Big Hut

Career Overview

Total luck in wins
+1.18
Cumulative luck
+15.5
Lucky / unlucky weeks
26 / 19
Mean all-play rate
48.7%

Season history

SeasonTeamThroughRecordExpected winsLuck pointsLucky / unlucky
2026Bad Grandpa76–14.462+1.51 / 0
2025Bad Grandpa147–77.462+3.52 / 1
2024Bad Grandpa145–95.077+3.53 / 2
2023Bad Grandpa145–95.077-1.03 / 1
2022Bad Grandpa145–96.923-1.01 / 1
2021Nolan for Dollars149–58.615+6.52 / 3
2020Nolan for Dollars135–84.462+2.01 / 1
2019Fournetteflix&chill139–47.7690.00 / 0
2018Oh Saquon you see137–66.154+1.53 / 2
2017Little red Fournette134–93.636+3.53 / 0
2016Hut1310–38.091+0.52 / 1
2015Hut138–57.273+2.01 / 1
2014Hut136–76.364-1.03 / 3
2013Hut137–66.7270.00 / 0
2012Hut134–96.364-6.01 / 3

Nemesis

Joe Shore4–12 in 16 games

Outscored by 108.35 points, with -0.61 luck wins. Last met in 2025 week 7 and lost 124.41–129.66.

Open last meeting

Has Their Number

Krajcik8–4 in 12 games

Outscored them by 268.79 points, with +0.14 luck wins. Last met in 2025 week 5 and lost 108.72–176.49.

Open last meeting
OpponentRecordGamesPFPAMarginLuck winsEvidence
Adam8–5131520.721417.97+102.75+0.14
13 games
Miller5–9141533.521755.10-221.58+0.11
14 games
j-mart6–10161816.351874.08-57.73-0.04
16 games
Joe Shore4–12161865.321973.67-108.35-0.61
16 games
Krajcik8–4121525.981257.19+268.79+0.14
12 games
Josh10–7172018.322079.06-60.74+0.52
17 games
Kev9–6151978.511875.49+103.02-0.50
15 games
Martin7–8151725.221885.09-159.87+0.41
15 games
Demich7–9161906.401796.59+109.81-0.04
16 games
Horgan7–8151623.421834.28-210.86+0.58
15 games
Niz5–38967.64883.13+84.51+0.04
8 games
Nevans6–281055.68990.13+65.55+0.04
8 games
Fischer11–9202354.662284.31+70.35+0.67
20 games

Postseason head-to-head

OpponentRecordGamesPFPAEvidence
Adam3–25639.19575.84
5 games
Miller1–12227.94251.06
2 games
j-mart0–1188.9599.00
1 game
Krajcik1–12234.70220.15
2 games
Josh1–12195.80244.91
2 games
Kev1–23370.57414.92
3 games
Martin1–01151.2480.36
1 game
Demich1–01126.9491.90
1 game
Horgan2–13396.10335.54
3 games
Nevans2–02300.69213.63
2 games
Fischer1–34430.57505.68
4 games

