2020 week 16 · Luck Factor

Consolation

Dec 22 – 28, 2020

j-mart

129.34

Krajcik

157.70

j-mart lineup

Tinker Failures: 9.80 points left. Optimal 139.14 vs. actual 129.34.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Mitchell Trubisky	23.60	Mitchell Trubisky	23.60
WR	Mike Evans	42.10	Dez Bryant	7.80
WR	Tyler Lockett	7.40	Mike Evans	42.10
RB	Mike Davis	8.80	Mike Davis	8.80
RB	Kenyan Drake	13.00	Kenyan Drake	13.00
TE	Darren Waller	18.20	Darren Waller	18.20
W/R/T	T.Y. Hilton	9.00	T.Y. Hilton	9.00
W/R/T	Jarvis Landry	0.00	Mike Gesicki	9.40
K	Mason Crosby	3.00	Mason Crosby	3.00
DEF	Lions	4.24	Lions	4.24

Carried by One Guy: Mike Evans, 42.10 points (32.5% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Krajcik lineup

Tinker Failures: 3.62 points left. Optimal 161.32 vs. actual 157.70.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Aaron Rodgers	25.14	Deshaun Watson	28.76
WR	Amari Cooper	18.10	Amari Cooper	18.10
WR	Tyreek Hill	10.50	Tyreek Hill	10.50
RB	Todd Gurley	8.00	Todd Gurley	8.00
RB	Miles Sanders	18.40	Miles Sanders	18.40
TE	Rob Gronkowski	19.80	Rob Gronkowski	19.80
W/R/T	Robbie Chosen	16.90	Robbie Chosen	16.90
W/R/T	Laviska Shenault Jr.	15.80	Laviska Shenault Jr.	15.80
K	Jason Sanders	14.00	Jason Sanders	14.00
DEF	Cowboys	11.06	Cowboys	11.06

Carried by One Guy: Aaron Rodgers, 25.14 points (15.9% of positive starter points).

Consolation

Dec 22 – 28, 2020

Martin

90.99

Fischer

187.02

Martin lineup

Tinker Failures: 6.59 points left. Optimal 97.58 vs. actual 90.99.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Cam Newton	9.76	Cam Newton	9.76
WR	Keenan Allen	0.00	Keenan Allen	0.00
WR	A.J. Brown	8.30	A.J. Brown	8.30
RB	Derrick Henry	9.80	Austin Ekeler	15.80
RB	Austin Ekeler	15.80	Gus Edwards	14.20
TE	Noah Fant	12.50	Noah Fant	12.50
W/R/T	Nyheim Miller-Hines	11.66	Nyheim Miller-Hines	11.66
W/R/T	J.K. Dobbins	13.70	J.K. Dobbins	13.70
K	Younghoe Koo	2.00	Younghoe Koo	2.00
DEF	Bears	7.47	Seahawks	9.66

Carried by One Guy: Austin Ekeler, 15.80 points (17.4% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Fischer lineup

Tinker Failures: 9.55 points left. Optimal 196.57 vs. actual 187.02.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Josh Allen	34.30	Josh Allen	34.30
WR	Davante Adams	45.20	Davante Adams	45.20
WR	DJ Chark	16.20	DJ Chark	16.20
RB	Aaron Jones Sr.	12.80	Aaron Jones Sr.	12.80
RB	Myles Gaskin	33.90	Myles Gaskin	33.90
TE	Dallas Goedert	6.80	Dallas Goedert	6.80
W/R/T	Leonard Fournette	15.60	Leonard Fournette	15.60
W/R/T	Gabe Davis	6.30	Hayden Hurst	15.70
K	Tyler Bass	7.00	Tyler Bass	7.00
DEF	Browns	8.92	Chargers	9.07

Carried by One Guy: Davante Adams, 45.20 points (24.2% of positive starter points).

