2012 week 14 · Luck Factor

Consolation

Dec 4 – 10, 2012

Horgan

96.09

Demich

55.47

Horgan lineup

Tinker Failures: 5.00 points left. Optimal 101.09 vs. actual 96.09.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Colin Kaepernick	18.70	Colin Kaepernick	18.70
WR	Larry Fitzgerald	0.70	Jeremy Kerley	3.06
WR	Brian Hartline	4.40	Sidney Rice	4.50
WR	Jeremy Kerley	3.06	Brian Hartline	4.40
RB	Michael Turner	7.40	Michael Turner	7.40
RB	Darren McFadden	13.40	Darren McFadden	13.40
TE	Owen Daniels	3.40	Antonio Gates	4.60
W/R	Knowshon Moreno	26.70	Knowshon Moreno	26.70
K	Jason Hanson	9.00	Jason Hanson	9.00
DEF	Broncos	9.33	Broncos	9.33

Carried by One Guy: Knowshon Moreno, 26.70 points (27.8% of positive starter points).

Demich lineup

Tinker Failures: 15.30 points left. Optimal 70.77 vs. actual 55.47.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tony Romo	12.72	Tony Romo	12.72
WR	Andre Johnson	13.50	Dez Bryant	11.90
WR	Dez Bryant	11.90	Emmanuel Sanders	4.60
WR	Brandon LaFell	0.00	Andre Johnson	13.50
RB	Rashad Jennings	0.00	William Powell	5.54
RB	William Powell	5.54	Ronnie Hillman	2.40
TE	Vernon Davis	0.90	Jermaine Gresham	6.30
W/R	Brandon Stokley	0.00	Ronnie Brown	2.90
K	Shayne Graham	2.00	Shayne Graham	2.00
DEF	49ers	8.91	49ers	8.91

Carried by One Guy: Andre Johnson, 13.50 points (24.3% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Consolation

Dec 4 – 10, 2012

Big Hut

147.55

SuckMyVick

103.75

Big Hut lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 147.55 vs. actual 147.55.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Matt Ryan	21.68	Matt Ryan	21.68
WR	Calvin Johnson	18.80	Demaryius Thomas	10.80
WR	Pierre Garcon	17.00	Calvin Johnson	18.80
WR	Demaryius Thomas	10.80	Pierre Garcon	17.00
RB	BenJarvus Green-Ellis	11.70	Doug Martin	22.70
RB	Doug Martin	22.70	BenJarvus Green-Ellis	11.70
TE	Greg Olsen	13.50	Greg Olsen	13.50
W/R	Steven Jackson	13.80	Steven Jackson	13.80
K	Mason Crosby	11.00	Mason Crosby	11.00
DEF	Patriots	6.57	Patriots	6.57

Carried by One Guy: Doug Martin, 22.70 points (15.4% of positive starter points).

SuckMyVick lineup

Tinker Failures: 35.86 points left. Optimal 139.61 vs. actual 103.75.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Ryan Fitzpatrick	12.38	Ben Roethlisberger	22.50
WR	Stevie Johnson	10.10	Julio Jones	15.10
WR	Julio Jones	15.10	Josh Gordon	12.60
WR	Josh Gordon	12.60	Brandon Gibson	21.00
RB	DeAngelo Williams	18.20	Vick Ballard	10.90
RB	Vick Ballard	10.90	DeAngelo Williams	18.20
TE	Brent Celek	0.60	Brent Celek	0.60
W/R	Darrius Heyward-Bey	16.70	Darrius Heyward-Bey	16.70
K	Sebastian Janikowski	1.00	Garrett Hartley	8.00
DEF	Bears	6.17	Packers	14.01

Carried by One Guy: DeAngelo Williams, 18.20 points (17.5% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Playoff

Dec 4 – 10, 2012

Fischer

101.19

Josh

129.88

Fischer lineup

Tinker Failures: 21.57 points left. Optimal 122.76 vs. actual 101.19.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Eli Manning	22.06	Eli Manning	22.06
WR	Marques Colston	6.10	Victor Cruz	24.10
WR	Victor Cruz	24.10	Marques Colston	6.10
WR	Torrey Smith	2.60	Michael Crabtree	13.80
RB	Ray Rice	23.10	Mikel Leshoure	4.90
RB	Mikel Leshoure	4.90	Ray Rice	23.10
TE	Martellus Bennett	11.70	Dennis Pitta	13.10
W/R	Fred Jackson	3.50	Fred Jackson	3.50
K	Connor Barth	3.00	Connor Barth	3.00
DEF	Steelers	0.13	Buccaneers	9.10

Carried by One Guy: Victor Cruz, 24.10 points (23.8% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 19.58 points left. Optimal 149.46 vs. actual 129.88.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tom Brady	28.44	Tom Brady	28.44
WR	Steve Smith	16.40	Eric Decker	12.80
WR	Eric Decker	12.80	Danario Alexander	24.30
WR	A.J. Green	5.90	Steve Smith	16.40
RB	Mike Tolbert	5.30	Alfred Morris	18.60
RB	Alfred Morris	18.60	Mike Tolbert	5.30
TE	Jimmy Graham	8.10	Jimmy Graham	8.10
W/R	T.Y. Hilton	6.28	Chris Givens	7.46
K	Lawrence Tynes	10.00	Lawrence Tynes	10.00
DEF	Giants	18.06	Giants	18.06

Carried by One Guy: Tom Brady, 28.44 points (21.9% of positive starter points).

Playoff

Dec 4 – 10, 2012

Kev

213.93

Early Morning Doucet

93.41

Kev lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 213.93 vs. actual 213.93.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Matthew Stafford	17.46	Matthew Stafford	17.46
WR	Malcom Floyd	8.50	Malcom Floyd	8.50
WR	Vincent Jackson	24.10	Vincent Jackson	24.10
WR	Brandon Marshall	29.00	Brandon Marshall	29.00
RB	Adrian Peterson	32.00	Adrian Peterson	32.00
RB	Marshawn Lynch	32.80	Marshawn Lynch	32.80
TE	Brandon Pettigrew	0.00	Brandon Pettigrew	0.00
W/R	Darren Sproles	22.50	Darren Sproles	22.50
K	Stephen Gostkowski	6.00	Stephen Gostkowski	6.00
DEF	Seahawks	41.57	Seahawks	41.57

Carried by One Guy: Seahawks, 41.57 points (19.4% of positive starter points).

Early Morning Doucet lineup

Tinker Failures: 43.30 points left. Optimal 136.71 vs. actual 93.41.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Aaron Rodgers	14.12	Aaron Rodgers	14.12
WR	Miles Austin	6.60	Brandon Lloyd	24.40
WR	James Jones	3.70	Miles Austin	6.60
WR	Kenny Britt	20.30	Kenny Britt	20.30
RB	C.J. Spiller	5.70	C.J. Spiller	5.70
RB	Trent Richardson	17.60	Trent Richardson	17.60
TE	Jermichael Finley	2.60	Scott Chandler	9.60
W/R	Bryce Brown	2.20	Reggie Bush	12.80
K	Robbie Gould	2.00	Shaun Suisham	7.00
DEF	Browns	18.59	Browns	18.59

Carried by One Guy: Kenny Britt, 20.30 points (21.7% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

2012 week 14 matchups

Matchups

Consolation

Horgan lineup

Demich lineup

Consolation

Big Hut lineup

SuckMyVick lineup

Playoff

Fischer lineup

Josh lineup

Playoff

Kev lineup

Early Morning Doucet lineup