Adam

Career Overview

Total luck in wins
+2.20
Cumulative luck
+27.5
Lucky / unlucky weeks
26 / 17
Mean all-play rate
45.9%

Season history

SeasonTeamThroughRecordExpected winsLuck pointsLucky / unlucky
2026Sorry Smith-Jaxon73–43.692-2.51 / 2
2025Metcalfornia Dreamin'1410–410.462-4.01 / 3
2024CordarRB1 Patterson146–85.769+2.53 / 2
2023CordarRB1 Patterson145–94.846+4.52 / 1
2022CordarRB1 Patterson147–73.846+13.56 / 1
2021Hyde & Zeke1410–47.462+3.52 / 1
2020King of the JuJu’s133–104.385+1.01 / 1
2019J&J... RIP136–76.462+0.51 / 0
2018D. Walker TX Ranger133–103.077+2.52 / 1
2017Dak to the Future133–104.273-1.50 / 1
2016MillLe’Veon Falcon138–57.182-1.02 / 2
2015The Walking Dez137–66.273+6.52 / 1
2014Ted Ginn And Juice1311–28.636+0.51 / 0
2013Im Sorry FredJackson137–66.727+1.52 / 1

Nemesis

Horgan3–11 in 14 games

Outscored by 307.30 points, with +0.03 luck wins. Last met in 2026 week 7 and lost 90.43–147.65.

Open last meeting

Has Their Number

Martin11–4 in 15 games

Outscored them by 160.68 points, with +1.41 luck wins. Last met in 2026 week 1 and won 132.05–108.03.

Open last meeting
OpponentRecordGamesPFPAMarginLuck winsEvidence
Big Hut5–8131417.971520.72-102.75+0.42
13 games
Miller8–8161826.421959.10-132.68-0.01
16 games
j-mart7–8151754.021861.15-107.13+0.23
15 games
Joe Shore5–8131430.631713.75-283.12+0.01
13 games
Krajcik8–6141634.211707.43-73.22+0.12
14 games
Josh7–6131587.271669.87-82.60-0.38
13 games
Kev11–6171965.391935.68+29.71+0.75
17 games
Martin11–4151746.961586.28+160.68+1.41
15 games
Demich5–10151757.781834.78-77.00-0.17
15 games
Horgan3–11141535.141842.44-307.30+0.03
14 games
Niz2–8101186.441279.41-92.97-0.77
10 games
Nevans6–391186.691071.80+114.89+0.31
9 games
Fischer8–6141710.341673.15+37.19+0.12
14 games

Postseason head-to-head

OpponentRecordGamesPFPAEvidence
Big Hut2–35575.84639.19
5 games
Miller0–33299.89384.99
3 games
j-mart1–23328.30404.14
3 games
Joe Shore2–13320.89284.82
3 games
Krajcik1–01120.0991.70
1 game
Josh2–02227.49127.87
2 games
Martin1–01169.4095.39
1 game
Demich0–1199.14145.80
1 game
Horgan1–01121.38111.53
1 game
Niz1–01126.16104.08
1 game
Nevans1–01106.3788.15
1 game
Fischer2–13399.40405.37
3 games

