2020 week 14 · Luck Factor

Consolation

Dec 9 – 14, 2020

Krajcik

169.49

Josh

106.13

Krajcik lineup

Tinker Failures: 7.28 points left. Optimal 176.77 vs. actual 169.49.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Aaron Rodgers	30.90	Aaron Rodgers	30.90
WR	Amari Cooper	15.10	Amari Cooper	15.10
WR	Tyreek Hill	26.10	Tyreek Hill	26.10
RB	Todd Gurley	5.10	Kerryon Johnson	8.30
RB	Miles Sanders	31.60	Miles Sanders	31.60
TE	Rob Gronkowski	7.20	Rob Gronkowski	7.20
W/R/T	Robbie Chosen	17.70	Robbie Chosen	17.70
W/R/T	Hunter Renfrow	7.02	Laviska Shenault Jr.	11.10
K	Jason Sanders	10.00	Jason Sanders	10.00
DEF	Cowboys	18.77	Cowboys	18.77

Carried by One Guy: Miles Sanders, 31.60 points (18.6% of positive starter points).

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 15.40 points left. Optimal 121.53 vs. actual 106.13.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Justin Herbert	15.72	Justin Herbert	15.72
WR	Josh Reynolds	1.60	Tim Patrick	12.60
WR	Calvin Ridley	28.40	Calvin Ridley	28.40
RB	David Johnson	0.00	Devontae Booker	4.90
RB	Devontae Booker	4.90	Zack Moss	4.30
TE	Dalton Schultz	6.40	Dalton Schultz	6.40
W/R/T	Giovani Bernard	3.30	Giovani Bernard	3.30
W/R/T	Tim Patrick	12.60	Jared Cook	12.70
K	Rodrigo Blankenship	12.00	Rodrigo Blankenship	12.00
DEF	Rams	21.21	Rams	21.21

Carried by One Guy: Calvin Ridley, 28.40 points (26.8% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Consolation

Dec 9 – 14, 2020

Big Hut

99.85

Fischer

103.11

Big Hut lineup

Tinker Failures: 16.00 points left. Optimal 115.85 vs. actual 99.85.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Russell Wilson	22.14	Russell Wilson	22.14
WR	Allen Robinson	29.30	Allen Robinson	29.30
WR	DeVante Parker	0.00	Curtis Samuel	16.00
RB	Jordan Wilkins	1.70	Jordan Wilkins	1.70
RB	Boston Scott	2.70	Boston Scott	2.70
TE	Logan Thomas	10.30	Logan Thomas	10.30
W/R/T	David Moore	11.90	David Moore	11.90
W/R/T	Jerry Jeudy	6.20	Jerry Jeudy	6.20
K	Wil Lutz	3.00	Wil Lutz	3.00
DEF	Colts	12.61	Colts	12.61

Avoidable loss: the best full lineup would have tied or won.

Carried by One Guy: Allen Robinson, 29.30 points (29.3% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Davante Adams scored 26.50; zeroing that score creates a win.

Fischer lineup

Tinker Failures: 19.79 points left. Optimal 122.90 vs. actual 103.11.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Josh Allen	18.32	Josh Allen	18.32
WR	Davante Adams	26.50	Davante Adams	26.50
WR	DJ Chark	3.60	DJ Chark	3.60
RB	Leonard Fournette	0.00	Aaron Jones Sr.	9.50
RB	Aaron Jones Sr.	9.50	Cam Akers	23.40
TE	Dallas Goedert	8.30	Dallas Goedert	8.30
W/R/T	Henry Ruggs III	5.28	Henry Ruggs III	5.28
W/R/T	Cam Akers	23.40	Gabe Davis	10.90
K	Tyler Bass	6.00	Tyler Bass	6.00
DEF	Browns	2.21	Chargers	11.10

Carried by One Guy: Davante Adams, 26.50 points (25.7% of positive starter points).

