2017 week 15 · Luck Factor

Consolation

Dec 12 – 18, 2017

j-mart

114.74

Krajcik

151.92

j-mart lineup

Tinker Failures: 26.60 points left. Optimal 141.34 vs. actual 114.74.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Kirk Cousins	15.84	Kirk Cousins	15.84
WR	Ted Ginn Jr.	0.00	Alshon Jeffery	12.90
WR	Alshon Jeffery	12.90	Rishard Matthews	18.50
WR	Michael Thomas	19.80	Michael Thomas	19.80
RB	Melvin Gordon III	25.90	Melvin Gordon III	25.90
RB	Alex Collins	7.70	Alex Collins	7.70
TE	Vernon Davis	0.80	Vernon Davis	0.80
W/R/T	Aaron Jones Sr.	5.80	Martavis Bryant	13.90
K	Stephen Hauschka	6.00	Stephen Hauschka	6.00
DEF	Ravens	20.00	Ravens	20.00

Carried by One Guy: Melvin Gordon III, 25.90 points (22.6% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Kareem Hunt scored 38.10; zeroing that score creates a win.

Krajcik lineup

Tinker Failures: 4.92 points left. Optimal 156.84 vs. actual 151.92.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Drew Brees	17.14	Alex Smith	18.54
WR	Michael Crabtree	19.40	Mohamed Sanu	3.60
WR	Antonio Brown	3.40	DeAndre Hopkins	16.00
WR	DeAndre Hopkins	16.00	Michael Crabtree	19.40
RB	Latavius Murray	16.90	Latavius Murray	16.90
RB	Kareem Hunt	38.10	Kareem Hunt	38.10
TE	Hunter Henry	4.30	Hunter Henry	4.30
W/R/T	Dion Lewis	15.98	Jerick McKinnon	19.30
K	Justin Tucker	10.00	Justin Tucker	10.00
DEF	Eagles	10.70	Eagles	10.70

Carried by One Guy: Kareem Hunt, 38.10 points (25.1% of positive starter points).

Consolation

Dec 12 – 18, 2017

Big Hut

81.71

Fischer

130.74

Big Hut lineup

Tinker Failures: 13.80 points left. Optimal 95.51 vs. actual 81.71.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Case Keenum	19.44	Jameis Winston	25.76
WR	Demaryius Thomas	9.40	Demaryius Thomas	9.40
WR	Kenny Stills	1.30	Mike Evans	16.40
WR	Mike Evans	16.40	Paul Richardson	2.80
RB	Leonard Fournette	0.00	Leonard Fournette	0.00
RB	Joe Mixon	0.00	Tarik Cohen	4.98
TE	Delanie Walker	10.20	Delanie Walker	10.20
W/R/T	Randall Cobb	17.90	Randall Cobb	17.90
K	Stephen Gostkowski	7.00	Matt Bryant	8.00
DEF	Giants	0.07	Giants	0.07

Carried by One Guy: Case Keenum, 19.44 points (23.8% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Fischer lineup

Tinker Failures: 9.22 points left. Optimal 139.96 vs. actual 130.74.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Derek Carr	17.54	Tyrod Taylor	23.16
WR	Jermaine Kearse	4.30	Jermaine Kearse	4.30
WR	Adam Thielen	4.50	Adam Thielen	4.50
WR	Nelson Agholor	15.40	Nelson Agholor	15.40
RB	Todd Gurley	45.50	Todd Gurley	45.50
RB	Samaje Perine	7.60	Samaje Perine	7.60
TE	Austin Seferian-Jenkins	2.30	Austin Seferian-Jenkins	2.30
W/R/T	DeMarco Murray	6.80	Bilal Powell	10.40
K	Jake Elliott	8.00	Jake Elliott	8.00
DEF	Rams	18.80	Rams	18.80

Carried by One Guy: Todd Gurley, 45.50 points (34.8% of positive starter points).

Consolation

Dec 12 – 18, 2017

Adam

54.49

Joe Shore

103.77

Adam lineup

Tinker Failures: 14.50 points left. Optimal 68.99 vs. actual 54.49.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Dak Prescott	13.68	Dak Prescott	13.68
WR	Jordy Nelson	4.30	Emmanuel Sanders	10.30
WR	Doug Baldwin	1.10	Cooper Kupp	3.10
WR	Cooper Kupp	3.10	Jordy Nelson	4.30
RB	Alfred Morris	7.10	Alfred Morris	7.10
RB	Jordan Howard	8.30	Jordan Howard	8.30
TE	Tyler Kroft	1.10	Tyler Kroft	1.10
W/R/T	Theo Riddick	5.60	Rodney Smith	10.90
K	Graham Gano	7.00	Graham Gano	7.00
DEF	Titans	3.21	Titans	3.21

Carried by One Guy: Dak Prescott, 13.68 points (25.1% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Joe Shore lineup

Tinker Failures: 19.84 points left. Optimal 123.61 vs. actual 103.77.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Nick Foles	25.48	Cam Newton	31.48
WR	Dez Bryant	6.50	Dez Bryant	6.50
WR	Golden Tate	4.78	Keenan Allen	7.90
WR	Keenan Allen	7.90	Will Fuller V	7.22
RB	Carlos Hyde	4.90	Isaiah Crowell	8.50
RB	Alvin Kamara	17.90	Alvin Kamara	17.90
TE	Jimmy Graham	0.40	Jack Doyle	8.20
W/R/T	Mike Wallace	11.90	Mike Wallace	11.90
K	Harrison Butker	13.00	Harrison Butker	13.00
DEF	Jaguars	11.01	Jaguars	11.01

Carried by One Guy: Nick Foles, 25.48 points (24.6% of positive starter points).