Player Data

SeasonBench points leftBench evidenceCarried leaderShareCarry evidenceFinal BossDamageBoss evidence
202634.40; 0 avoidable losses
7 weeks
  • W1: 1.40 left
  • W2: 5.70 left
  • W3: 0.00 left
  • W4: 11.80 left
  • W5: 7.20 left
  • W6: 0.00 left
  • W7: 8.30 left
Javonte Williams15.2%
7 weeks
  • W1: Caleb Williams 24.1%
  • W2: Breece Hall 20.9%
  • W3: Bo Nix 22.4%
  • W4: Javonte Williams 21.7%
  • W5: Puka Nacua 27.2%
  • W6: Isaiah Likely 20.0%
  • W7: Luther Burden III 20.0%
No single-player result flip0.00
1 week
  • W2: No single-player flip
2025130.36; 2 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 0.00 left
  • W2: 2.14 left
  • W3: 13.70 left
  • W4: 16.08 left
  • W5: 8.80 left
  • W6: 0.00 left
  • W7: 32.98 left
  • W8: 15.82 left
  • W9: 2.70 left
  • W10: 6.00 left
  • W11: 15.42 left
  • W12: 4.48 left
  • W13: 2.50 left
  • W14: 9.74 left
Jahmyr Gibbs18.3%
14 weeks
  • W1: Jalen Hurts 23.9%
  • W2: James Cook III 22.5%
  • W3: Jalen Hurts 19.1%
  • W4: James Cook III 19.1%
  • W5: DeVonta Smith 19.7%
  • W6: Jalen Hurts 21.1%
  • W7: Jahmyr Gibbs 31.2%
  • W8: James Cook III 23.8%
  • W9: Jacoby Brissett 22.7%
  • W10: Jahmyr Gibbs 30.8%
  • W11: Travis Kelce 23.8%
  • W12: Jahmyr Gibbs 29.8%
  • W13: James Cook III 19.0%
  • W14: Jahmyr Gibbs 41.5%
Puka Nacua274.97
7 weeks
  • W4: Puka Nacua +25.65
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W6: Patrick Mahomes +11.03
  • W7: Keenan Allen +25.65
  • W9: Kyren Williams +12.36
  • W11: No single-player flip
  • W13: CeeDee Lamb +20.56
2024182.00; 2 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 21.50 left
  • W2: 21.20 left
  • W3: 0.40 left
  • W4: 1.80 left
  • W5: 30.30 left
  • W6: 4.50 left
  • W7: 14.92 left
  • W8: 22.66 left
  • W9: 16.24 left
  • W10: 10.38 left
  • W11: 28.30 left
  • W12: 6.86 left
  • W13: 2.94 left
  • W14: 0.00 left
Josh Jacobs15.6%
14 weeks
  • W1: Xavier Worthy 20.2%
  • W2: Deebo Samuel Sr. 21.2%
  • W3: Terry McLaurin 28.7%
  • W4: C.J. Stroud 20.2%
  • W5: C.J. Stroud 20.0%
  • W6: Deebo Samuel Sr. 19.0%
  • W7: Josh Jacobs 25.6%
  • W8: Josh Jacobs 22.8%
  • W9: Tony Pollard 20.9%
  • W10: Terry McLaurin 18.9%
  • W11: Jerry Jeudy 28.6%
  • W12: Josh Jacobs 23.2%
  • W13: Jerry Jeudy 27.0%
  • W14: Josh Jacobs 23.2%
Marvin Harrison Jr.230.83
9 weeks
  • W2: Bills +14.29
  • W3: Marvin Harrison Jr. +14.97
  • W4: Jordan Mason +13.00
  • W5: Travis Kelce +4.17
  • W7: No single-player flip
  • W8: No single-player flip
  • W10: No single-player flip
  • W12: Bucky Irving +14.96
  • W14: Rachaad White +7.92
2023226.50; 5 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 3.14 left
  • W2: 8.92 left
  • W3: 3.20 left
  • W4: 47.54 left
  • W5: 23.60 left
  • W6: 23.48 left
  • W7: 4.60 left
  • W8: 24.74 left
  • W9: 14.18 left
  • W10: 17.98 left
  • W11: 32.02 left
  • W12: 12.00 left
  • W13: 3.70 left
  • W14: 7.40 left
Tony Pollard12.5%
14 weeks
  • W1: Tony Pollard 22.5%
  • W2: Tony Pollard 20.5%
  • W3: Travis Etienne Jr. 18.3%
  • W4: Isiah Pacheco 33.8%
  • W5: Joe Burrow 22.4%
  • W6: Raheem Mostert 27.9%
  • W7: Darren Waller 21.0%
  • W8: Joe Burrow 29.1%
  • W9: Joe Burrow 22.0%
  • W10: Joe Burrow 26.5%
  • W11: Jayden Reed 21.2%
  • W12: Dak Prescott 20.5%
  • W13: Dak Prescott 25.9%
  • W14: Raheem Mostert 17.3%
Kyren Williams238.81
9 weeks
  • W1: Tua Tagovailoa +3.04
  • W2: D'Andre Swift +0.04
