2021 season ledger

Actual results beside all-play expectation, schedule counterfactuals, weekly receipts, rivalries, and archived player evidence.

SeasonThrough week: 14Data snapshot: Sep 14, 2026, 7:58 PM UTC

Actual and all-play standings

All-play is a score comparison, not a prediction of skill.

Actual record, all-play expectation, and both traditional luck tallies through week 14.
Manager	W–L	PF	Expected wins	Luck points	Luck in wins	Lucky	Unlucky	All-play
Demich	11–3	1838.69	8.154	+2.5	+0.192	3	0	58.2%
Krajcik	10–4	2014.39	9.538	-2.0	-0.154	2	2	68.1%
Adam	10–4	1770.76	7.462	+3.5	+0.269	2	1	53.3%
Big Hut	9–5	1866.66	8.615	+6.5	+0.500	2	3	61.5%
Fischer	8–6	1874.73	8.308	-1.0	-0.077	0	2	59.3%
Miller	7–7	1884.42	8.538	-10.5	-0.808	1	4	61.0%
j-mart	7–7	1778.18	7.538	+4.0	+0.308	3	3	53.8%
Josh	6–8	1761.33	6.385	+0.5	+0.038	2	1	45.6%
Kev	6–8	1739.12	6.769	-2.5	-0.192	1	2	48.4%
Niz	6–8	1649.81	5.462	+2.5	+0.192	2	1	39.0%
Martin	6–8	1588.45	4.538	+9.5	+0.731	3	0	32.4%
Joe Shore	5–9	1759.06	6.615	-4.5	-0.346	1	2	47.3%
Nevans	4–10	1653.55	5.000	-0.5	-0.038	2	1	35.7%
Horgan	3–11	1640.69	5.077	-4.0	-0.308	0	2	36.3%

All-play order

Krajcik — 9.538 expected wins; 124–58–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Big Hut — 8.615 expected wins; 112–70–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Miller — 8.538 expected wins; 111–71–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Fischer — 8.308 expected wins; 108–74–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Demich — 8.154 expected wins; 106–76–0 across weekly score comparisons.
j-mart — 7.538 expected wins; 98–84–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Adam — 7.462 expected wins; 97–85–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Kev — 6.769 expected wins; 88–94–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Joe Shore — 6.615 expected wins; 86–96–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Josh — 6.385 expected wins; 83–99–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Niz — 5.462 expected wins; 71–111–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Horgan — 5.077 expected wins; 66–116–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Nevans — 5.000 expected wins; 65–117–0 across weekly score comparisons.
Martin — 4.538 expected wins; 59–123–0 across weekly score comparisons.

Latest weekly receipts

All exact ties share the award.

Week 14

Robbery of the Week

Joe ShoreRank 3, 147.18 points, lost by 34.76. Open matchup

Get Out of Jail Free

Big HutRank 13, 110.81 points, won by 8.88. Open matchup

Cumulative luck in wins

Normalized before totals are compared across league sizes.

Equivalent cumulative series by manager and week.
Manager	W1	W2	W3	W4	W5	W6	W7	W8	W9	W10	W11	W12	W13	W14
j-mart	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.35	+0.15	+0.15	+0.15	+0.42	+0.46	+0.42	+0.42	+0.31
Martin	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.12	+0.38	+0.38	+0.38	+0.38	+0.38	+0.73	+0.73
Miller	0.00	+0.27	+0.27	+0.27	+0.27	+0.27	-0.08	-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.46	-0.46	-0.81	-0.81
Demich	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.12	+0.15	+0.15	+0.15	+0.15	+0.15	+0.15	+0.15	+0.19	+0.19
Krajcik	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.04	-0.23	-0.23	-0.23	+0.12	+0.12	-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.15
Big Hut	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.12	+0.15	+0.15	+0.12	+0.12	+0.12	+0.12	+0.08	+0.50
Niz	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.04	+0.08	+0.08	+0.19	+0.19	+0.19	+0.19
Josh	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.12	-0.08	+0.04
Adam	+0.12	+0.12	+0.12	+0.12	+0.12	+0.08	+0.08	+0.08	+0.27	+0.27	+0.27	+0.27	+0.27	+0.27
Fischer	0.00	0.00	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.08
Nevans	0.00	0.00	+0.19	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04
Joe Shore	-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	0.00	-0.35
Kev	0.00	-0.27	-0.27	-0.27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.19
Horgan	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.31	-0.31	-0.31	-0.31	-0.31	-0.31