Playoff

Dec 12 – 18, 2017

Kev

161.24

Miller

122.51

Kev lineup

Tinker Failures: 4.20 points left. Optimal 165.44 vs. actual 161.24.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Blake Bortles	27.04	Blake Bortles	27.04
WR	Devin Funchess	2.40	T.Y. Hilton	6.60
WR	Stefon Diggs	12.20	Stefon Diggs	12.20
WR	Sterling Shepard	27.40	Sterling Shepard	27.40
RB	LeSean McCoy	23.60	Mark Ingram II	29.60
RB	Mark Ingram II	29.60	LeSean McCoy	23.60
TE	Kyle Rudolph	8.70	Kyle Rudolph	8.70
W/R/T	Wayne Gallman	10.90	Wayne Gallman	10.90
K	Chris Boswell	8.00	Chris Boswell	8.00
DEF	Bills	11.40	Bills	11.40

Carried by One Guy: Mark Ingram II, 29.60 points (18.4% of positive starter points).

Miller lineup

Tinker Failures: 34.86 points left. Optimal 157.37 vs. actual 122.51.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Russell Wilson	11.58	Russell Wilson	11.58
WR	Larry Fitzgerald	8.50	Marquise Goodwin	19.40
WR	Marquise Goodwin	19.40	Davante Adams	14.20
WR	Davante Adams	14.20	Jamison Crowder	14.36
RB	Devonta Freeman	29.90	Giovani Bernard	11.80
RB	Jamaal Williams	3.00	Devonta Freeman	29.90
TE	Eric Ebron	11.80	Eric Ebron	11.80
W/R/T	Jay Ajayi	9.90	Keelan Cole Sr.	30.10
K	Greg Zuerlein	9.00	Greg Zuerlein	9.00
DEF	Broncos	5.23	Broncos	5.23

Carried by One Guy: Devonta Freeman, 29.90 points (24.4% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Playoff

Dec 12 – 18, 2017

Martin

144.99

Josh

87.91

Martin lineup

Tinker Failures: 11.90 points left. Optimal 156.89 vs. actual 144.99.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Aaron Rodgers	21.90	Aaron Rodgers	21.90
WR	Marvin Jones Jr.	10.00	Marvin Jones Jr.	10.00
WR	Marqise Lee	0.00	DeVante Parker	11.90
WR	JuJu Smith-Schuster	17.38	JuJu Smith-Schuster	17.38
RB	Lamar Miller	4.30	Lamar Miller	4.30
RB	Duke Johnson	12.80	Duke Johnson	12.80
TE	Evan Engram	14.10	Evan Engram	14.10
W/R/T	Greg Olsen	24.10	Greg Olsen	24.10
K	Robbie Gould	23.00	Robbie Gould	23.00
DEF	Vikings	17.41	Vikings	17.41

Carried by One Guy: Greg Olsen, 24.10 points (16.6% of positive starter points).

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 30.98 points left. Optimal 118.89 vs. actual 87.91.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Philip Rivers	7.08	Ben Roethlisberger	18.24
WR	A.J. Green	4.00	A.J. Green	4.00
WR	Brandin Cooks	14.00	Brandin Cooks	14.00
WR	Robbie Chosen	6.50	Robbie Chosen	6.50
RB	Derrick Henry	3.80	C.J. Anderson	17.80
RB	Christian McCaffrey	22.60	Christian McCaffrey	22.60
TE	Travis Kelce	7.60	Travis Kelce	7.60
W/R/T	Dede Westbrook	3.48	Charles Clay	9.30
K	Ryan Succop	14.00	Ryan Succop	14.00
DEF	Patriots	4.85	Patriots	4.85

Carried by One Guy: Christian McCaffrey, 22.60 points (25.7% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Playoff

Dec 12 – 18, 2017

Demich

97.58

Horgan

133.35

Demich lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.96 points left. Optimal 98.54 vs. actual 97.58.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Matt Ryan	15.38	Matt Ryan	15.38
WR	Julio Jones	6.90	Julio Jones	6.90
WR	Josh Gordon	7.20	Josh Gordon	7.20
WR	Jarvis Landry	14.90	Jarvis Landry	14.90
RB	Mike Davis	4.90	Devontae Booker	5.86
RB	Peyton Barber	6.30	Peyton Barber	6.30
TE	Jason Witten	6.70	Jason Witten	6.70
W/R/T	Robert Woods	13.50	Robert Woods	13.50
K	Matt Prater	9.00	Matt Prater	9.00
DEF	Lions	12.80	Lions	12.80

Carried by One Guy: Matt Ryan, 15.38 points (15.8% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Horgan lineup

Tinker Failures: 16.80 points left. Optimal 150.15 vs. actual 133.35.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tom Brady	15.72	Tom Brady	15.72
WR	Tyrell Williams	4.60	Kendall Wright	11.60
WR	Josh Doctson	1.20	Tyrell Williams	4.60
WR	Tyreek Hill	17.32	Tyreek Hill	17.32
RB	Le'Veon Bell	27.00	Le'Veon Bell	27.00
RB	Kenyan Drake	20.30	Kenyan Drake	20.30
TE	Rob Gronkowski	25.30	Rob Gronkowski	25.30
W/R/T	Rex Burkhead	8.20	Zach Ertz	14.60
K	Wil Lutz	6.00	Wil Lutz	6.00
DEF	Saints	7.71	Saints	7.71

Carried by One Guy: Le'Veon Bell, 27.00 points (20.2% of positive starter points).

2017 week 15 matchups

Matchups

Consolation

j-mart lineup

Krajcik lineup

Consolation

Big Hut lineup

Fischer lineup

Consolation

Adam lineup

Joe Shore lineup

Playoff

Kev lineup

Miller lineup

Playoff

Martin lineup

Josh lineup

Playoff

Demich lineup

Horgan lineup