2022 week 9 · Luck Factor

Regular

Nov 1 – 7, 2022

j-mart

68.08

Rank 14; 0.0 luck points

Martin

116.77

Rank 6; 0.0 luck points

j-mart lineup

Tinker Failures unavailable: inconsistent-eligibility.

Carried by One Guy: Jaylen Waddle, 19.50 points (28.6% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Roster evidence flags: inconsistent-eligibility.

Martin lineup

Tinker Failures: 3.74 points left. Optimal 120.51 vs. actual 116.77.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Justin Fields	44.72	Justin Fields	44.72
WR	Cooper Kupp	28.80	Cooper Kupp	28.80
WR	DJ Moore	4.40	DJ Moore	4.40
RB	Nyheim Miller-Hines	0.36	Miles Sanders	15.30
RB	Miles Sanders	15.30	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	2.90
TE	Dawson Knox	5.50	Dawson Knox	5.50
W/R/T	Kalif Raymond	4.70	Kalif Raymond	4.70
W/R/T	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	2.90	Isaiah McKenzie	4.10
DEF	Ravens	10.09	Ravens	10.09

Carried by One Guy: Justin Fields, 44.72 points (38.3% of positive starter points).

Regular

Nov 1 – 7, 2022

Miller

134.07

Rank 4; 0.0 luck points

Big Hut

77.91

Rank 12; 0.0 luck points

Miller lineup

Tinker Failures: 1.98 points left. Optimal 136.05 vs. actual 134.07.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jalen Hurts	20.02	Jalen Hurts	20.02
WR	Tyreek Hill	29.30	Tyreek Hill	29.30
WR	Gabe Davis	5.30	Hunter Renfrow	6.18
RB	Travis Etienne Jr.	28.60	Travis Etienne Jr.	28.60
RB	Brian Robinson	5.80	Rachaad White	6.90
TE	Robert Tonyan	5.90	Robert Tonyan	5.90
W/R/T	Darnell Mooney	17.50	Darnell Mooney	17.50
W/R/T	Rondale Moore	14.90	Rondale Moore	14.90
DEF	Rams	6.75	Rams	6.75

Carried by One Guy: Tyreek Hill, 29.30 points (21.9% of positive starter points).

Big Hut lineup

Tinker Failures: 24.44 points left. Optimal 102.35 vs. actual 77.91.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Justin Herbert	12.10	Justin Herbert	12.10
WR	Drake London	3.30	Marvin Jones Jr.	9.80
WR	Romeo Doubs	2.80	Mecole Hardman Jr.	20.74
RB	James Conner	11.40	James Conner	11.40
RB	Austin Ekeler	24.10	Austin Ekeler	24.10
TE	Noah Fant	14.60	Noah Fant	14.60
W/R/T	Jakobi Meyers	7.40	Jakobi Meyers	7.40
W/R/T	DeVonta Smith	4.20	DeVonta Smith	4.20
DEF	Panthers	-1.99	Panthers	-1.99

Carried by One Guy: Austin Ekeler, 24.10 points (30.2% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Regular

Nov 1 – 7, 2022

Krajcik

75.44

Rank 13; 0.0 luck points

Adam

87.48

Rank 10; +2.5 luck points

Krajcik lineup

Tinker Failures: 11.80 points left. Optimal 87.24 vs. actual 75.44.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Kyler Murray	19.00	Kyler Murray	19.00
WR	DK Metcalf	14.70	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	2.20
WR	Devin Duvernay	1.50	DK Metcalf	14.70
RB	Raheem Mostert	8.96	Raheem Mostert	8.96
RB	Dalvin Cook	13.60	Dalvin Cook	13.60
TE	Tyler Higbee	0.00	Tyler Higbee	0.00
W/R/T	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	2.20	James Robinson	13.30
W/R/T	Amon-Ra St. Brown	9.50	Amon-Ra St. Brown	9.50
DEF	Chiefs	5.98	Chiefs	5.98

Carried by One Guy: Kyler Murray, 19.00 points (25.2% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Geno Smith scored 20.80; zeroing that score creates a win.

Adam lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.08 points left. Optimal 87.56 vs. actual 87.48.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Geno Smith	20.80	Geno Smith	20.80
WR	Parris Campbell	3.60	Parris Campbell	3.60
WR	Tee Higgins	13.00	Tee Higgins	13.00
RB	Cordarrelle Patterson	18.30	Cordarrelle Patterson	18.30
RB	D'Andre Swift	8.00	D'Andre Swift	8.00
TE	Isaiah Likely	9.40	Isaiah Likely	9.40
W/R/T	Robert Woods	0.22	Allen Robinson	5.40
W/R/T	Allen Robinson	5.40	Cam Akers	0.30
DEF	Colts	8.76	Colts	8.76

Carried by One Guy: Geno Smith, 20.80 points (23.8% of positive starter points).