Schedule Swap

Each score stays in its original week. Only the schedule owner changes.

Open complete 14×14 matrix

Best and worst transposed schedules for each source team.
Source team	Best owner	Record	Worst owner	Record
j-mart	Horgan	11–3 (+4.0)	Kev	5–9 (-2.0)
Martin	Fischer	7–7 (+1.0)	Joe Shore	1–13 (-5.0)
Miller	Demich	11–3 (+4.0)	Krajcik	6–8 (-1.0)
Demich	Demich	11–3 (0.0)	Kev	6–8 (-5.0)
Krajcik	Demich	12–2 (+2.0)	Joe Shore	8–6 (-2.0)
Big Hut	Joe Shore	10–4 (+1.0)	Fischer	7–7 (-2.0)
Niz	Joe Shore	7–7 (+1.0)	Kev	4–10 (-2.0)
Josh	Horgan	9–5 (+3.0)	j-mart	5–9 (-1.0)
Adam	Demich	11–3 (+1.0)	Fischer	6–8 (-4.0)
Fischer	Niz	10–4 (+2.0)	j-mart	7–7 (-1.0)
Nevans	Demich	7–7 (+3.0)	j-mart	3–11 (-1.0)
Joe Shore	Martin	9–5 (+4.0)	Josh	4–10 (-1.0)
Kev	Demich	9–5 (+3.0)	Joe Shore	5–9 (-1.0)
Horgan	Demich	7–7 (+4.0)	Nevans	3–11 (0.0)

Everybody's Super Bowl

Opponent score minus that opponent's mean in other eligible weeks. Each baseline needs two other weeks.

Average opponent excess by manager.
Manager	Mean excess	Meetings	Largest receipt
j-mart	+4.04 pts	14	Josh: +50.53 pts
Martin	-3.40 pts	14	Demich: +34.23 pts
Miller	+2.47 pts	14	Krajcik: +30.09 pts
Demich	-11.27 pts	14	Krajcik: +13.70 pts
Krajcik	+0.86 pts	14	Adam: +38.88 pts
Big Hut	+3.00 pts	14	Josh: +44.48 pts
Niz	-3.21 pts	14	Kev: +46.12 pts
Josh	+4.29 pts	14	Fischer: +52.50 pts
Adam	+0.91 pts	14	Martin: +49.19 pts
Fischer	+4.23 pts	14	Big Hut: +46.78 pts
Nevans	+0.58 pts	14	Big Hut: +24.91 pts
Joe Shore	+1.92 pts	14	Big Hut: +48.96 pts
Kev	+0.53 pts	14	j-mart: +36.92 pts
Horgan	-4.93 pts	14	Fischer: +30.23 pts

Cupcake Schedule / Murderers' Row

Opponent percentile excludes both the focal team and the opponent. Higher means harder.

Average opponent weekly percentile and points against.
Manager	Difficulty	Games	PA/game
j-mart	51.8%	14	130.18
Martin	45.2%	14	124.40
Miller	50.6%	14	127.73
Demich	32.7%	14	115.77
Krajcik	54.2%	14	126.13
Big Hut	55.4%	14	128.26
Niz	50.6%	14	124.84
Josh	56.0%	14	131.01
Adam	47.0%	14	126.54
Fischer	49.4%	14	129.43
Nevans	51.8%	14	128.30
Joe Shore	54.8%	14	129.72
Kev	58.9%	14	127.32
Horgan	41.7%	14	123.21

Heart Attack Club

A close game has a margin of 5.00 points or less, inclusive.