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W4: No single-player flip
  • W8: Christian McCaffrey +12.95
  • W9: CeeDee Lamb +22.47
  • W10: No single-player flip
  • W11: Jaylen Warren +10.08
  • W12: Kyren Williams +37.49
2022203.50; 4 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 29.00 left
  • W2: 31.80 left
  • W3: 7.64 left
  • W4: 7.90 left
  • W5: 21.40 left
  • W6: 10.88 left
  • W7: 12.04 left
  • W8: 0.00 left
  • W9: 24.44 left
  • W10: 6.40 left
  • W11: 32.90 left
  • W12: 6.30 left
  • W13: 12.80 left
  • W14: 0.00 left
Austin Ekeler18.6%
14 weeks
  • W1: Justin Herbert 25.2%
  • W2: Justin Herbert 20.7%
  • W3: DeVonta Smith 24.1%
  • W4: Austin Ekeler 29.5%
  • W5: Austin Ekeler 30.1%
  • W6: Austin Ekeler 24.4%
  • W7: Austin Ekeler 29.4%
  • W8: Marcus Mariota 24.7%
  • W9: Austin Ekeler 30.2%
  • W10: James Conner 23.1%
  • W11: Justin Herbert 20.4%
  • W12: Justin Herbert 23.8%
  • W13: DeVonta Smith 21.6%
  • W14: Jerick McKinnon 21.2%
Michael Pittman Jr.276.44
9 weeks
  • W1: No single-player flip
  • W2: Tee Higgins +16.47
  • W4: DK Metcalf +3.80
  • W6: Michael Pittman Jr. +28.04
  • W7: Eno Benjamin +12.23
  • W8: No single-player flip
  • W9: No single-player flip
  • W11: Najee Harris +2.94
  • W13: Browns +11.86
2021221.08; 1 avoidable losses
14 weeks
  • W1: 12.20 left
  • W2: 26.04 left
  • W3: 16.90 left
  • W4: 31.00 left
  • W5: 26.00 left
  • W6: 15.30 left
  • W7: 4.20 left
  • W8: 7.70 left
  • W9: 3.20 left
  • W10: 22.24 left
  • W11: 14.50 left
  • W12: 29.10 left
  • W13: 12.70 left
  • W14: 0.00 left
Jonathan Taylor17.4%
14 weeks
  • W1: Tyreek Hill 26.1%
  • W2: Mike Williams 23.0%
  • W3: Mike Williams 26.3%
  • W4: Tyreek Hill 31.7%
  • W5: Justin Herbert 25.1%
  • W6: Jonathan Taylor 22.8%
  • W7: Derek Carr 19.8%
  • W8: Tyreek Hill 20.3%
  • W9: Jonathan Taylor 31.5%
  • W10: Tyreek Hill 19.7%
  • W11: Jonathan Taylor 31.3%
  • W12: Justin Herbert 20.8%
  • W13: Justin Herbert 21.1%
  • W14: Justin Herbert 22.5%
Dak Prescott133.62
5 weeks
  • W2: Derrick Henry +14.34
  • W6: CeeDee Lamb +6.36
  • W9: Dak Prescott +15.80
  • W12: Cordarrelle Patterson +0.06
  • W13: Diontae Johnson +10.85
2020133.70; 1 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 9.70 left
  • W2: 10.40 left
  • W3: 3.70 left
  • W4: 20.20 left
  • W5: 15.50 left
  • W6: 10.40 left
  • W7: 0.00 left
  • W8: 0.00 left
  • W9: 24.80 left
  • W10: 15.20 left
  • W11: 9.10 left
  • W12: 8.70 left
  • W13: 6.00 left
Russell Wilson19.2%
13 weeks
  • W1: Russell Wilson 25.2%
  • W2: Russell Wilson 26.7%
  • W3: Russell Wilson 27.2%
  • W4: George Kittle 28.4%
  • W5: Russell Wilson 20.5%
  • W6: George Kittle 29.9%
  • W7: Russell Wilson 23.3%
  • W8: Russell Wilson 22.7%
  • W9: Christian McCaffrey 23.5%
  • W10: Malcolm Brown 25.2%
  • W11: Curtis Samuel 22.3%
  • W12: Allen Robinson 24.6%
  • W13: Logan Thomas 29.0%
DK Metcalf250.35
8 weeks
  • W2: No single-player flip
  • W3: James Robinson +29.44
  • W5: Mike Davis +11.22
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W8: DK Metcalf +37.27
  • W10: No single-player flip
  • W11: Adam Thielen +17.87
  • W13: No single-player flip
2019244.56; 1 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 0.00 left
  • W2: 5.70 left
  • W3: 11.20 left
  • W4: 62.30 left
  • W5: 18.24 left
  • W6: 0.00 left
  • W7: 30.80 left
  • W8: 36.42 left
  • W9: 31.30 left
  • W10: 30.60 left
  • W11: 2.70 left
  • W12: 6.90 left
