2020 week 8 · Luck Factor

Regular

Oct 27 – Nov 2, 2020

j-mart

83.56

Rank 14; 0.0 luck points

Adam

101.07

Rank 11; +3.5 luck points

j-mart lineup

Tinker Failures: 4.52 points left. Optimal 88.08 vs. actual 83.56.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Baker Mayfield	7.78	Baker Mayfield	7.78
WR	Mike Evans	16.50	Golden Tate	11.82
WR	Tyler Lockett	7.30	Mike Evans	16.50
RB	Jerick McKinnon	14.30	Jerick McKinnon	14.30
RB	Mike Davis	8.70	Mike Davis	8.70
TE	Darren Waller	7.70	Darren Waller	7.70
W/R/T	Jarvis Landry	9.20	Jarvis Landry	9.20
W/R/T	Deonte Harty	8.44	Deonte Harty	8.44
K	Jake Elliott	1.00	Jake Elliott	1.00
DEF	Chargers	2.64	Chargers	2.64

Carried by One Guy: Mike Evans, 16.50 points (19.7% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Corey Davis scored 28.80; zeroing that score creates a win.

Adam lineup

Tinker Failures: 13.42 points left. Optimal 114.49 vs. actual 101.07.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jimmy Garoppolo	1.76	Jimmy Garoppolo	1.76
WR	Corey Davis	28.80	Corey Davis	28.80
WR	JuJu Smith-Schuster	13.70	JuJu Smith-Schuster	13.70
RB	Le'Veon Bell	6.80	Le'Veon Bell	6.80
RB	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	6.10	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	6.10
TE	Eric Ebron	14.80	Eric Ebron	14.80
W/R/T	Nelson Agholor	0.00	David Montgomery	12.50
W/R/T	David Montgomery	12.50	Preston Williams	3.50
K	Daniel Carlson	8.00	Daniel Carlson	8.00
DEF	Saints	8.61	Steelers	18.53

Carried by One Guy: Corey Davis, 28.80 points (28.5% of positive starter points).

Regular

Oct 27 – Nov 2, 2020

Martin

132.94

Rank 4; 0.0 luck points

Josh

94.48

Rank 12; 0.0 luck points

Martin lineup

Tinker Failures: 18.88 points left. Optimal 151.82 vs. actual 132.94.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Cam Newton	18.36	Cam Newton	18.36
WR	Keenan Allen	21.70	Keenan Allen	21.70
WR	A.J. Brown	12.40	A.J. Brown	12.40
RB	Derrick Henry	19.20	Derrick Henry	19.20
RB	J.K. Dobbins	15.10	J.K. Dobbins	15.10
TE	Noah Fant	11.70	Noah Fant	11.70
W/R/T	John Brown	3.10	Tyler Boyd	19.60
W/R/T	Tyler Boyd	19.60	Nyheim Miller-Hines	21.98
K	Younghoe Koo	10.00	Younghoe Koo	10.00
DEF	Bears	1.78	Bears	1.78

Carried by One Guy: Keenan Allen, 21.70 points (16.3% of positive starter points).

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 2.30 points left. Optimal 96.78 vs. actual 94.48.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Justin Herbert	21.22	Justin Herbert	21.22
WR	Kenny Golladay	0.00	Kenny Golladay	0.00
WR	Calvin Ridley	7.20	Calvin Ridley	7.20
RB	Josh Jacobs	14.90	Josh Jacobs	14.90
RB	La'Mical Perine	5.30	La'Mical Perine	5.30
TE	Jimmy Graham	3.30	Jared Cook	16.10
W/R/T	Jared Cook	16.10	Devontae Booker	5.60
W/R/T	Zack Moss	20.10	Zack Moss	20.10
K	Rodrigo Blankenship	1.00	Rodrigo Blankenship	1.00
DEF	Rams	5.36	Rams	5.36

Carried by One Guy: Justin Herbert, 21.22 points (22.5% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Regular

Oct 27 – Nov 2, 2020

Miller

85.70

Rank 13; 0.0 luck points

Niz

135.54

Rank 3; 0.0 luck points

Miller lineup

Tinker Failures: 15.88 points left. Optimal 101.58 vs. actual 85.70.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tom Brady	19.06	Tom Brady	19.06
WR	Hollywood Brown	7.30	Hollywood Brown	7.30
WR	Diontae Johnson	1.60	Chase Claypool	13.20
RB	Ezekiel Elliott	8.30	Ezekiel Elliott	8.30
RB	Jonathan Taylor	5.10	Tony Pollard	9.38
TE	Travis Kelce	26.90	Travis Kelce	26.90
W/R/T	D'Andre Swift	5.30	D'Andre Swift	5.30
W/R/T	Denzel Mims	6.20	Denzel Mims	6.20
K	Justin Tucker	8.00	Justin Tucker	8.00
DEF	49ers	-2.06	49ers	-2.06

Carried by One Guy: Travis Kelce, 26.90 points (30.7% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Niz lineup