Close-game records and rates. Counts show the sample size.
Manager	Close record	Games	Win-credit rate	Closest win	Closest loss
j-mart	3–0	3	100.0%	0.09	None
Martin	0–1	1	0.0%	None	1.76
Miller	0–3	3	0.0%	None	0.71
Demich	1–0	1	100.0%	3.08	None
Krajcik	1–0	1	100.0%	3.67	None
Big Hut	2–1	3	66.7%	2.32	3.08
Niz	0–1	1	0.0%	None	0.09
Josh	0–1	1	0.0%	None	1.00
Adam	1–0	1	100.0%	4.70	None
Fischer	1–0	1	100.0%	0.71	None
Nevans	1–2	3	33.3%	1.00	2.32
Joe Shore	0–1	1	0.0%	None	3.67
Kev	0–0	0	Not enough history	None	None
Horgan	0–0	0	Not enough history	None	None

Paper Tiger / Wasted Talent

Actual win-credit rate against all-play win rate. The diagonal means equality.

Chart data. Gap equals actual win rate minus all-play win rate.
Manager	Actual	All-play	Gap	View
j-mart	50.0%	53.8%	-3.8 pp	Wasted Talent
Martin	42.9%	32.4%	+10.4 pp	Paper Tiger
Miller	50.0%	61.0%	-11.0 pp	Wasted Talent
Demich	78.6%	58.2%	+20.3 pp	Paper Tiger
Krajcik	71.4%	68.1%	+3.3 pp	Paper Tiger
Big Hut	64.3%	61.5%	+2.7 pp	Paper Tiger
Niz	42.9%	39.0%	+3.8 pp	Paper Tiger
Josh	42.9%	45.6%	-2.7 pp	Wasted Talent
Adam	71.4%	53.3%	+18.1 pp	Paper Tiger
Fischer	57.1%	59.3%	-2.2 pp	Wasted Talent
Nevans	28.6%	35.7%	-7.1 pp	Wasted Talent
Joe Shore	35.7%	47.3%	-11.5 pp	Wasted Talent
Kev	42.9%	48.4%	-5.5 pp	Wasted Talent
Horgan	21.4%	36.3%	-14.8 pp	Wasted Talent

The Roller Coaster

Population standard deviation of weekly all-play percentile. Two weeks required.

Weekly normalized score volatility.
Manager	Volatility	Mean percentile	Weeks
j-mart	23.3 pp	53.8%	14
Martin	25.0 pp	32.4%	14
Miller	25.1 pp	61.0%	14
Demich	29.5 pp	58.2%	14
Krajcik	29.9 pp	68.1%	14
Big Hut	32.4 pp	61.5%	14
Niz	30.4 pp	39.0%	14
Josh	31.5 pp	45.6%	14
Adam	20.2 pp	53.3%	14
Fischer	30.4 pp	59.3%	14
Nevans	30.9 pp	35.7%	14
Joe Shore	30.6 pp	47.3%	14
Kev	34.1 pp	48.4%	14
Horgan	30.6 pp	36.3%	14

Nemesis / Has Their Number

Stable-manager regular-season records. Postseason is kept separate on manager pages.