Regular

Nov 1 – 7, 2022

Niz

169.10

Rank 1; 0.0 luck points

Josh

162.50

Rank 2; -5.5 luck points

Niz lineup

Tinker Failures: 8.54 points left. Optimal 177.64 vs. actual 169.10.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Joe Burrow	19.14	Tua Tagovailoa	26.08
WR	Davante Adams	38.60	Davante Adams	38.60
WR	Stefon Diggs	14.30	Stefon Diggs	14.30
RB	Josh Jacobs	11.70	Josh Jacobs	11.70
RB	Devin Singletary	8.80	Devin Singletary	8.80
TE	Dallas Goedert	26.00	Dallas Goedert	26.00
W/R/T	Mike Gesicki	1.30	Christian Kirk	21.60
W/R/T	Christian Kirk	21.60	Isaiah Spiller	2.90
DEF	Patriots	27.66	Patriots	27.66

Carried by One Guy: Davante Adams, 38.60 points (22.8% of positive starter points).

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 3.30 points left. Optimal 165.80 vs. actual 162.50.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Patrick Mahomes	36.14	Patrick Mahomes	36.14
WR	Mike Evans	9.00	Mike Evans	9.00
WR	JuJu Smith-Schuster	18.80	JuJu Smith-Schuster	18.80
RB	Joe Mixon	57.10	Joe Mixon	57.10
RB	David Montgomery	5.40	Samaje Perine	6.40
TE	Zach Ertz	15.00	Zach Ertz	15.00
W/R/T	Hayden Hurst	8.50	Hayden Hurst	8.50
W/R/T	Alec Pierce	3.30	Darrell Henderson Jr.	5.60
DEF	Dolphins	9.26	Dolphins	9.26

Carried by One Guy: Joe Mixon, 57.10 points (35.1% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Davante Adams scored 38.60; zeroing that score creates a win.

Regular

Nov 1 – 7, 2022

Fischer

96.97

Rank 9; 0.0 luck points

Kev

117.24

Rank 5; 0.0 luck points

Fischer lineup

Tinker Failures: 11.40 points left. Optimal 108.37 vs. actual 96.97.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Lamar Jackson	17.52	Lamar Jackson	17.52
WR	Michael Pittman Jr.	5.20	Michael Pittman Jr.	5.20
WR	Joshua Palmer	20.60	Joshua Palmer	20.60
RB	Antonio Gibson	8.06	Antonio Gibson	8.06
RB	Deon Jackson	5.60	Deon Jackson	5.60
TE	Kyle Pitts Sr.	4.70	Kyle Pitts Sr.	4.70
W/R/T	Derrick Henry	25.50	Derrick Henry	25.50
W/R/T	Khalil Herbert	2.90	Terrace Marshall Jr.	14.30
DEF	Bengals	6.89	Bengals	6.89

Carried by One Guy: Derrick Henry, 25.50 points (26.3% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Josh Allen scored 24.80; zeroing that score creates a win.

Kev lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 117.24 vs. actual 117.24.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Josh Allen	24.80	Josh Allen	24.80
WR	Curtis Samuel	17.10	Curtis Samuel	17.10
WR	Allen Lazard	18.70	Allen Lazard	18.70
RB	Leonard Fournette	11.00	Leonard Fournette	11.00
RB	Alvin Kamara	9.20	Alvin Kamara	9.20
TE	Juwan Johnson	12.20	Juwan Johnson	12.20
W/R/T	Eno Benjamin	3.70	Eno Benjamin	3.70
W/R/T	Tyler Allgeier	13.30	Tyler Allgeier	13.30
DEF	Vikings	7.24	Vikings	7.24

Carried by One Guy: Josh Allen, 24.80 points (21.2% of positive starter points).

Regular

Nov 1 – 7, 2022

Demich

137.62

Rank 3; 0.0 luck points

Nevans

108.41

Rank 7; -0.5 luck points

Demich lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 137.62 vs. actual 137.62.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Matthew Stafford	10.50	Matthew Stafford	10.50
WR	DeAndre Carter	11.24	DeAndre Carter	11.24
WR	Justin Jefferson	27.50	Justin Jefferson	27.50
RB	Jamaal Williams	10.10	Jamaal Williams	10.10
RB	Kenneth Walker	29.90	Kenneth Walker	29.90
TE	Travis Kelce	22.60	Travis Kelce	22.60
W/R/T	Michael Carter	15.60	Michael Carter	15.60
W/R/T	Caleb Huntley	3.40	Caleb Huntley	3.40
DEF	Jaguars	6.78	Jaguars	6.78

Carried by One Guy: Kenneth Walker, 29.90 points (21.7% of positive starter points).