Playoff

Dec 9 – 14, 2020

Niz

118.14

Nevans

178.17

Niz lineup

Tinker Failures: 8.10 points left. Optimal 126.24 vs. actual 118.14.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Lamar Jackson	36.92	Lamar Jackson	36.92
WR	Sterling Shepard	6.50	Sammy Watkins	7.20
WR	Mike Williams	0.00	Sterling Shepard	6.50
RB	Alvin Kamara	22.40	Alvin Kamara	22.40
RB	Jamaal Williams	4.20	Phillip Lindsay	5.10
TE	T.J. Hockenson	16.30	T.J. Hockenson	16.30
W/R/T	Cole Beasley	9.10	Cole Beasley	9.10
W/R/T	Adam Thielen	6.90	Adam Thielen	6.90
K	Graham Gano	1.00	Graham Gano	1.00
DEF	Chiefs	14.82	Chiefs	14.82

Carried by One Guy: Lamar Jackson, 36.92 points (31.3% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Nevans lineup

Tinker Failures: 1.00 points left. Optimal 179.17 vs. actual 178.17.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Patrick Mahomes	20.62	Patrick Mahomes	20.62
WR	DeAndre Hopkins	24.60	DeAndre Hopkins	24.60
WR	Stefon Diggs	31.10	Stefon Diggs	31.10
RB	Duke Johnson	7.90	Duke Johnson	7.90
RB	Kareem Hunt	29.00	Kareem Hunt	29.00
TE	Hunter Henry	10.10	Hunter Henry	10.10
W/R/T	Robert Tonyan	14.60	Robert Tonyan	14.60
W/R/T	Brandon Aiyuk	24.10	Brandon Aiyuk	24.10
K	Harrison Butker	8.00	Jason Myers	9.00
DEF	49ers	8.15	49ers	8.15

Carried by One Guy: Stefon Diggs, 31.10 points (17.5% of positive starter points).

Playoff

Dec 9 – 14, 2020

Miller

149.68

Kev

77.71

Miller lineup

Tinker Failures: 13.48 points left. Optimal 163.16 vs. actual 149.68.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Taysom Hill	18.94	Taysom Hill	18.94
WR	Jamison Crowder	2.70	Hollywood Brown	13.00
WR	Diontae Johnson	8.00	Diontae Johnson	8.00
RB	Ezekiel Elliott	7.90	Chase Edmonds	9.74
RB	Jonathan Taylor	32.50	Jonathan Taylor	32.50
TE	Travis Kelce	29.60	Travis Kelce	29.60
W/R/T	Hollywood Brown	13.00	Tony Pollard	14.34
W/R/T	D'Andre Swift	15.00	D'Andre Swift	15.00
K	Dustin Hopkins	12.00	Dustin Hopkins	12.00
DEF	Buccaneers	10.04	Buccaneers	10.04

Carried by One Guy: Jonathan Taylor, 32.50 points (21.7% of positive starter points).

Kev lineup

Tinker Failures: 7.82 points left. Optimal 85.53 vs. actual 77.71.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Philip Rivers	17.76	Jalen Hurts	21.28
WR	Robert Woods	8.10	Keke Coutee	9.54
WR	Keke Coutee	9.54	Jakobi Meyers	8.70
RB	James Conner	1.80	Ito Smith	5.50
RB	Jeff Wilson Jr.	9.40	Jeff Wilson Jr.	9.40
TE	Evan Engram	3.80	Evan Engram	3.80
W/R/T	Marvin Jones Jr.	8.80	Marvin Jones Jr.	8.80
W/R/T	Tee Higgins	9.90	Tee Higgins	9.90
K	Ryan Succop	6.00	Ryan Succop	6.00
DEF	Saints	2.61	Saints	2.61

Carried by One Guy: Philip Rivers, 17.76 points (22.9% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

2020 week 14 matchups

Matchups

Consolation

Krajcik lineup

Josh lineup

Consolation

Big Hut lineup

Fischer lineup

Playoff

Niz lineup

Nevans lineup

Playoff

Miller lineup

Kev lineup