Largest qualifying net-loss and net-win rivalry for each manager.
Manager	Nemesis	Record	Has Their Number	Record
j-mart	Krajcik	0–1	Fischer	1–0
Martin	Demich	0–1	Niz	1–0
Miller	Krajcik	0–1	Martin	1–0
Demich	Krajcik	0–1	Martin	1–0
Krajcik	Horgan	0–1	Joe Shore	2–0
Big Hut	Martin	0–1	Horgan	2–0
Niz	Horgan	0–1	Big Hut	1–0
Josh	Fischer	0–1	Big Hut	1–0
Adam	Fischer	0–1	Kev	1–0
Fischer	Demich	0–1	Nevans	2–0
Nevans	Fischer	0–2	Horgan	1–0
Joe Shore	Krajcik	0–2	Martin	1–0
Kev	Fischer	0–1	Martin	1–0
Horgan	Big Hut	0–2	Niz	1–0

Archived player statistics

Hindsight lineup using the archived roster and Yahoo-reported position eligibility; not a reconstruction of kickoff-time options.

Tinker Failures:196/196 (100.0%)Carried by One Guy:196/196 (100.0%)Opponent's Final Boss:98/98 (100.0%)

Tinker Failures

Best full archived lineup versus actual starters.
Manager	Points left	Avoidable losses	Receipts
j-mart	83.42	1	14 weeks W1: 1.70 left W2: 5.00 left W3: 8.52 left W4: 23.40 left W5: 0.00 left W6: 8.80 left W7: 0.00 left W8: 13.20 left W9: 5.00 left W10: 1.00 left W11: 2.50 left W12: 8.20 left W13: 6.10 left W14: 0.00 left
Martin	247.02	4	14 weeks W1: 29.04 left W2: 13.70 left W3: 27.02 left W4: 33.76 left W5: 17.90 left W6: 38.30 left W7: 11.60 left W8: 16.66 left W9: 8.70 left W10: 7.10 left W11: 28.00 left W12: 8.64 left W13: 6.60 left W14: 0.00 left
Miller	186.72	4	14 weeks W1: 9.10 left W2: 18.70 left W3: 16.98 left W4: 17.70 left W5: 11.40 left W6: 14.80 left W7: 7.20 left W8: 5.60 left W9: 0.00 left W10: 27.30 left W11: 7.66 left W12: 42.78 left W13: 4.80 left W14: 2.70 left
Demich	106.14	0	14 weeks W1: 11.30 left W2: 9.30 left W3: 0.00 left W4: 18.10 left W5: 9.10 left W6: 0.00 left W7: 0.00 left W8: 4.06 left W9: 3.42 left W10: 11.82 left W11: 13.54 left W12: 0.00 left W13: 21.20 left W14: 4.30 left
Krajcik	137.84	2	14 weeks W1: 8.70 left W2: 19.32 left W3: 12.60 left W4: 26.40 left W5: 18.64 left W6: 0.60 left W7: 0.00 left W8: 6.18 left W9: 5.32 left W10: 11.10 left W11: 5.98 left W12: 6.30 left W13: 6.50 left W14: 10.20 left