Player Data

SeasonBench points leftBench evidenceCarried leaderShareCarry evidenceFinal BossDamageBoss evidence
202681.40; 1 avoidable losses
7 weeks
  • W1: 14.60 left
  • W2: 11.00 left
  • W3: 10.20 left
  • W4: 13.60 left
  • W5: 7.40 left
  • W6: 13.50 left
  • W7: 11.10 left
Jaxon Smith-Njigba24.6%
7 weeks
  • W1: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 21.4%
  • W2: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 34.4%
  • W3: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 24.0%
  • W4: Kyle Monangai 23.9%
  • W5: Garrett Wilson 22.0%
  • W6: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 28.6%
  • W7: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 36.7%
Davante Adams91.96
4 weeks
  • W2: Davante Adams +35.36
  • W4: Chuba Hubbard +2.07
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W7: No single-player flip
2025160.50; 1 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 6.92 left
  • W2: 10.90 left
  • W3: 11.04 left
  • W4: 5.00 left
  • W5: 14.90 left
  • W6: 12.60 left
  • W7: 17.20 left
  • W8: 13.00 left
  • W9: 34.00 left
  • W10: 11.20 left
  • W11: 1.40 left
  • W12: 0.00 left
  • W13: 20.78 left
  • W14: 1.56 left
Christian McCaffrey17.7%
14 weeks
  • W1: Deebo Samuel Sr. 20.6%
  • W2: Jonathan Taylor 23.8%
  • W3: Jonathan Taylor 19.7%
  • W4: Christian McCaffrey 18.8%
  • W5: Jonathan Taylor 18.3%
  • W6: Jonathan Taylor 19.9%
  • W7: Christian McCaffrey 36.6%
  • W8: Jonathan Taylor 32.0%
  • W9: Caleb Williams 26.3%
  • W10: Jonathan Taylor 31.6%
  • W11: Christian McCaffrey 28.9%
  • W12: Christian McCaffrey 20.0%
  • W13: Joe Burrow 20.4%
  • W14: DK Metcalf 20.1%
CeeDee Lamb116.61
4 weeks
  • W1: CeeDee Lamb +19.00
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W7: No single-player flip
  • W8: James Cook III +8.84
2024168.10; 2 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 5.90 left
  • W2: 3.70 left
  • W3: 16.76 left
  • W4: 11.50 left
  • W5: 15.30 left
  • W6: 20.02 left
  • W7: 21.24 left
  • W8: 6.90 left
  • W9: 9.10 left
  • W10: 12.02 left
  • W11: 0.00 left
  • W12: 14.20 left
  • W13: 31.46 left
  • W14: 0.00 left
Puka Nacua10.2%
14 weeks
  • W1: Jerome Ford 21.5%
  • W2: Marvin Harrison Jr. 20.4%
  • W3: Marvin Harrison Jr. 22.0%
  • W4: Justice Hill 22.7%
  • W5: Brock Bowers 27.3%
  • W6: Jalen Hurts 32.9%
  • W7: Jalen Hurts 24.6%
  • W8: Marvin Harrison Jr. 16.1%
  • W9: Chuba Hubbard 23.4%
  • W10: Kyler Murray 20.2%
  • W11: Puka Nacua 23.6%
  • W12: Trey McBride 20.9%
  • W13: Trey McBride 17.8%
  • W14: Puka Nacua 28.9%
Jaylen Waddle340.60
8 weeks
  • W1: Jaylen Waddle +17.47
  • W2: Davante Adams +26.15
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W7: No single-player flip
  • W9: No single-player flip
  • W11: Brock Bowers +18.56
  • W14: Jauan Jennings +18.85
2023142.16; 3 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 17.48 left
  • W2: 5.44 left
  • W3: 0.00 left
  • W4: 0.00 left
  • W5: 0.00 left
  • W6: 4.30 left
  • W7: 9.76 left
  • W8: 15.74 left
  • W9: 12.76 left
  • W10: 5.76 left
  • W11: 0.56 left
  • W12: 9.40 left
  • W13: 20.42 left
  • W14: 40.54 left
Jahmyr Gibbs12.1%
14 weeks
  • W1: Justin Jefferson 28.5%
  • W2: Keenan Allen 22.5%
  • W3: Keenan Allen 29.0%
  • W4: Justin Jefferson 28.9%
  • W5: Kirk Cousins 31.6%
  • W6: Keenan Allen 20.9%
