2019 week 14 · Luck Factor

Consolation

Dec 3 – 9, 2019

Demich

145.80

Adam

99.14

Demich lineup

Tinker Failures: 12.29 points left. Optimal 158.09 vs. actual 145.80.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Kyler Murray	9.96	Kyler Murray	9.96
WR	Kenny Golladay	17.80	Kenny Golladay	17.80
WR	Calvin Ridley	18.60	Calvin Ridley	18.60
RB	Melvin Gordon III	19.40	Melvin Gordon III	19.40
RB	Joe Mixon	29.60	Joe Mixon	29.60
TE	Travis Kelce	18.00	Travis Kelce	18.00
W/R/T	Latavius Murray	11.40	Chris Thompson	11.30
W/R/T	Corey Davis	5.40	Latavius Murray	11.40
K	Austin Seibert	11.00	Austin Seibert	11.00
DEF	Cowboys	4.64	Seahawks	11.03

Carried by One Guy: Joe Mixon, 29.60 points (20.3% of positive starter points).

Adam lineup

Tinker Failures: 35.60 points left. Optimal 134.74 vs. actual 99.14.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Deshaun Watson	28.08	Deshaun Watson	28.08
WR	Courtland Sutton	8.40	Sammy Watkins	9.00
WR	Russell Gage Jr.	3.70	Amari Cooper	20.30
RB	James White	12.82	James White	12.82
RB	Benny Snell Jr.	2.10	David Johnson	13.30
TE	Mark Andrews	2.40	Mark Andrews	2.40
W/R/T	Amari Cooper	20.30	Raheem Mostert	24.90
W/R/T	James Washington	7.30	Tarik Cohen	9.90
K	Chris Boswell	10.00	Chris Boswell	10.00
DEF	Bills	4.04	Bills	4.04

Carried by One Guy: Deshaun Watson, 28.08 points (28.3% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Consolation

Dec 3 – 9, 2019

Krajcik

104.98

Josh

94.32

Krajcik lineup

Tinker Failures: 10.16 points left. Optimal 115.14 vs. actual 104.98.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tom Brady	10.76	Jared Goff	16.12
WR	Odell Beckham Jr.	5.90	Odell Beckham Jr.	5.90
WR	Cooper Kupp	14.50	Cooper Kupp	14.50
RB	Tevin Coleman	0.60	Tevin Coleman	0.60
RB	Nick Chubb	14.70	Nick Chubb	14.70
TE	Kyle Rudolph	3.10	Jimmy Graham	7.90
W/R/T	Robbie Chosen	27.10	Robbie Chosen	27.10
W/R/T	Terry McLaurin	15.70	Terry McLaurin	15.70
K	Justin Tucker	6.00	Justin Tucker	6.00
DEF	Chargers	6.62	Chargers	6.62

Carried by One Guy: Robbie Chosen, 27.10 points (25.8% of positive starter points).

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 28.76 points left. Optimal 123.08 vs. actual 94.32.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Baker Mayfield	10.98	Jacoby Brissett	22.64
WR	Mike Evans	13.10	Mike Evans	13.10
WR	Tyler Boyd	13.20	Tyler Boyd	13.20
RB	Phillip Lindsay	13.50	Phillip Lindsay	13.50
RB	Alexander Mattison	8.40	Alexander Mattison	8.40
TE	Ryan Griffin	1.80	Cameron Brate	13.00
W/R/T	Robert Woods	25.70	Robert Woods	25.70
W/R/T	Jaylen Samuels	5.40	O.J. Howard	11.30
K	Jason Myers	5.00	Jason Myers	5.00
DEF	49ers	-2.76	49ers	-2.76

Avoidable loss: the best full lineup would have tied or won.

Carried by One Guy: Robert Woods, 25.70 points (26.5% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Robbie Chosen scored 27.10; zeroing that score creates a win.