Nevans lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 108.41 vs. actual 108.41.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Aaron Rodgers	13.64	Aaron Rodgers	13.64
WR	Adam Thielen	9.70	Adam Thielen	9.70
WR	Terry McLaurin	10.60	Terry McLaurin	10.60
RB	Aaron Jones Sr.	6.50	Aaron Jones Sr.	6.50
RB	Rhamondre Stevenson	16.00	Rhamondre Stevenson	16.00
TE	T.J. Hockenson	16.00	T.J. Hockenson	16.00
W/R/T	Zay Jones	9.00	Zay Jones	9.00
W/R/T	Garrett Wilson	17.90	Garrett Wilson	17.90
DEF	Buccaneers	9.07	Buccaneers	9.07

Carried by One Guy: Garrett Wilson, 17.90 points (16.5% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Kenneth Walker scored 29.90; zeroing that score creates a win.

Regular

Nov 1 – 7, 2022

Joe Shore

99.96

Rank 8; +0.5 luck points

Horgan

78.78

Rank 11; 0.0 luck points

Joe Shore lineup

Tinker Failures: 13.12 points left. Optimal 113.08 vs. actual 99.96.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Trevor Lawrence	16.70	Trevor Lawrence	16.70
WR	DeAndre Hopkins	13.60	DeAndre Hopkins	13.60
WR	A.J. Brown	15.90	A.J. Brown	15.90
RB	Justice Hill	3.08	Jeff Wilson Jr.	16.20
RB	Dameon Pierce	15.90	Dameon Pierce	15.90
TE	Gerald Everett	8.60	Gerald Everett	8.60
W/R/T	Mack Hollins	3.70	Mack Hollins	3.70
W/R/T	Chris Olave	13.10	Chris Olave	13.10
DEF	Eagles	9.38	Eagles	9.38

Carried by One Guy: Trevor Lawrence, 16.70 points (16.7% of positive starter points).

Horgan lineup

Tinker Failures: 1.10 points left. Optimal 79.88 vs. actual 78.78.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tom Brady	15.20	Tom Brady	15.20
WR	Phillip Dorsett II	9.90	Phillip Dorsett II	9.90
WR	Chris Godwin Jr.	10.70	Chris Godwin Jr.	10.70
RB	Kenyan Drake	24.90	Kenyan Drake	24.90
RB	AJ Dillon	6.40	AJ Dillon	6.40
TE	Evan Engram	1.80	Evan Engram	1.80
W/R/T	Jarvis Landry	0.00	Alexander Mattison	1.10
W/R/T	Chase Claypool	3.70	Chase Claypool	3.70
DEF	Bills	6.18	Bills	6.18

Carried by One Guy: Kenyan Drake, 24.90 points (31.6% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Manager	Record	Expected wins	Luck points	Luck in wins	Lucky / unlucky
j-mart	8–1	5.769	+2.5	+0.192	1 / 0
Martin	4–5	4.769	-5.0	-0.385	0 / 2
Miller	6–3	4.846	+0.5	+0.038	1 / 0
Demich	5–4	5.308	-0.5	-0.038	1 / 2
Krajcik	5–4	4.923	0.0	0.000	0 / 0
Big Hut	2–7	4.154	-1.5	-0.115	0 / 1
Niz	4–5	6.385	-9.5	-0.731	0 / 3
Josh	3–6	4.923	-10.0	-0.769	0 / 2
Adam	4–5	1.769	+11.0	+0.846	4 / 0
Fischer	3–6	3.308	+3.5	+0.269	2 / 1
Nevans	6–3	5.462	+2.5	+0.192	1 / 2
Joe Shore	6–3	5.308	-1.5	-0.115	2 / 1
Kev	5–4	5.000	-1.0	-0.077	1 / 1
Horgan	2–7	1.077	+6.0	+0.462	2 / 0

2022 week 9 matchups

Robbery of the Week

Get Out of Jail Free

Matchups

Regular

j-mart lineup

Martin lineup

Regular

Miller lineup

Big Hut lineup

Regular

Krajcik lineup

Adam lineup

Regular

Niz lineup

Josh lineup

Regular

Fischer lineup

Kev lineup

Regular

Demich lineup

Nevans lineup

Regular

Joe Shore lineup

Horgan lineup

Cumulative totals through week 9