  • W7: D'Onta Foreman 26.9%
  • W8: Jahmyr Gibbs 28.2%
  • W9: Amari Cooper 27.0%
  • W10: Jahmyr Gibbs 16.7%
  • W11: Jaylen Warren 23.9%
  • W12: Baker Mayfield 17.6%
  • W13: Falcons 21.7%
  • W14: Jahmyr Gibbs 22.2%
Christian McCaffrey181.08
9 weeks
  • W1: Austin Ekeler +13.46
  • W4: No single-player flip
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W7: Christian McCaffrey +22.19
  • W8: No single-player flip
  • W9: C.J. Stroud +17.87
  • W12: No single-player flip
  • W13: No single-player flip
  • W14: Saquon Barkley +10.21
2022104.36; 1 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 7.92 left
  • W2: 3.26 left
  • W3: 2.80 left
  • W4: 8.60 left
  • W5: 16.20 left
  • W6: 6.50 left
  • W7: 1.90 left
  • W8: 9.00 left
  • W9: 0.08 left
  • W10: 0.00 left
  • W11: 12.60 left
  • W12: 8.80 left
  • W13: 18.44 left
  • W14: 8.26 left
Geno Smith10.6%
14 weeks
  • W1: D'Andre Swift 22.9%
  • W2: D'Andre Swift 23.9%
  • W3: Cordarrelle Patterson 26.5%
  • W4: Deebo Samuel Sr. 23.3%
  • W5: Josh Reynolds 25.7%
  • W6: Allen Robinson 23.2%
  • W7: Parris Campbell 25.4%
  • W8: Geno Smith 23.7%
  • W9: Geno Smith 23.8%
  • W10: Cole Kmet 26.5%
  • W11: Tee Higgins 27.8%
  • W12: Tee Higgins 19.9%
  • W13: Browns 24.7%
  • W14: Geno Smith 24.4%
Josh Jacobs154.42
7 weeks
  • W2: Lamar Jackson +1.34
  • W4: Justin Jefferson +14.37
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W8: No single-player flip
  • W11: No single-player flip
  • W12: Josh Jacobs +49.35
2021177.74; 0 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 17.70 left
  • W2: 10.20 left
  • W3: 15.40 left
  • W4: 13.00 left
  • W5: 12.60 left
  • W6: 20.70 left
  • W7: 1.10 left
  • W8: 9.60 left
  • W9: 9.70 left
  • W10: 16.10 left
  • W11: 0.00 left
  • W12: 28.74 left
  • W13: 2.40 left
  • W14: 20.50 left
Tom Brady17.9%
14 weeks
  • W1: Tom Brady 22.5%
  • W2: Tom Brady 22.7%
  • W3: Tom Brady 22.3%
  • W4: Diontae Johnson 20.0%
  • W5: Tom Brady 24.4%
  • W6: DeAndre Hopkins 16.2%
  • W7: Mike Evans 25.7%
  • W8: Tom Brady 21.1%
  • W9: Teddy Bridgewater 21.1%
  • W10: Ezekiel Elliott 19.8%
  • W11: Diontae Johnson 18.6%
  • W12: Dolphins 25.5%
  • W13: Diontae Johnson 21.5%
  • W14: Tom Brady 26.2%
DJ Moore25.58
4 weeks
  • W4: DJ Moore +16.19
  • W6: Adam Thielen +4.78
  • W12: No single-player flip
  • W14: No single-player flip
2020190.30; 2 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 29.20 left
  • W2: 6.90 left
  • W3: 16.94 left
  • W4: 4.20 left
  • W5: 21.60 left
  • W6: 10.20 left
  • W7: 0.00 left
  • W8: 13.42 left
  • W9: 47.70 left
  • W10: 0.60 left
  • W11: 18.00 left
  • W12: 5.50 left
  • W13: 16.04 left
JuJu Smith-Schuster11.1%
13 weeks
  • W1: JuJu Smith-Schuster 18.7%
  • W2: Julian Edelman 18.8%
  • W3: Allen Lazard 24.8%
  • W4: DJ Chark 23.5%
  • W5: Gardner Minshew II 19.7%
  • W6: Clyde Edwards-Helaire 22.5%
  • W7: Matthew Stafford 19.8%
  • W8: Corey Davis 28.5%
  • W9: JuJu Smith-Schuster 26.4%
  • W10: Ben Roethlisberger 22.5%
  • W11: Clyde Edwards-Helaire 15.3%
  • W12: David Montgomery 23.7%
  • W13: Corey Davis 27.1%
Tom Brady270.66
10 weeks
  • W1: Adam Thielen +9.99
  • W3: Rex Burkhead +5.47
  • W4: Odell Beckham Jr. +20.07
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W7: Joe Burrow +16.25
  • W9: No single-player flip