  • W13: 8.40 left
Matt Ryan12.3%
13 weeks
  • W1: Matt Ryan 13.3%
  • W2: Julio Jones 20.8%
  • W3: Julio Jones 20.1%
  • W4: Austin Hooper 20.4%
  • W5: Matt Ryan 21.8%
  • W6: Matt Ryan 20.0%
  • W7: Allen Robinson 27.0%
  • W8: David Montgomery 18.1%
  • W9: Matthew Stafford 20.1%
  • W10: Harrison Butker 14.0%
  • W11: Matt Ryan 21.0%
  • W12: Chris Godwin Jr. 28.0%
  • W13: Allen Robinson 16.7%
Robert Woods28.08
4 weeks
  • W4: Robert Woods +15.57
  • W7: No single-player flip
  • W10: No single-player flip
  • W11: No single-player flip
2018216.38; 0 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 5.30 left
  • W2: 22.16 left
  • W3: 19.50 left
  • W4: 32.36 left
  • W5: 11.74 left
  • W6: 29.46 left
  • W7: 22.80 left
  • W8: 18.20 left
  • W9: 4.50 left
  • W10: 32.60 left
  • W11: 0.00 left
  • W12: 8.50 left
  • W13: 9.26 left
Saquon Barkley19.2%
13 weeks
  • W1: Saquon Barkley 31.6%
  • W2: Ben Roethlisberger 30.5%
  • W3: Ben Roethlisberger 17.4%
  • W4: Sterling Shepard 23.5%
  • W5: Saquon Barkley 24.8%
  • W6: Saquon Barkley 35.7%
  • W7: Saquon Barkley 22.0%
  • W8: Sammy Watkins 23.5%
  • W9: Jared Goff 25.8%
  • W10: Nick Chubb 25.4%
  • W11: Saquon Barkley 29.0%
  • W12: Amari Cooper 25.1%
  • W13: Saquon Barkley 16.5%
Alvin Kamara90.34
6 weeks
  • W1: No single-player flip
  • W4: No single-player flip
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W8: James Conner +6.77
  • W9: Alvin Kamara +28.63
  • W11: No single-player flip
2017229.38; 4 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 12.06 left
  • W2: 9.40 left
  • W3: 7.12 left
  • W4: 22.40 left
  • W5: 0.00 left
  • W6: 15.28 left
  • W7: 36.70 left
  • W8: 1.60 left
  • W9: 34.52 left
  • W10: 6.10 left
  • W11: 16.50 left
  • W12: 35.98 left
  • W13: 31.72 left
Leonard Fournette12.4%
13 weeks
  • W1: Leonard Fournette 21.3%
  • W2: Mike Evans 17.7%
  • W3: Jameis Winston 17.1%
  • W4: Leonard Fournette 21.6%
  • W5: Leonard Fournette 30.5%
  • W6: Leonard Fournette 22.8%
  • W7: Jameis Winston 32.3%
  • W8: Paul Richardson 26.4%
  • W9: Demaryius Thomas 24.0%
  • W10: Eli Manning 20.4%
  • W11: Kenny Stills 22.5%
  • W12: Joe Mixon 32.6%
  • W13: Case Keenum 21.4%
Kareem Hunt125.00
9 weeks
  • W1: Kareem Hunt +41.04
  • W4: Le'Veon Bell +24.62
  • W6: Melvin Gordon III +2.79
  • W7: No single-player flip
  • W8: LeSean McCoy +7.41
  • W9: No single-player flip
  • W10: No single-player flip
  • W12: No single-player flip
  • W13: No single-player flip
2016148.52; 2 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 18.10 left
  • W2: 37.30 left
  • W3: 1.40 left
  • W4: 17.20 left
  • W5: 0.00 left
  • W6: 8.86 left
  • W7: 9.92 left
  • W8: 11.04 left
  • W9: 14.54 left
  • W10: 1.60 left
  • W11: 12.70 left
  • W12: 10.44 left
  • W13: 5.42 left
Drew Brees17.1%
13 weeks
  • W1: Drew Brees 34.2%
  • W2: Melvin Gordon III 22.8%
  • W3: Chiefs 19.7%
  • W4: Will Fuller V 20.3%
  • W5: T.Y. Hilton 21.1%
  • W6: Drew Brees 29.4%
  • W7: Melvin Gordon III 23.4%
  • W8: Jamison Crowder 18.4%
  • W9: Melvin Gordon III 26.9%
  • W10: Drew Brees 21.1%
  • W11: Jamison Crowder 19.1%
  • W12: Drew Brees 28.6%
  • W13: Devonta Freeman 18.0%
Matthew Stafford109.99
3 weeks
  • W1: Matthew Stafford +27.06
  • W2: Carson Palmer +5.58
  • W6: Odell Beckham Jr. +11.54
2015259.68; 3 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 19.50 left
  • W2: 44.70 left
  • W3: 54.70 left