Playoff

Dec 22 – 28, 2020

Miller

179.57

Nevans

141.66

Miller lineup

Tinker Failures: 3.50 points left. Optimal 183.07 vs. actual 179.57.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tom Brady	31.92	Tom Brady	31.92
WR	Diontae Johnson	21.76	Diontae Johnson	21.76
WR	Chase Claypool	9.40	Chase Claypool	9.40
RB	D'Andre Swift	9.00	Ezekiel Elliott	19.90
RB	Jonathan Taylor	19.40	Jonathan Taylor	19.40
TE	Travis Kelce	22.80	Travis Kelce	22.80
W/R/T	Jamison Crowder	29.32	Jamison Crowder	29.32
W/R/T	Ezekiel Elliott	19.90	Hollywood Brown	12.50
K	Greg Zuerlein	11.00	Greg Zuerlein	11.00
DEF	Dolphins	5.07	Dolphins	5.07

Carried by One Guy: Tom Brady, 31.92 points (17.8% of positive starter points).

Nevans lineup

Tinker Failures: 6.40 points left. Optimal 148.06 vs. actual 141.66.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Patrick Mahomes	19.22	Patrick Mahomes	19.22
WR	DeAndre Hopkins	12.80	DeAndre Hopkins	12.80
WR	Stefon Diggs	43.50	Stefon Diggs	43.50
RB	Kareem Hunt	14.20	Kareem Hunt	14.20
RB	Salvon Ahmed	1.30	Devin Singletary	7.20
TE	Robert Tonyan	2.70	Robert Tonyan	2.70
W/R/T	Brandin Cooks	29.10	Brandin Cooks	29.10
W/R/T	Brandon Aiyuk	4.10	Darius Slayton	4.60
K	Harrison Butker	7.00	Harrison Butker	7.00
DEF	Bills	7.74	Bills	7.74

Carried by One Guy: Stefon Diggs, 43.50 points (30.7% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Playoff

Dec 22 – 28, 2020

Demich

133.89

Horgan

117.23

Demich lineup

Tinker Failures: 4.70 points left. Optimal 138.59 vs. actual 133.89.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tua Tagovailoa	8.86	Tua Tagovailoa	8.86
WR	DK Metcalf	11.90	DK Metcalf	11.90
WR	Justin Jefferson	14.50	Justin Jefferson	14.50
RB	J.D. McKissic	23.20	J.D. McKissic	23.20
RB	Nick Chubb	17.60	Nick Chubb	17.60
TE	George Kittle	13.20	George Kittle	13.20
W/R/T	Melvin Gordon III	7.90	Latavius Murray	12.60
W/R/T	CeeDee Lamb	23.52	CeeDee Lamb	23.52
K	Ka'imi Fairbairn	6.00	Ka'imi Fairbairn	6.00
DEF	Cardinals	7.21	Cardinals	7.21

Carried by One Guy: CeeDee Lamb, 23.52 points (17.6% of positive starter points).

Horgan lineup

Tinker Failures: 1.00 points left. Optimal 118.23 vs. actual 117.23.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Kyler Murray	15.38	Kyler Murray	15.38
WR	Antonio Brown	13.50	Antonio Brown	13.50
WR	DJ Moore	8.70	DJ Moore	8.70
RB	Dalvin Cook	16.50	Dalvin Cook	16.50
RB	Chris Carson	10.90	Chris Carson	10.90
TE	Mark Andrews	13.60	Mark Andrews	13.60
W/R/T	Christian Kirk	14.60	Wayne Gallman	7.30
W/R/T	Russell Gage Jr.	6.30	Christian Kirk	14.60
K	Justin Tucker	7.00	Justin Tucker	7.00
DEF	Ravens	10.75	Ravens	10.75

Carried by One Guy: Dalvin Cook, 16.50 points (14.1% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: CeeDee Lamb scored 23.52; zeroing that score creates a win.

2020 week 16 matchups

Matchups

Consolation

j-mart lineup

Krajcik lineup

Consolation

Martin lineup

Fischer lineup

Playoff

Miller lineup

Nevans lineup

Playoff

Demich lineup

Horgan lineup