  • W10: Tom Brady +23.99
  • W11: Derek Carr +21.26
  • W12: No single-player flip
2019249.76; 2 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 37.28 left
  • W2: 26.16 left
  • W3: 22.60 left
  • W4: 3.72 left
  • W5: 12.34 left
  • W6: 13.40 left
  • W7: 46.52 left
  • W8: 6.20 left
  • W9: 6.56 left
  • W10: 2.00 left
  • W11: 8.20 left
  • W12: 23.70 left
  • W13: 41.08 left
Deshaun Watson16.3%
13 weeks
  • W1: Sammy Watkins 26.4%
  • W2: Mark Andrews 26.0%
  • W3: Deshaun Watson 23.9%
  • W4: Courtland Sutton 17.2%
  • W5: Deshaun Watson 24.6%
  • W6: Deshaun Watson 18.8%
  • W7: Amari Cooper 20.7%
  • W8: Deshaun Watson 30.6%
  • W9: Deshaun Watson 15.4%
  • W10: Amari Cooper 28.2%
  • W11: Courtland Sutton 20.4%
  • W12: Deshaun Watson 18.9%
  • W13: James White 22.9%
Patrick Mahomes92.21
7 weeks
  • W2: No single-player flip
  • W3: Jameis Winston +12.11
  • W7: Latavius Murray +6.59
  • W8: No single-player flip
  • W10: Patrick Mahomes +21.72
  • W11: No single-player flip
  • W12: No single-player flip
2018273.26; 3 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 18.60 left
  • W2: 15.50 left
  • W3: 14.30 left
  • W4: 17.90 left
  • W5: 24.60 left
  • W6: 37.20 left
  • W7: 0.00 left
  • W8: 18.10 left
  • W9: 0.00 left
  • W10: 42.42 left
  • W11: 22.70 left
  • W12: 25.66 left
  • W13: 36.28 left
Tom Brady13.6%
13 weeks
  • W1: Keenan Allen 21.0%
  • W2: DeAndre Hopkins 19.4%
  • W3: Marshawn Lynch 16.6%
  • W4: Golden Tate 20.3%
  • W5: Tom Brady 23.6%
  • W6: Tom Brady 24.4%
  • W7: Latavius Murray 24.1%
  • W8: DeAndre Hopkins 23.8%
  • W9: DeAndre Hopkins 23.8%
  • W10: Kenny Golladay 22.5%
  • W11: Kenny Golladay 31.6%
  • W12: Corey Davis 18.9%
  • W13: Adam Humphries 19.5%
James White133.83
10 weeks
  • W1: No single-player flip
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W4: James White +20.99
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W7: No single-player flip
  • W8: Marlon Mack +10.11
  • W10: No single-player flip
  • W11: No single-player flip
  • W12: JuJu Smith-Schuster +17.99
  • W13: Christian McCaffrey +10.96
2017152.00; 1 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 17.40 left
  • W2: 19.30 left
  • W3: 4.80 left
  • W4: 15.10 left
  • W5: 3.40 left
  • W6: 23.80 left
  • W7: 14.20 left
  • W8: 0.00 left
  • W9: 2.10 left
  • W10: 26.96 left
  • W11: 0.94 left
  • W12: 18.10 left
  • W13: 5.90 left
Dak Prescott15.0%
13 weeks
  • W1: Jaguars 22.1%
  • W2: Ty Montgomery II 24.1%
  • W3: Jordan Howard 22.6%
  • W4: Dak Prescott 19.9%
  • W5: Dak Prescott 34.5%
  • W6: Jordan Howard 23.1%
  • W7: Dak Prescott 31.4%
  • W8: Jordan Howard 18.0%
  • W9: Dak Prescott 24.2%
  • W10: Emmanuel Sanders 24.7%
  • W11: Jordan Howard 30.1%
  • W12: Cooper Kupp 27.9%
  • W13: Alfred Morris 21.8%
Kirk Cousins40.12
10 weeks
  • W2: Devonta Freeman +2.17
  • W5: Leonard Fournette +11.11
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W7: Alex Smith +12.02
  • W8: No single-player flip
  • W9: No single-player flip
  • W10: Kirk Cousins +13.10
  • W11: No single-player flip
  • W12: No single-player flip
  • W13: No single-player flip
2016127.40; 1 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 4.70 left
  • W2: 7.20 left
  • W3: 10.16 left
  • W4: 0.00 left
  • W5: 0.60 left
  • W6: 21.50 left
