Nevans

Career Overview

Total luck in wins
+0.12
Cumulative luck
+1.5
Lucky / unlucky weeks
14 / 13
Mean all-play rate
53.6%

Season history

SeasonTeamThroughRecordExpected winsLuck pointsLucky / unlucky
2026Fuck Jack Doyle74–34.769-1.50 / 1
2025Fuck Jack Doyle147–76.615+4.53 / 2
2024Fuck Jack Doyle149–59.154-4.01 / 1
2023Fuck Jack Doyle149–56.615+3.52 / 1
2022Fuck Jack Doyle148–68.154+1.01 / 3
2021Fuck Jack Doyle144–105.000-0.52 / 1
2020Fuck Jack Doyle139–47.500+1.03 / 1
2019Nick's Nice Team139–48.308-1.01 / 1
2018Nick's Nice Team136–76.077-1.51 / 2

Nemesis

Big Hut2–6 in 8 games

Outscored by 65.55 points, with -0.42 luck wins. Last met in 2025 week 2 and lost 104.15–126.71.

Open last meeting

Has Their Number

Horgan7–2 in 9 games

Outscored them by 169.75 points, with -0.19 luck wins. Last met in 2025 week 14 and won 159.12–106.48.

Open last meeting
OpponentRecordGamesPFPAMarginLuck winsEvidence
Adam3–691071.801186.69-114.89-0.19
9 games
Big Hut2–68990.131055.68-65.55-0.42
8 games
Miller6–391124.291094.40+29.89-0.31
9 games
j-mart3–691085.751127.07-41.32-0.23
9 games
Joe Shore5–381029.92992.33+37.590.00
8 games
Krajcik4–48926.13949.71-23.58+0.27
8 games
Josh5–491036.101026.12+9.98+0.31
9 games
Kev5–491214.371077.49+136.88-0.04
9 games
Martin8–3111343.751290.10+53.65+0.65
11 games
Demich4–591135.051093.76+41.29-0.42
9 games
Horgan7–291327.891158.14+169.75-0.19
9 games
Niz7–291187.081120.42+66.66+0.12
9 games
Fischer6–391019.33981.33+38.00+0.58
9 games

Postseason head-to-head

OpponentRecordGamesPFPAEvidence
Adam0–1188.15106.37
1 game
Big Hut0–22213.63300.69
2 games
Miller0–11141.66179.57
1 game
Joe Shore1–01152.30110.62
1 game
Josh1–01112.48112.41
1 game
Demich1–12269.38239.61
2 games
Horgan1–12281.72255.66
2 games
Niz2–24488.92413.90
4 games
Fischer0–22221.73252.09
2 games