Big Hut	221.08	1	14 weeks W1: 12.20 left W2: 26.04 left W3: 16.90 left W4: 31.00 left W5: 26.00 left W6: 15.30 left W7: 4.20 left W8: 7.70 left W9: 3.20 left W10: 22.24 left W11: 14.50 left W12: 29.10 left W13: 12.70 left W14: 0.00 left
Niz	176.86	3	14 weeks W1: 23.90 left W2: 3.20 left W3: 15.80 left W4: 10.20 left W5: 28.02 left W6: 0.00 left W7: 18.40 left W8: 0.90 left W9: 16.00 left W10: 20.82 left W11: 0.00 left W12: 18.76 left W13: 1.70 left W14: 19.16 left
Josh	150.11	4	14 weeks W1: 1.80 left W2: 4.30 left W3: 21.20 left W4: 24.90 left W5: 34.92 left W6: 10.30 left W7: 0.00 left W8: 6.60 left W9: 9.00 left W10: 8.80 left W11: 2.20 left W12: 17.56 left W13: 1.34 left W14: 7.19 left
Adam	177.74	0	14 weeks W1: 17.70 left W2: 10.20 left W3: 15.40 left W4: 13.00 left W5: 12.60 left W6: 20.70 left W7: 1.10 left W8: 9.60 left W9: 9.70 left W10: 16.10 left W11: 0.00 left W12: 28.74 left W13: 2.40 left W14: 20.50 left
Fischer	228.28	1	14 weeks W1: 45.62 left W2: 9.70 left W3: 24.00 left W4: 7.70 left W5: 30.14 left W6: 13.80 left W7: 4.80 left W8: 21.34 left W9: 19.10 left W10: 7.60 left W11: 3.70 left W12: 18.60 left W13: 14.88 left W14: 7.30 left
Nevans	117.28	1	14 weeks W1: 24.40 left W2: 4.00 left W3: 4.90 left W4: 0.00 left W5: 11.91 left W6: 7.92 left W7: 0.00 left W8: 20.23 left W9: 13.90 left W10: 5.48 left W11: 7.70 left W12: 6.50 left W13: 10.34 left W14: 0.00 left
Joe Shore	179.58	4	14 weeks W1: 6.90 left W2: 23.60 left W3: 12.60 left W4: 24.44 left W5: 27.30 left W6: 19.84 left W7: 5.80 left W8: 1.30 left W9: 2.66 left W10: 12.88 left W11: 15.90 left W12: 11.84 left W13: 6.72 left W14: 7.80 left
Kev	123.50	1	14 weeks W1: 13.40 left W2: 7.20 left W3: 3.10 left W4: 25.60 left W5: 28.10 left W6: 6.30 left W7: 0.00 left W8: 3.88 left W9: 10.90 left W10: 8.32 left W11: 4.20 left W12: 12.50 left W13: 0.00 left W14: 0.00 left
Horgan	205.00	5	14 weeks W1: 0.40 left W2: 6.22 left W3: 19.50 left W4: 8.00 left W5: 18.20 left W6: 0.18 left W7: 7.40 left W8: 28.20 left W9: 8.60 left W10: 53.70 left W11: 19.80 left W12: 0.00 left W13: 9.10 left W14: 25.70 left