  • W4: 24.20 left
  • W5: 16.20 left
  • W6: 0.00 left
  • W7: 5.10 left
  • W8: 23.00 left
  • W9: 0.00 left
  • W10: 12.56 left
  • W11: 6.98 left
  • W12: 50.94 left
  • W13: 1.80 left
Calvin Johnson11.1%
13 weeks
  • W1: Rams 17.6%
  • W2: Ryan Tannehill 23.1%
  • W3: Amari Cooper 17.7%
  • W4: Devonta Freeman 30.9%
  • W5: Devonta Freeman 22.9%
  • W6: Devonta Freeman 22.5%
  • W7: Todd Gurley 26.5%
  • W8: Eli Manning 29.0%
  • W9: DeAngelo Williams 25.0%
  • W10: Eli Manning 26.1%
  • W11: Matthew Stafford 21.2%
  • W12: Calvin Johnson 20.6%
  • W13: DeAngelo Williams 18.0%
Tom Brady97.87
5 weeks
  • W1: No single-player flip
  • W2: Ben Roethlisberger +8.63
  • W3: Jamaal Charles +3.29
  • W5: Tom Brady +16.29
  • W10: Antonio Brown +14.46
2014145.44; 2 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 19.18 left
  • W2: 17.04 left
  • W3: 0.36 left
  • W4: 25.84 left
  • W5: 20.12 left
  • W6: 11.84 left
  • W7: 26.68 left
  • W8: 0.00 left
  • W9: 4.10 left
  • W10: 0.00 left
  • W11: 10.58 left
  • W12: 0.50 left
  • W13: 9.20 left
Julio Jones13.0%
13 weeks
  • W1: 49ers 14.9%
  • W2: Dez Bryant 19.5%
  • W3: Julio Jones 24.7%
  • W4: Colin Kaepernick 17.3%
  • W5: Dez Bryant 18.5%
  • W6: Colin Kaepernick 32.8%
  • W7: Dez Bryant 27.9%
  • W8: Brandin Cooks 20.0%
  • W9: Alfred Morris 22.2%
  • W10: Dez Bryant 22.9%
  • W11: 49ers 16.0%
  • W12: Dez Bryant 18.4%
  • W13: Julio Jones 28.3%
Jimmy Graham154.26
7 weeks
  • W1: Antonio Brown +16.91
  • W2: Jimmy Graham +17.87
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W6: No single-player flip
  • W7: No single-player flip
  • W11: A.J. Green +8.55
  • W12: Tony Romo +10.36
2013217.81; 3 avoidable losses
13 weeks
  • W1: 0.00 left
  • W2: 6.82 left
  • W3: 15.60 left
  • W4: 16.40 left
  • W5: 18.30 left
  • W6: 38.20 left
  • W7: 30.18 left
  • W8: 17.84 left
  • W9: 0.00 left
  • W10: 12.50 left
  • W11: 24.67 left
  • W12: 8.80 left
  • W13: 28.50 left
Russell Wilson15.0%
13 weeks
  • W1: Victor Cruz 21.4%
  • W2: Pierre Garcon 26.1%
  • W3: Russell Wilson 24.6%
  • W4: Victor Cruz 21.2%
  • W5: Russell Wilson 25.7%
  • W6: Justin Blackmon 19.4%
  • W7: Matt Forte 25.7%
  • W8: Reggie Bush 17.1%
  • W9: Matt Forte 23.0%
  • W10: Pierre Garcon 23.4%
  • W11: Matt Forte 18.2%
  • W12: Alex Smith 19.7%
  • W13: Russell Wilson 23.7%
Marshawn Lynch331.20
6 weeks
  • W2: Marshawn Lynch +31.05
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W9: Andrew Luck +17.17
  • W10: Calvin Johnson +20.30
  • W11: Chris Johnson +19.94
2012141.76; 3 avoidable losses
11 weeks
  • W1: 3.60 left
  • W3: 25.14 left
  • W4: 2.00 left
  • W5: 0.32 left
  • W6: 23.14 left
  • W7: 0.00 left
  • W8: 13.60 left
  • W10: 11.60 left
  • W11: 19.56 left
  • W12: 16.66 left
  • W13: 26.14 left
Matt Ryan14.9%
13 weeks
  • W1: Matt Ryan 26.5%
  • W2: Matt Ryan 21.1%
  • W3: Calvin Johnson 28.4%
  • W4: Matt Ryan 27.1%
  • W5: Devery Henderson 23.3%
  • W6: Calvin Johnson 20.3%
  • W7: Doug Martin 17.0%
  • W8: Doug Martin 29.9%
  • W9: Doug Martin 50.3%
  • W10: Calvin Johnson 20.5%
  • W11: Patriots 23.0%
  • W12: Patriots 17.2%
  • W13: Calvin Johnson 22.4%
Cowboys213.80
9 weeks
  • W1: Drew Brees +8.02
  • W2: No single-player flip
  • W3: No single-player flip
  • W4: No single-player flip
  • W5: No single-player flip
  • W6: Dez Bryant +8.33
  • W8: Matthew Stafford +20.98
  • W9: No single-player flip
  • W10: Cowboys +23.82