.0%
  • W12: Colin Kaepernick 30.6%
  • W13: Jason Hanson 17.7%
Aaron Rodgers245.82
10 weeks
  • W1: Julio Jones +10.88
  • W2: No single-player flip
  • W4: Aaron Rodgers +26.69
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W6: Ray Rice +2.82
  • W8: Titus Young +21.85
  • W9: Brandon Marshall +13.73
  • W11: No single-player flip
  • W12: No single-player flip
  • W13: Heath Miller +13.92