Playoff

Dec 3 – 9, 2019

Kev

159.27

Martin

149.44

Kev lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.40 points left. Optimal 159.67 vs. actual 159.27.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Ryan Fitzpatrick	14.30	Ryan Fitzpatrick	14.30
WR	Julio Jones	11.60	Julio Jones	11.60
WR	Sterling Shepard	7.60	Zach Pascal	20.40
RB	Devonta Freeman	19.40	Devonta Freeman	19.40
RB	Christian McCaffrey	24.50	Christian McCaffrey	24.50
TE	Jared Cook	20.40	Jared Cook	20.40
W/R/T	Duke Johnson	10.50	Duke Johnson	10.50
W/R/T	Zach Pascal	20.40	Bo Scarbrough	8.00
K	Younghoe Koo	17.00	Younghoe Koo	17.00
DEF	Vikings	13.57	Vikings	13.57

Carried by One Guy: Christian McCaffrey, 24.50 points (15.4% of positive starter points).

Martin lineup

Tinker Failures: 7.00 points left. Optimal 156.44 vs. actual 149.44.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Kirk Cousins	13.58	Kirk Cousins	13.58
WR	Emmanuel Sanders	36.10	Emmanuel Sanders	36.10
WR	Allen Hurns	11.80	Allen Hurns	11.80
RB	Bilal Powell	10.80	Bilal Powell	10.80
RB	Dalvin Cook	15.50	Dalvin Cook	15.50
TE	Zach Ertz	30.10	Zach Ertz	30.10
W/R/T	Dede Westbrook	8.42	Carlos Hyde	9.80
W/R/T	Hollywood Brown	2.80	Dede Westbrook	8.42
K	Joey Slye	10.00	Joey Slye	10.00
DEF	Colts	10.34	Colts	10.34

Carried by One Guy: Emmanuel Sanders, 36.10 points (24.2% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Christian McCaffrey scored 24.50; zeroing that score creates a win.

Playoff

Dec 3 – 9, 2019

Niz

172.39

Horgan

129.93

Niz lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 172.39 vs. actual 172.39.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Drew Brees	42.06	Drew Brees	42.06
WR	Marvin Jones Jr.	6.80	Marvin Jones Jr.	6.80
WR	DeVante Parker	4.80	DeVante Parker	4.80
RB	Todd Gurley	21.30	Todd Gurley	21.30
RB	Derrick Henry	25.90	Derrick Henry	25.90
TE	Mike Gesicki	1.60	Mike Gesicki	1.60
W/R/T	Tyreek Hill	13.00	Tyreek Hill	13.00
W/R/T	Austin Ekeler	35.30	Austin Ekeler	35.30
K	Matt Gay	9.00	Matt Gay	9.00
DEF	Browns	12.63	Browns	12.63

Carried by One Guy: Drew Brees, 42.06 points (24.4% of positive starter points).

Horgan lineup

Tinker Failures: 11.40 points left. Optimal 141.33 vs. actual 129.93.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Patrick Mahomes	13.92	Patrick Mahomes	13.92
WR	Julian Edelman	24.30	DeAndre Hopkins	28.20
WR	DeAndre Hopkins	28.20	Julian Edelman	24.30
RB	Jamaal Williams	2.40	Matt Breida	6.80
RB	Derrius Guice	4.20	Royce Freeman	11.20
TE	Darren Waller	11.20	Darren Waller	11.20
W/R/T	Keenan Allen	13.30	Keenan Allen	13.30
W/R/T	Michael Gallup	18.90	Michael Gallup	18.90
K	Dan Bailey	9.00	Dan Bailey	9.00
DEF	Eagles	4.51	Eagles	4.51

Carried by One Guy: DeAndre Hopkins, 28.20 points (21.7% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

2019 week 14 matchups

Matchups

Consolation

Demich lineup

Adam lineup

Consolation

Krajcik lineup

Josh lineup

Playoff

Kev lineup

Martin lineup

Playoff

Niz lineup

Horgan lineup