2026 week 6 · Luck Factor

Regular

Oct 13 – 19, 2026

j-mart

129.58

Rank 3; 0.0 luck points

Demich

89.00

Rank 10; 0.0 luck points

j-mart lineup

Tinker Failures: 3.30 points left. Optimal 132.88 vs. actual 129.58.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Michael Penix Jr.	23.10	Michael Penix Jr.	23.10
RB	James Cook III	24.30	James Cook III	24.30
RB	Omarion Hampton	7.90	Omarion Hampton	7.90
WR	Jaylen Waddle	6.40	Kendrick Bourne	9.70
WR	Rome Odunze	6.90	Rome Odunze	6.90
TE	Kyle Pitts Sr.	23.00	Kyle Pitts Sr.	23.00
W/R/T	DK Metcalf	20.30	DK Metcalf	20.30
W/R/T	Tetairoa McMillan	14.60	Tetairoa McMillan	14.60
DEF	Colts	3.08	Colts	3.08

Carried by One Guy: James Cook III, 24.30 points (18.8% of positive starter points).

Demich lineup

Tinker Failures: 1.00 points left. Optimal 90.00 vs. actual 89.00.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Cam Ward	6.78	Cam Ward	6.78
RB	Chuba Hubbard	21.10	Chuba Hubbard	21.10
RB	Woody Marks	10.10	Woody Marks	10.10
WR	Chris Olave	14.30	Chris Olave	14.30
WR	Kayshon Boutte	3.60	Romeo Doubs	11.20
TE	Brenton Strange	9.40	Brenton Strange	9.40
W/R/T	Romeo Doubs	11.20	AJ Barner	4.60
W/R/T	Ja'Kobi Lane	8.00	Ja'Kobi Lane	8.00
DEF	Rams	4.52	Rams	4.52

Carried by One Guy: Chuba Hubbard, 21.10 points (23.7% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Regular

Oct 13 – 19, 2026

Miller

143.84

Rank 2; 0.0 luck points

Adam

95.77

Rank 9; 0.0 luck points

Miller lineup

Tinker Failures: 5.66 points left. Optimal 149.50 vs. actual 143.84.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Trevor Lawrence	29.34	Trevor Lawrence	29.34
RB	Christian McCaffrey	30.70	Christian McCaffrey	30.70
RB	Bhayshul Tuten	24.70	Bhayshul Tuten	24.70
WR	Nico Collins	10.90	Nico Collins	10.90
WR	Denzel Boston	2.50	KC Concepcion Jr.	8.16
TE	George Kittle	17.90	George Kittle	17.90
W/R/T	Dallas Goedert	12.10	Dallas Goedert	12.10
W/R/T	Jaleel McLaughlin	9.50	Jaleel McLaughlin	9.50
DEF	Panthers	6.20	Panthers	6.20

Carried by One Guy: Christian McCaffrey, 30.70 points (21.3% of positive starter points).

Adam lineup

Tinker Failures: 13.50 points left. Optimal 109.27 vs. actual 95.77.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tyler Shough	26.96	Tyler Shough	26.96
RB	Austin Ekeler	2.70	Austin Ekeler	2.70
RB	MarShawn Lloyd	1.00	Roschon Johnson	14.50
WR	Garrett Wilson	8.40	Garrett Wilson	8.40
WR	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	27.40	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	27.40
TE	Cade Otton	1.40	Cade Otton	1.40
W/R/T	Michael Wilson	7.20	Michael Wilson	7.20
W/R/T	Carnell Tate	19.00	Carnell Tate	19.00
DEF	Jaguars	1.71	Jaguars	1.71

Carried by One Guy: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 27.40 points (28.6% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Regular

Oct 13 – 19, 2026

Nevans

95.89

Rank 8; 0.0 luck points

Josh

104.99

Rank 7; 0.0 luck points

Nevans lineup

Tinker Failures: 24.50 points left. Optimal 120.39 vs. actual 95.89.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Josh Allen	18.30	Josh Allen	18.30
RB	Derrick Henry	5.00	Blake Corum	14.00
RB	Bucky Irving	6.90	Tyrone Tracy Jr.	19.40
WR	CeeDee Lamb	16.00	CeeDee Lamb	16.00
WR	Khalil Shakir	13.40	Khalil Shakir	13.40
TE	Tucker Kraft	8.70	Tucker Kraft	8.70
W/R/T	Blake Corum	14.00	Braelon Allen	12.40
W/R/T	Braelon Allen	12.40	Ryan Flournoy	17.00
DEF	Texans	1.19	Texans	1.19

Avoidable loss: the best full lineup would have tied or won.

Carried by One Guy: Josh Allen, 18.30 points (19.1% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Jayden Daniels scored 23.00; zeroing that score creates a win.