Carried by One Guy

Season share of positive points from actual starts.
Manager	Leading player	Share	Positive starter points	Receipts
j-mart	Leonard Fournette	12.9%	1778.18	14 weeks W1: Darren Waller 17.7% W2: DJ Moore 17.3% W3: Kareem Hunt 17.3% W4: DJ Moore 24.4% W5: Alvin Kamara 21.0% W6: Leonard Fournette 26.3% W7: Alvin Kamara 24.4% W8: Ryan Tannehill 18.6% W9: Keenan Allen 21.7% W10: Ryan Tannehill 22.0% W11: Keenan Allen 18.1% W12: Leonard Fournette 41.7% W13: Keenan Allen 20.7% W14: Alvin Kamara 19.6%
Martin	Patrick Mahomes	17.0%	1588.45	14 weeks W1: Patrick Mahomes 28.8% W2: Derrick Henry 37.9% W3: Patrick Mahomes 20.9% W4: Patrick Mahomes 24.3% W5: Derrick Henry 23.6% W6: Derrick Henry 31.5% W7: Damien Harris 24.0% W8: Robert Woods 19.2% W9: Brandon Aiyuk 18.8% W10: Patrick Mahomes 41.3% W11: Brandon Aiyuk 28.5% W12: Dawson Knox 23.2% W13: Dallas Goedert 29.2% W14: Rashaad Penny 18.1%
Miller	Jalen Hurts	13.7%	1886.98	14 weeks W1: Jalen Hurts 20.9% W2: Jalen Hurts 17.6% W3: DK Metcalf 18.7% W4: Jalen Hurts 21.5% W5: DK Metcalf 16.9% W6: Jalen Hurts 22.5% W7: D'Andre Swift 17.6% W8: Michael Pittman Jr. 24.5% W9: Pat Freiermuth 14.2% W10: Antonio Gibson 20.0% W11: Jalen Hurts 22.7% W12: Antonio Gibson 21.6% W13: Javonte Williams 20.5% W14: Hunter Renfrow 23.8%
Demich	Deebo Samuel Sr.	13.9%	1843.22	14 weeks W1: Deebo Samuel Sr. 22.0% W2: Travis Kelce 19.7% W3: Dak Prescott 22.0% W4: Deebo Samuel Sr. 29.7% W5: Dak Prescott 17.2% W6: Dak Prescott 22.8% W7: Tua Tagovailoa 17.5% W8: Michael Carter 24.3% W9: Dak Prescott 15.6% W10: Deebo Samuel Sr. 19.5% W11: Travis Kelce 17.1% W12: Elijah Mitchell 18.3% W13: Tee Higgins 24.2% W14: Titans 17.9%
Krajcik	Kyler Murray	11.5%	2018.93	14 weeks W1: Kyler Murray 21.3% W2: Kyler Murray 21.6% W3: James Robinson 16.2% W4: Kyler Murray 18.0% W5: Hollywood Brown 23.0% W6: Kyler Murray 17.1% W7: Ja'Marr Chase 25.7% W8: Cole Beasley 22.5% W9: James Conner 22.8% W10: Christian McCaffrey 19.6% W11: Christian McCaffrey 22.7% W12: Tony Pollard 21.3% W13: George Kittle 24.2% W14: George Kittle 19.8%
Big Hut	Jonathan Taylor	17.4%	1866.66	14 weeks W1: Tyreek Hill 26.1% W2: Mike Williams 23.0% W3: Mike Williams 26.3% W4: Tyreek Hill 31.7% W5: Justin Herbert 25.1% W6: Jonathan Taylor 22.8% W7: Derek Carr 19.8% W8: Tyreek Hill 20.3% W9: Jonathan Taylor 31.5% W10: Tyreek Hill 19.7% W11: Jonathan Taylor 31.3% W12: Justin Herbert 20.8% W13: Justin Herbert 21.1% W14: Justin Herbert 22.5%
Niz	Cordarrelle Patterson	13.0%	1652.20	14 weeks W1: Adam Thielen 25.2% W2: Aaron Jones Sr. 27.7% W3: Mark Andrews 14.1% W4: Cordarrelle Patterson 30.2% W5: Mark Andrews 36.0% W6: Adam Thielen 20.7% W7: Cordarrelle Patterson 20.8% W8: Aaron Jones Sr. 19.8% W9: Cordarrelle Patterson 21.8% W10: Mark Andrews 21.7% W11: Kirk Cousins 22.4% W12: Cordarrelle Patterson 22.0% W13: Kirk Cousins 27.3% W14: Mark Andrews 21.6%