Player Data

SeasonBench points leftBench evidenceCarried leaderShareCarry evidenceFinal BossDamageBoss evidence
202693.12; 1 avoidable losses
7 weeks
  • W1: 10.20 left
  • W2: 8.82 left
  • W3: 5.50 left
  • W4: 27.40 left
  • W5: 9.10 left
  • W6: 24.50 left
  • W7: 7.60 left
Josh Allen18.3%
7 weeks
  • W1: Josh Allen 26.4%
  • W2: Josh Allen 29.2%
  • W3: CeeDee Lamb 23.0%
  • W4: CeeDee Lamb 33.1%
  • W5: Bucky Irving 20.1%
  • W6: Josh Allen 19.1%
  • W7: Bucky Irving 19.9%
Jayden Daniels47.31
3 weeks
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W4: Tetairoa McMillan +13.12
  • W6: Jayden Daniels +13.90
2025136.70; 1 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 32.00 left
  • W2: 11.50 left
  • W3: 3.10 left
  • W4: 3.70 left
  • W5: 0.00 left
  • W6: 6.70 left
  • W7: 0.00 left
  • W8: 0.00 left
  • W9: 0.00 left
  • W10: 7.40 left
  • W11: 38.60 left
  • W12: 5.00 left
  • W13: 17.10 left
  • W14: 11.60 left
Josh Allen19.6%
14 weeks
  • W1: Josh Allen 29.2%
  • W2: Javonte Williams 24.0%
  • W3: Garrett Wilson 19.1%
  • W4: Ashton Jeanty 19.9%
  • W5: Javonte Williams 23.7%
  • W6: Ashton Jeanty 25.5%
  • W7: Xavier Legette 24.5%
  • W8: Josh Allen 23.3%
  • W9: Josh Allen 31.1%
  • W10: Josh Allen 21.7%
  • W11: Josh Allen 34.8%
  • W12: Ashton Jeanty 23.8%
  • W13: Javonte Williams 17.7%
  • W14: Michael Wilson 24.6%
Tetairoa McMillan115.00
7 weeks
  • W2: James Cook III +5.94
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W6: D'Andre Swift +5.01
  • W8: Breece Hall +18.39
  • W10: Drake London +11.98
  • W11: Tetairoa McMillan +22.52
  • W13: Bijan Robinson +9.15
2024107.87; 1 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 10.20 left
  • W2: 16.26 left
  • W3: 20.98 left
  • W4: 11.00 left
  • W5: 0.00 left
  • W6: 3.00 left
  • W7: 10.77 left
  • W8: 11.12 left
  • W9: 11.64 left
  • W10: 0.00 left
  • W11: 0.00 left
  • W12: 0.00 left
  • W13: 12.90 left
  • W14: 0.00 left
Saquon Barkley17.1%
14 weeks
  • W1: Saquon Barkley 32.0%
  • W2: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 22.9%
  • W3: Saquon Barkley 21.0%
  • W4: Derrick Henry 25.6%
  • W5: Brandon Aiyuk 20.3%
  • W6: Derrick Henry 20.6%
  • W7: Saquon Barkley 22.0%
  • W8: Najee Harris 16.0%
  • W9: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 24.4%
  • W10: Rashod Bateman 18.3%
  • W11: Jared Goff 22.1%
  • W12: Saquon Barkley 32.4%
  • W13: Saquon Barkley 19.3%
  • W14: Davante Adams 20.4%
Zach Charbonnet195.38
5 weeks
  • W7: Tank Bigsby +17.37
  • W8: No single-player flip
  • W10: Travis Kelce +3.63
  • W13: No single-player flip
  • W14: Zach Charbonnet +38.83
2023148.46; 3 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 0.10 left
  • W2: 0.00 left
  • W3: 18.00 left
  • W4: 6.10 left
  • W5: 16.18 left
  • W6: 18.50 left
  • W7: 0.00 left
  • W8: 14.56 left
  • W9: 13.50 left
  • W10: 27.00 left
  • W11: 11.00 left
  • W12: 0.00 left
  • W13: 8.60 left
  • W14: 14.92 left
C.J. Stroud14.1%
14 weeks
  • W1: Bijan Robinson 22.6%
  • W2: Bijan Robinson 19.3%
  • W3: Deebo Samuel Sr. 24.5%
  • W4: C.J. Stroud 20.8%
  • W5: C.J. Stroud 18.4%
  • W6: C.J. Stroud 18.0%
  • W7: Gus Edwards 22.3%
  • W8: Gus Edwards 22.2%
  • W9: C.J. Stroud 34.9%
  • W10: C.J. Stroud 19.1%
  • W11: Joe Mixon 18.2%, Gus Edwards 18.2%
  • W12: C.J. Stroud 23.9%
  • W13: Deebo Samuel Sr. 30.1%
  • W14: Deebo Samuel Sr. 28.8%
Brock Purdy131.93
5 weeks
  • W3: Lamar Jackson +12.54
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W6: Rhamondre Stevenson +2.51
  • W7: A.J. Brown +13.06
  • W11: Brock Purdy +24.27
2022137.69; 0 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 13.80 left
  • W2: 4.40 left
  • W3: 28.00 left
  • W4: 10.20 left
  • W5: 0.00 left
  • W6: 5.80 left
  • W7: 5.50 left
  • W8: 34.34 left
  • W9: 0.00 left
  • W10: 5.74 left
  • W11: 0.00 left
  • W12: 7.75 left
  • W13: 16.86 left
  • W14: 5.30 left
Nick Chubb14.1%
14 weeks
  • W1: Nick Chubb 19.4%
  • W2: Aaron Jones Sr. 20.8%
  • W3: Rhamondre Stevenson 15.1%
  • W4: T.J. Hockenson 28.8%
  • W5: Nick Chubb 23.5%
  • W6: Rhamondre Stevenson 28.9%
  • W7: Aaron Jones Sr. 22.4%