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 1.70 points left. Optimal 106.69 vs. actual 104.99.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jayden Daniels	23.00	Jayden Daniels	23.00
RB	Dameon Pierce	15.00	Dameon Pierce	15.00
RB	Ashton Jeanty	15.80	Ashton Jeanty	15.80
WR	A.J. Brown	5.70	A.J. Brown	5.70
WR	Josh Downs	8.70	Josh Downs	8.70
TE	Trey McBride	12.30	Trey McBride	12.30
W/R/T	Terry McLaurin	3.70	Devaughn Vele	7.20
W/R/T	Devaughn Vele	7.20	Emmett Johnson	5.40
DEF	Broncos	13.59	Broncos	13.59

Carried by One Guy: Jayden Daniels, 23.00 points (21.9% of positive starter points).

Regular

Oct 13 – 19, 2026

Big Hut

119.55

Rank 5; 0.0 luck points

Martin

75.40

Rank 14; 0.0 luck points

Big Hut lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 119.55 vs. actual 119.55.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Caleb Williams	18.50	Caleb Williams	18.50
RB	Alvin Kamara	14.90	Alvin Kamara	14.90
RB	Javonte Williams	13.00	Javonte Williams	13.00
WR	Courtland Sutton	3.90	Courtland Sutton	3.90
WR	Luther Burden III	17.50	Luther Burden III	17.50
TE	Isaiah Likely	23.90	Isaiah Likely	23.90
W/R/T	Mike Evans	12.40	Mike Evans	12.40
W/R/T	Puka Nacua	14.00	Puka Nacua	14.00
DEF	Giants	1.45	Giants	1.45

Carried by One Guy: Isaiah Likely, 23.90 points (20.0% of positive starter points).

Martin lineup

Tinker Failures: 26.20 points left. Optimal 101.60 vs. actual 75.40.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tyler Huntley	13.40	Tyler Huntley	13.40
RB	Ty Johnson	4.70	Ty Johnson	4.70
RB	Cam Skattebo	0.00	Cam Skattebo	0.00
WR	Drake London	12.20	Drake London	12.20
WR	George Pickens	13.30	George Pickens	13.30
TE	Harold Fannin Jr.	1.90	Hunter Henry	14.80
W/R/T	Pat Freiermuth	3.10	Stefon Diggs	16.40
W/R/T	Xavier Worthy	14.30	Xavier Worthy	14.30
DEF	Steelers	12.50	Steelers	12.50

Carried by One Guy: Xavier Worthy, 14.30 points (19.0% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Regular

Oct 13 – 19, 2026

Fischer

144.07

Rank 1; 0.0 luck points

Joe Shore

114.74

Rank 6; -1.5 luck points

Fischer lineup

Tinker Failures: 11.70 points left. Optimal 155.77 vs. actual 144.07.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Drake Maye	23.80	Drake Maye	23.80
RB	D'Andre Swift	23.00	D'Andre Swift	23.00
RB	Kenneth Walker III	29.90	Kenneth Walker III	29.90
WR	Dontayvion Wicks	4.40	Marvin Harrison Jr.	6.40
WR	Matthew Golden	24.40	Matthew Golden	24.40
TE	Colston Loveland	18.50	Colston Loveland	18.50
W/R/T	Darren Waller	0.00	Rico Dowdle	7.90
W/R/T	Tyler Higbee	4.20	Mike Washington Jr.	6.00
DEF	Chiefs	15.87	Chiefs	15.87

Carried by One Guy: Kenneth Walker III, 29.90 points (20.8% of positive starter points).

Joe Shore lineup

Tinker Failures: 22.10 points left. Optimal 136.84 vs. actual 114.74.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Kirk Cousins	20.52	Kirk Cousins	20.52
RB	Kyren Williams	9.70	Rachaad White	15.70
RB	Bijan Robinson	7.30	Kyren Williams	9.70
WR	Parker Washington	10.54	Keon Coleman	15.90
WR	Jalen Coker	15.70	Jalen Coker	15.70
TE	Juwan Johnson	0.00	Juwan Johnson	0.00
W/R/T	Rachaad White	15.70	Jaylin Noel	24.04
W/R/T	Germie Bernard	25.70	Germie Bernard	25.70
DEF	Ravens	9.58	Ravens	9.58

Carried by One Guy: Germie Bernard, 25.70 points (22.4% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Kenneth Walker III scored 29.90; zeroing that score creates a win.