Josh	Aaron Rodgers	14.9%	1761.33	14 weeks W1: Corey Davis 21.6% W2: Terry McLaurin 23.5% W3: Alexander Mattison 21.4% W4: Terry McLaurin 27.0% W5: Alexander Mattison 22.5% W6: CeeDee Lamb 22.8% W7: Terry McLaurin 15.7% W8: CeeDee Lamb 22.1% W9: Dalvin Cook 17.4% W10: CeeDee Lamb 24.3% W11: Aaron Rodgers 24.8% W12: Aaron Rodgers 27.6% W13: Sony Michel 17.9% W14: Dalvin Cook 29.6%
Adam	Tom Brady	17.9%	1772.54	14 weeks W1: Tom Brady 22.5% W2: Tom Brady 22.7% W3: Tom Brady 22.3% W4: Diontae Johnson 20.0% W5: Tom Brady 24.4% W6: DeAndre Hopkins 16.2% W7: Mike Evans 25.7% W8: Tom Brady 21.1% W9: Teddy Bridgewater 21.1% W10: Ezekiel Elliott 19.8% W11: Diontae Johnson 18.6% W12: Dolphins 25.5% W13: Diontae Johnson 21.5% W14: Tom Brady 26.2%
Fischer	Cooper Kupp	18.8%	1874.73	14 weeks W1: Joe Mixon 18.0% W2: Cooper Kupp 21.2% W3: Davante Adams 25.0% W4: Joe Burrow 26.4% W5: Davante Adams 25.9% W6: Cooper Kupp 22.3% W7: Cooper Kupp 24.5% W8: Cooper Kupp 23.9% W9: Joe Mixon 22.6% W10: Cooper Kupp 28.5% W11: Davante Adams 25.7% W12: Joe Mixon 21.5% W13: Cooper Kupp 29.6% W14: Davante Adams 27.0%
Nevans	Josh Allen	19.2%	1657.17	14 weeks W1: Nick Chubb 21.2% W2: Bills 18.1% W3: Josh Allen 31.5% W4: David Montgomery 16.0% W5: Josh Allen 30.3% W6: Josh Allen 26.9% W7: A.J. Brown 24.4% W8: A.J. Brown 24.3% W9: Nick Chubb 23.1% W10: Josh Allen 29.2% W11: Elijah Moore 27.5% W12: Josh Allen 26.9% W13: David Montgomery 26.8% W14: Josh Allen 34.2%
Joe Shore	Najee Harris	14.0%	1759.06	14 weeks W1: Tyler Lockett 18.8% W2: Tyler Lockett 26.3% W3: Najee Harris 21.1% W4: Clyde Edwards-Helaire 17.7% W5: Najee Harris 20.6% W6: Darrell Henderson Jr. 20.5%, Najee Harris 20.5% W7: Chris Godwin Jr. 24.9% W8: Chris Godwin Jr. 20.2% W9: DeVonta Smith 26.0% W10: Rhamondre Stevenson 21.5% W11: Zach Ertz 22.2% W12: Rob Gronkowski 23.9% W13: Chris Godwin Jr. 26.0% W14: Najee Harris 17.3%
Kev	Matthew Stafford	16.5%	1739.12	14 weeks W1: Matthew Stafford 20.8% W2: Austin Ekeler 16.7% W3: Matthew Stafford 18.9% W4: Austin Ekeler 27.3% W5: Antonio Brown 23.6% W6: Matthew Stafford 20.0% W7: Matthew Stafford 34.2% W8: Tyler Lockett 25.4% W9: Justin Jefferson 23.4% W10: Justin Jefferson 31.4% W11: Austin Ekeler 29.0% W12: Matthew Stafford 18.4% W13: Justin Jefferson 22.8% W14: Tyler Lockett 20.8%
Horgan	Lamar Jackson	15.1%	1642.75	14 weeks W1: Amari Cooper 31.2% W2: Lamar Jackson 32.4% W3: Saints 20.2% W4: Saquon Barkley 20.9% W5: Lamar Jackson 36.9% W6: Jaylen Waddle 20.3% W7: Lamar Jackson 21.9% W8: Devontae Booker 18.3% W9: Lamar Jackson 27.5% W10: Stefon Diggs 31.3% W11: Jaylen Waddle 20.0% W12: Jaylen Waddle 23.0% W13: Deonte Harty 15.9% W14: Chiefs 23.9%