  • W8: Nick Chubb 20.1%
  • W9: Garrett Wilson 16.5%
  • W10: Aaron Jones Sr. 19.2%
  • W11: Aaron Rodgers 20.3%
  • W12: Garrett Wilson 17.1%
  • W13: Terry McLaurin 22.4%
  • W14: Adam Thielen 26.6%
Austin Ekeler142.60
6 weeks
  • W1: No single-player flip
  • W5: Austin Ekeler +28.59
  • W9: Kenneth Walker +0.69
  • W11: Patrick Mahomes +21.28
  • W13: Tyler Lockett +10.98
  • W14: Geno Smith +8.35
2021117.28; 1 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 24.40 left
  • W2: 4.00 left
  • W3: 4.90 left
  • W4: 0.00 left
  • W5: 11.91 left
  • W6: 7.92 left
  • W7: 0.00 left
  • W8: 20.23 left
  • W9: 13.90 left
  • W10: 5.48 left
  • W11: 7.70 left
  • W12: 6.50 left
  • W13: 10.34 left
  • W14: 0.00 left
Josh Allen19.2%
14 weeks
  • W1: Nick Chubb 21.2%
  • W2: Bills 18.1%
  • W3: Josh Allen 31.5%
  • W4: David Montgomery 16.0%
  • W5: Josh Allen 30.3%
  • W6: Josh Allen 26.9%
  • W7: A.J. Brown 24.4%
  • W8: A.J. Brown 24.3%
  • W9: Nick Chubb 23.1%
  • W10: Josh Allen 29.2%
  • W11: Elijah Moore 27.5%
  • W12: Josh Allen 26.9%
  • W13: David Montgomery 26.8%
  • W14: Josh Allen 34.2%
Tyreek Hill379.35
10 weeks
  • W1: No single-player flip
  • W2: Tom Brady +22.06
  • W4: Tyreek Hill +47.28
  • W6: Leonard Fournette +28.15
  • W7: Ja'Marr Chase +15.66
  • W10: No single-player flip
  • W11: Zach Ertz +10.57
  • W12: No single-player flip
  • W13: Tee Higgins +8.32
  • W14: Davante Adams +17.13
2020206.52; 3 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 15.60 left
  • W2: 9.50 left
  • W3: 16.70 left
  • W4: 13.60 left
  • W5: 24.70 left
  • W6: 9.96 left
  • W7: 47.80 left
  • W8: 5.90 left
  • W9: 5.80 left
  • W10: 9.80 left
  • W11: 2.00 left
  • W12: 28.70 left
  • W13: 16.46 left
Patrick Mahomes18.5%
13 weeks
  • W1: DeAndre Hopkins 20.4%
  • W2: Stefon Diggs 19.3%
  • W3: Patrick Mahomes 29.2%
  • W4: Patrick Mahomes 15.7%
  • W5: Patrick Mahomes 20.8%
  • W6: Brandin Cooks 19.8%
  • W7: Chiefs 19.4%
  • W8: Patrick Mahomes 27.0%
  • W9: Patrick Mahomes 28.8%
  • W10: DeAndre Hopkins 18.9%
  • W11: Patrick Mahomes 21.3%
  • W12: Patrick Mahomes 28.2%
  • W13: Patrick Mahomes 15.1%
Jakobi Meyers170.14
4 weeks
  • W7: Kyler Murray +15.81
  • W9: Jakobi Meyers +28.18
  • W11: No single-player flip
  • W13: Derek Carr +24.13
2019219.60; 2 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 13.40 left
  • W2: 45.94 left
  • W3: 0.00 left
  • W4: 8.10 left
  • W5: 6.04 left
  • W6: 26.50 left
  • W7: 27.00 left
  • W8: 9.50 left
  • W9: 9.75 left
  • W10: 9.84 left
  • W11: 8.65 left
  • W12: 33.02 left
  • W13: 21.86 left
Michael Thomas16.1%
13 weeks
  • W1: Carson Wentz 21.7%
  • W2: Michael Thomas 16.9%
  • W3: Tyler Lockett 21.6%
  • W4: Jarvis Landry 20.2%
  • W5: Aaron Jones Sr. 30.0%
  • W6: Carson Wentz 19.4%
  • W7: Michael Thomas 18.9%
  • W8: Aaron Jones Sr. 28.6%
  • W9: Tyler Lockett 26.9%
  • W10: Michael Thomas 17.2%
  • W11: Jimmy Garoppolo 22.3%
  • W12: Jarvis Landry 31.7%
  • W13: Carson Wentz 28.2%
Kirk Cousins102.30
4 weeks
  • W1: No single-player flip
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W7: Kirk Cousins +19.55
  • W13: Christian McCaffrey +11.80
2018168.54; 1 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 27.90 left
  • W2: 0.90 left
  • W3: 17.78 left
  • W4: 26.40 left
  • W5: 22.78 left
  • W6: 16.88 left
  • W7: 0.20 left
  • W8: 20.40 left
  • W9: 5.00 left
  • W10: 9.80 left
  • W11: 8.00 left
  • W12: 10.10 left
  • W13: 2.40 left
Deshaun Watson14.4%
13 weeks
  • W1: Isaiah Crowell 19.6%
  • W2: JuJu Smith-Schuster 19.2%
  • W3: Deshaun Watson 20.1%
  • W4: Deshaun Watson 23.2%
  • W5: Isaiah Crowell 23.4%
  • W6: JuJu Smith-Schuster 17.5%
  • W7: A.J. Green 18.1%
  • W8: Deshaun Watson 29.2%
  • W9: Duke Johnson 21.2%
  • W10: Brandin Cooks 21.7%
  • W11: Leonard Fournette 21.4%
  • W12: JuJu Smith-Schuster 27.3%
  • W13: Deshaun Watson 16.7%
Carson Wentz260.23
7 weeks
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W7: Saquon Barkley +20.67
  • W8: Carson Wentz +22.53
  • W9: James Conner +7.80
  • W10: Russell Wilson +14.67
  • W11: Stefon Diggs +13.00
  • W13: Patrick Mahomes +10.21