Regular

Oct 13 – 19, 2026

Kev

119.89

Rank 4; 0.0 luck points

Niz

86.97

Rank 12; 0.0 luck points

Kev lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 119.89 vs. actual 119.89.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Dak Prescott	11.02	Dak Prescott	11.02
RB	J.K. Dobbins	13.60	J.K. Dobbins	13.60
RB	Rhamondre Stevenson	3.60	Rhamondre Stevenson	3.60
WR	Jakobi Meyers	13.30	Jakobi Meyers	13.30
WR	Malik Nabers	30.50	Malik Nabers	30.50
TE	Brock Bowers	11.00	Brock Bowers	11.00
W/R/T	Kalif Raymond	4.88	Kalif Raymond	4.88
W/R/T	Tre Tucker	26.70	Tre Tucker	26.70
DEF	Seahawks	5.29	Seahawks	5.29

Carried by One Guy: Malik Nabers, 30.50 points (25.4% of positive starter points).

Niz lineup

Tinker Failures: 8.68 points left. Optimal 95.65 vs. actual 86.97.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Matthew Stafford	16.88	C.J. Stroud	24.98
RB	Jonathan Taylor	21.10	Jonathan Taylor	21.10
RB	Jaylen Warren	9.80	Jaylen Warren	9.80
WR	Zay Flowers	12.70	Davante Adams	6.90
WR	Ladd McConkey	2.70	Zay Flowers	12.70
TE	Jake Ferguson	3.30	Jake Ferguson	3.30
W/R/T	Davante Adams	6.90	Wan'Dale Robinson	5.20
W/R/T	Wan'Dale Robinson	5.20	Brian Robinson Jr.	3.28
DEF	Patriots	8.39	Patriots	8.39

Carried by One Guy: Jonathan Taylor, 21.10 points (24.3% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Regular

Oct 13 – 19, 2026

Krajcik

88.84

Rank 11; +3.5 luck points

Horgan

83.34

Rank 13; 0.0 luck points

Krajcik lineup

Tinker Failures: 7.42 points left. Optimal 96.26 vs. actual 88.84.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Brock Purdy	17.36	Brock Purdy	17.36
RB	Tyler Allgeier	5.80	Tyler Allgeier	5.80
RB	Kimani Vidal	7.00	Kimani Vidal	7.00
WR	Keenan Allen	16.20	Keenan Allen	16.20
WR	Christian Watson	9.40	Christian Watson	9.40
TE	Dalton Kincaid	10.80	Dalton Kincaid	10.80
W/R/T	Travis Kelce	9.30	Travis Kelce	9.30
W/R/T	Chris Godwin Jr.	7.70	Rashid Shaheed	15.12
DEF	Jets	5.28	Jets	5.28

Carried by One Guy: Brock Purdy, 17.36 points (19.5% of positive starter points).

Horgan lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 83.34 vs. actual 83.34.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jameis Winston	6.48	Jameis Winston	6.48
RB	Emanuel Wilson	5.20	Emanuel Wilson	5.20
RB	RJ Harvey	14.60	RJ Harvey	14.60
WR	DeVonta Smith	20.50	DeVonta Smith	20.50
WR	Emeka Egbuka	17.80	Emeka Egbuka	17.80
TE	Mark Andrews	1.40	Mark Andrews	1.40
W/R/T	Tony Pollard	7.60	Tony Pollard	7.60
W/R/T	Najee Harris	0.20	Najee Harris	0.20
DEF	Browns	9.56	Browns	9.56

Carried by One Guy: DeVonta Smith, 20.50 points (24.6% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Brock Purdy scored 17.36; zeroing that score creates a win.

Manager	Record	Expected wins	Luck points	Luck in wins	Lucky / unlucky
j-mart	3–3	3.077	0.0	0.000	0 / 0
Miller	4–2	3.692	+2.0	+0.154	1 / 1
Kev	2–4	2.846	-2.5	-0.192	0 / 1
Demich	3–3	3.308	+2.5	+0.192	1 / 0
Krajcik	2–4	1.538	+4.5	+0.346	2 / 1
Big Hut	5–1	3.769	+1.5	+0.115	1 / 0
Adam	3–3	3.692	-2.5	-0.192	1 / 2
Nevans	3–3	4.000	-1.5	-0.115	0 / 1
Josh	4–2	2.923	0.0	0.000	1 / 1
Martin	2–4	2.077	+2.0	+0.154	1 / 1
Fischer	4–2	2.615	+4.0	+0.308	2 / 0
Joe Shore	3–3	3.538	-3.5	-0.269	1 / 2
Niz	3–3	4.077	-5.0	-0.385	0 / 2
Horgan	1–5	0.846	+2.5	+0.192	1 / 0

2026 week 6 matchups

Robbery of the Week

Get Out of Jail Free

Matchups

Regular

j-mart lineup

Demich lineup

Regular

Miller lineup

Adam lineup

Regular

Nevans lineup

Josh lineup

Regular

Big Hut lineup

Martin lineup

Regular

Fischer lineup

Joe Shore lineup

Regular

Kev lineup

Niz lineup

Regular

Krajcik lineup

Horgan lineup

Cumulative totals through week 6