Tinker Failures: 16.60 points left. Optimal 152.14 vs. actual 135.54.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Lamar Jackson	14.82	Lamar Jackson	14.82
WR	Adam Thielen	5.70	Adam Thielen	5.70
WR	Sterling Shepard	15.40	Sterling Shepard	15.40
RB	Alvin Kamara	25.30	Alvin Kamara	25.30
RB	Jamaal Williams	18.20	Jamaal Williams	18.20
TE	T.J. Hockenson	13.50	T.J. Hockenson	13.50
W/R/T	Cole Beasley	4.40	Mike Williams	21.00
W/R/T	Phillip Lindsay	15.60	Phillip Lindsay	15.60
K	Ryan Succop	15.00	Ryan Succop	15.00
DEF	Seahawks	7.62	Seahawks	7.62

Carried by One Guy: Alvin Kamara, 25.30 points (18.7% of positive starter points).

Regular

Oct 27 – Nov 2, 2020

Demich

131.25

Rank 5; 0.0 luck points

Big Hut

126.42

Rank 6; -1.5 luck points

Demich lineup

Tinker Failures: 10.50 points left. Optimal 141.75 vs. actual 131.25.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Teddy Bridgewater	12.04	Teddy Bridgewater	12.04
WR	CeeDee Lamb	8.68	Kendrick Bourne	16.10
WR	Justin Jefferson	5.60	CeeDee Lamb	8.68
RB	Melvin Gordon III	10.70	Melvin Gordon III	10.70
RB	Damien Harris	18.20	Damien Harris	18.20
TE	Jonnu Smith	4.90	Jonnu Smith	4.90
W/R/T	Julio Jones	22.70	Julio Jones	22.70
W/R/T	DK Metcalf	42.10	DK Metcalf	42.10
K	Stephen Gostkowski	2.00	Stephen Gostkowski	2.00
DEF	Browns	4.33	Browns	4.33

Carried by One Guy: DK Metcalf, 42.10 points (32.1% of positive starter points).

Big Hut lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 126.42 vs. actual 126.42.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Russell Wilson	28.74	Russell Wilson	28.74
WR	Allen Robinson	20.70	Allen Robinson	20.70
WR	DeVante Parker	7.30	DeVante Parker	7.30
RB	Giovani Bernard	22.80	Giovani Bernard	22.80
RB	Malcolm Brown	7.70	Malcolm Brown	7.70
TE	George Kittle	5.90	George Kittle	5.90
W/R/T	Russell Gage Jr.	4.50	Russell Gage Jr.	4.50
W/R/T	Jerry Jeudy	11.30	Jerry Jeudy	11.30
K	Wil Lutz	13.00	Wil Lutz	13.00
DEF	Bills	4.48	Bills	4.48

Carried by One Guy: Russell Wilson, 28.74 points (22.7% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: DK Metcalf scored 42.10; zeroing that score creates a win.

Regular

Oct 27 – Nov 2, 2020

Fischer

108.68

Rank 9; 0.0 luck points

Kev

152.58

Rank 1; 0.0 luck points

Fischer lineup

Tinker Failures: 15.28 points left. Optimal 123.96 vs. actual 108.68.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Josh Allen	12.46	Josh Allen	12.46
WR	Davante Adams	30.30	Davante Adams	30.30
WR	Travis Fulgham	19.80	Travis Fulgham	19.80
RB	Leonard Fournette	10.10	Leonard Fournette	10.10
RB	Myles Gaskin	13.30	Myles Gaskin	13.30
TE	Hayden Hurst	10.40	Hayden Hurst	10.40
W/R/T	Dallas Goedert	2.50	Zach Pascal	7.40
W/R/T	Scotty Miller	7.20	Justin Jackson	17.20
K	Matt Prater	3.00	Matt Prater	3.00
DEF	Packers	-0.38	Commanders	0.00

Carried by One Guy: Davante Adams, 30.30 points (27.8% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Kev lineup

Tinker Failures: 26.78 points left. Optimal 179.36 vs. actual 152.58.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Joe Burrow	18.86	Joe Burrow	18.86
WR	Marvin Jones Jr.	18.90	Marvin Jones Jr.	18.90
WR	Robert Woods	28.40	Robert Woods	28.40
RB	James Conner	15.00	James Conner	15.00
RB	Darrell Henderson Jr.	6.80	DeeJay Dallas	22.80
TE	Evan Engram	12.00	Evan Engram	12.00
W/R/T	Rashard Higgins	2.40	Michael Gallup	13.10
W/R/T	DeeJay Dallas	22.80	Mecole Hardman Jr.	22.88
K	Randy Bullock	7.00	Randy Bullock	7.00
DEF	Eagles	20.42	Eagles	20.42

Carried by One Guy: Robert Woods, 28.40 points (18.6% of positive starter points).