  • W7: 16.70 left
  • W8: 0.20 left
  • W9: 18.00 left
  • W10: 4.64 left
  • W11: 6.30 left
  • W12: 25.28 left
  • W13: 12.12 left
Ezekiel Elliott16.1%
13 weeks
  • W1: DeAngelo Williams 27.1%
  • W2: Eric Decker 20.2%
  • W3: Marvin Jones Jr. 28.9%
  • W4: Ezekiel Elliott 18.9%
  • W5: Ezekiel Elliott 25.3%
  • W6: Christine Michael 20.4%
  • W7: Randall Cobb 18.0%
  • W8: Marcus Mariota 21.9%
  • W9: Marcus Mariota 22.0%
  • W10: Ezekiel Elliott 24.1%
  • W11: Le'Veon Bell 25.0%
  • W12: Ezekiel Elliott 19.7%
  • W13: Le'Veon Bell 20.0%
Jimmy Graham199.45
5 weeks
  • W1: A.J. Green +18.14
  • W4: No single-player flip
  • W5: T.Y. Hilton +16.14
  • W8: No single-player flip
  • W9: Jimmy Graham +27.45
2015165.90; 1 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 5.60 left
  • W2: 1.62 left
  • W3: 22.12 left
  • W4: 0.30 left
  • W5: 34.38 left
  • W6: 0.50 left
  • W7: 12.90 left
  • W8: 15.74 left
  • W9: 10.40 left
  • W10: 19.54 left
  • W11: 15.80 left
  • W12: 24.60 left
  • W13: 2.40 left
Carson Palmer14.4%
13 weeks
  • W1: Dolphins 17.8%
  • W2: Larry Fitzgerald 24.1%
  • W3: Larry Fitzgerald 22.9%
  • W4: Carson Palmer 24.6%
  • W5: Dion Lewis 15.1%
  • W6: Arian Foster 18.6%
  • W7: Arian Foster 26.5%
  • W8: Carson Palmer 22.4%
  • W9: Derek Carr 23.9%
  • W10: Carson Palmer 20.7%
  • W11: Carson Palmer 21.9%
  • W12: Carson Palmer 20.0%
  • W13: Ben Roethlisberger 27.7%
Allen Robinson247.43
6 weeks
  • W1: DeAndre Hopkins +11.81
  • W4: No single-player flip
  • W6: LeGarrette Blount +13.75
  • W9: Tyler Eifert +3.71
  • W10: Brandin Cooks +25.06
  • W13: Allen Robinson +30.25
2014152.02; 0 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 9.70 left
  • W2: 10.80 left
  • W3: 7.14 left
  • W4: 16.22 left
  • W5: 8.70 left
  • W6: 4.60 left
  • W7: 9.80 left
  • W8: 32.10 left
  • W9: 0.00 left
  • W10: 17.20 left
  • W11: 5.40 left
  • W12: 24.36 left
  • W13: 6.00 left
Jordy Nelson12.8%
13 weeks
  • W1: Matthew Stafford 25.0%
  • W2: Jordy Nelson 26.3%
  • W3: Martellus Bennett 18.2%
  • W4: Jamaal Charles 17.9%
  • W5: Brian Quick 24.3%
  • W6: Jordy Nelson 17.3%
  • W7: Randall Cobb 17.6%
  • W8: Jamaal Charles 17.6%, Randall Cobb 17.6%
  • W9: Alex Smith 17.7%
  • W10: Jordy Nelson 24.4%
  • W11: Jamaal Charles 22.9%
  • W12: Odell Beckham Jr. 22.6%
  • W13: C.J. Anderson 16.8%
Alfred Morris9.64
2 weeks
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W9: Alfred Morris +6.00
2013228.80; 4 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 31.44 left
  • W2: 28.46 left
  • W3: 61.36 left
  • W4: 21.36 left
  • W5: 6.90 left
  • W6: 22.40 left
  • W7: 20.90 left
  • W8: 9.20 left
  • W9: 8.80 left
  • W10: 2.70 left
  • W11: 9.60 left
  • W12: 0.00 left
  • W13: 5.68 left
Cam Newton12.6%
13 weeks
  • W1: Demaryius Thomas 27.1%
  • W2: T.Y. Hilton 14.7%
  • W3: Cam Newton 32.1%
  • W4: Philip Rivers 21.4%
  • W5: Julius Thomas 23.6%
  • W6: Rams 28.0%
  • W7: Zac Stacy 15.8%
  • W8: Cam Newton 28.9%
  • W9: Zac Stacy 30.6%
  • W10: Marshawn Lynch 19.5%
  • W11: Antonio Brown 21.0%
  • W12: Tiquan Underwood 15.7%
  • W13: Cam Newton 21.6%
Chiefs269.97
6 weeks
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W6: Chiefs +24.18
  • W7: Matt Forte +19.61
  • W8: No single-player flip
  • W9: Mike James +19.21
  • W13: Rob Gronkowski +14.15