Opponent's Final Boss

Zero-score counterfactual damage in official losses.
Manager	Leading opponent	Damage	Leader encounters	Receipts
j-mart	Tyler Lockett	259.00	1	7 weeks W2: Travis Kelce +20.50 W7: Terry McLaurin +1.69 W8: Tyreek Hill +6.31 W9: No single-player flip W12: Antonio Gibson +17.80 W13: Chris Godwin Jr. +16.27 W14: Tyler Lockett +24.02
Martin	Alvin Kamara	232.93	1	8 weeks W1: Tom Brady +22.55 W3: Josh Allen +24.28 W5: Alvin Kamara +28.02 W6: No single-player flip W9: No single-player flip W10: No single-player flip W11: No single-player flip W12: No single-player flip
Miller	Cooper Kupp	524.94	1	7 weeks W3: Mike Williams +32.50 W6: Dak Prescott +13.32 W7: Cooper Kupp +38.89 W8: Tom Brady +22.50 W11: Aaron Rodgers +28.00 W13: George Kittle +25.18 W14: Mark Andrews +18.45
Demich	Dalvin Cook	77.47	1	3 weeks W3: No single-player flip W11: Diontae Johnson +0.35 W14: Dalvin Cook +30.80
Krajcik	Tom Brady	207.69	1	4 weeks W5: Tom Brady +31.76 W10: Tyreek Hill +21.14 W11: Kirk Cousins +15.39 W12: No single-player flip
Big Hut	Dak Prescott	133.62	1	5 weeks W2: Derrick Henry +14.34 W6: CeeDee Lamb +6.36 W9: Dak Prescott +15.80 W12: Cordarrelle Patterson +0.06 W13: Diontae Johnson +10.85
Niz	Deebo Samuel Sr.	210.08	1	8 weeks W1: Jalen Hurts +11.13 W3: No single-player flip W4: Deebo Samuel Sr. +29.10 W5: Davante Adams +8.44 W7: No single-player flip W8: A.J. Brown +16.54 W10: Ryan Tannehill +18.53 W13: No single-player flip
Josh	Josh Allen	252.54	1	8 weeks W1: Deebo Samuel Sr. +3.40 W2: No single-player flip W3: Tom Brady +10.01 W4: Patrick Mahomes +20.46 W5: Josh Allen +37.50 W8: Cole Beasley +7.26 W9: Cordarrelle Patterson +16.41 W13: Justin Jefferson +6.17
Adam	DJ Moore	25.58	1	4 weeks W4: DJ Moore +16.19 W6: Adam Thielen +4.78 W12: No single-player flip W14: No single-player flip
Fischer	Dallas Goedert	58.94	1	6 weeks W3: Kareem Hunt +1.54 W4: No single-player flip W8: No single-player flip W10: No single-player flip W11: Jonathan Taylor +5.24 W13: Dallas Goedert +23.73
Nevans	Tyreek Hill	379.35	1	10 weeks W1: No single-player flip W2: Tom Brady +22.06 W4: Tyreek Hill +47.28 W6: Leonard Fournette +28.15 W7: Ja'Marr Chase +15.66 W10: No single-player flip W11: Zach Ertz +10.57 W12: No single-player flip W13: Tee Higgins +8.32 W14: Davante Adams +17.13
Joe Shore	Kyler Murray	293.27	2	9 weeks W1: Kyler Murray +29.89 W2: Aaron Jones Sr. +20.31 W4: Jalen Hurts +10.99 W5: No single-player flip W6: Matthew Stafford +20.03 W7: No single-player flip W9: Teddy Bridgewater +13.05 W12: Aaron Rodgers +14.82 W14: George Kittle +1.34
Kev	Michael Carter	56.52	1	8 weeks W1: No single-player flip W2: Kyler Murray +6.93 W4: Saquon Barkley +3.70 W5: DK Metcalf +10.19 W7: Derek Carr +0.22 W8: Michael Carter +10.70 W9: No single-player flip W10: No single-player flip
Horgan	Tyreek Hill	222.52	2	11 weeks W1: Tyreek Hill +20.23 W2: Jalen Hurts +3.30 W3: No single-player flip W5: Dak Prescott +9.97 W6: Cooper Kupp +21.12 W7: Mike Evans +15.37 W8: Robert Woods +7.98 W9: Nick Chubb +9.71 W10: CeeDee Lamb +12.75 W11: Keenan Allen +3.98 W14: Justin Herbert +16.02

Postseason scorecards

Actual participants only. These scores do not enter regular-season luck.

Source week 15

Source week 16

Source week 17