Regular

Oct 27 – Nov 2, 2020

Nevans

143.16

Rank 2; 0.0 luck points

Joe Shore

125.45

Rank 7; -0.5 luck points

Nevans lineup

Tinker Failures: 5.90 points left. Optimal 149.06 vs. actual 143.16.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Patrick Mahomes	38.64	Patrick Mahomes	38.64
WR	Stefon Diggs	15.20	Stefon Diggs	15.20
WR	Brandon Aiyuk	23.10	Brandon Aiyuk	23.10
RB	Kareem Hunt	9.30	Kareem Hunt	9.30
RB	Devin Singletary	10.20	Devin Singletary	10.20
TE	Hunter Henry	7.30	Robert Tonyan	12.90
W/R/T	Robert Tonyan	12.90	Darius Slayton	10.60
W/R/T	Darius Slayton	10.60	Jalen Reagor	13.20
K	Harrison Butker	5.00	Harrison Butker	5.00
DEF	Chiefs	10.92	Chiefs	10.92

Carried by One Guy: Patrick Mahomes, 38.64 points (27.0% of positive starter points).

Joe Shore lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 125.45 vs. actual 125.45.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Carson Wentz	8.62	Carson Wentz	8.62
WR	Cooper Kupp	24.00	Cooper Kupp	24.00
WR	Tee Higgins	14.40	Tee Higgins	14.40
RB	Boston Scott	9.90	Boston Scott	9.90
RB	Gus Edwards	14.70	Gus Edwards	14.70
TE	Harrison Bryant	3.50	Harrison Bryant	3.50
W/R/T	Tre'Quan Smith	9.30	Tre'Quan Smith	9.30
W/R/T	Darnell Mooney	17.90	Darnell Mooney	17.90
K	Brandon McManus	7.00	Brandon McManus	7.00
DEF	Colts	16.13	Colts	16.13

Carried by One Guy: Cooper Kupp, 24.00 points (19.1% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Patrick Mahomes scored 38.64; zeroing that score creates a win.

Regular

Oct 27 – Nov 2, 2020

Krajcik

103.26

Rank 10; 0.0 luck points

Horgan

118.39

Rank 8; +0.5 luck points

Krajcik lineup

Tinker Failures: 5.20 points left. Optimal 108.46 vs. actual 103.26.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Aaron Rodgers	22.54	Aaron Rodgers	22.54
WR	Tyreek Hill	25.80	Tyreek Hill	25.80
WR	Robbie Chosen	9.80	Robbie Chosen	9.80
RB	Rex Burkhead	4.10	Rex Burkhead	4.10
RB	Todd Gurley	10.60	Todd Gurley	10.60
TE	Rob Gronkowski	14.10	Rob Gronkowski	14.10
W/R/T	A.J. Green	3.90	A.J. Green	3.90
W/R/T	Amari Cooper	1.50	Mo Alie-Cox	6.70
K	Robbie Gould	3.00	Robbie Gould	3.00
DEF	Buccaneers	7.92	Buccaneers	7.92

Carried by One Guy: Tyreek Hill, 25.80 points (25.0% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Dalvin Cook scored 50.60; zeroing that score creates a win.

Horgan lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 118.39 vs. actual 118.39.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Derek Carr	12.54	Derek Carr	12.54
WR	Damiere Byrd	6.90	Damiere Byrd	6.90
WR	DJ Moore	7.50	DJ Moore	7.50
RB	Dalvin Cook	50.60	Dalvin Cook	50.60
RB	Ronald Jones	6.60	Ronald Jones	6.60
TE	Mark Andrews	6.20	Mark Andrews	6.20
W/R/T	James White	5.50	James White	5.50
W/R/T	Wayne Gallman	13.20	Wayne Gallman	13.20
K	Joey Slye	5.00	Joey Slye	5.00
DEF	Ravens	4.35	Ravens	4.35

Carried by One Guy: Dalvin Cook, 50.60 points (42.7% of positive starter points).

Manager	Record	Expected wins	Luck points	Luck in wins	Lucky / unlucky
j-mart	4–4	4.154	-1.5	-0.115	1 / 2
Martin	3–5	4.462	-5.5	-0.423	0 / 1
Miller	3–5	3.692	-0.5	-0.038	0 / 1
Demich	6–2	5.692	-2.5	-0.192	0 / 1
Krajcik	4–4	4.692	-6.5	-0.500	1 / 2
Big Hut	3–5	3.308	-1.5	-0.115	0 / 1
Niz	4–4	3.923	+0.5	+0.038	1 / 0
Josh	4–4	2.923	+5.0	+0.385	2 / 0
Adam	2–6	2.231	+3.5	+0.269	1 / 0
Fischer	3–5	3.385	0.0	0.000	1 / 1
Nevans	7–1	5.038	+3.0	+0.231	2 / 0
Joe Shore	3–5	3.308	-0.5	-0.038	0 / 1
Kev	4–4	2.846	+4.5	+0.346	1 / 0
Horgan	6–2	6.346	-5.5	-0.423	1 / 2

2020 week 8 matchups

Robbery of the Week

Get Out of Jail Free

Matchups

Regular

j-mart lineup

Adam lineup

Regular

Martin lineup

Josh lineup

Regular

Miller lineup

Niz lineup

Regular

Demich lineup

Big Hut lineup

Regular

Fischer lineup

Kev lineup

Regular

Nevans lineup

Joe Shore lineup

Regular

Krajcik lineup

Horgan lineup

Cumulative totals through week 8