2017 week 14 · Luck Factor

Consolation

Dec 5 – 11, 2017

j-mart

99.00

Big Hut

88.95

j-mart lineup

Tinker Failures: 10.80 points left. Optimal 109.80 vs. actual 99.00.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Kirk Cousins	8.84	Kirk Cousins	8.84
WR	Ted Ginn Jr.	1.70	Alshon Jeffery	13.70
WR	Alshon Jeffery	13.70	Martavis Bryant	7.40
WR	Michael Thomas	24.70	Michael Thomas	24.70
RB	Melvin Gordon III	14.80	Melvin Gordon III	14.80
RB	Alex Collins	25.60	Alex Collins	25.60
TE	Vernon Davis	9.60	Vernon Davis	9.60
W/R/T	Aaron Jones Sr.	-0.20	Austin Ekeler	4.90
K	Stephen Hauschka	1.00	Stephen Hauschka	1.00
DEF	Ravens	-0.74	Ravens	-0.74

Carried by One Guy: Alex Collins, 25.60 points (25.6% of positive starter points).

Big Hut lineup

Tinker Failures: 34.82 points left. Optimal 123.77 vs. actual 88.95.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Case Keenum	19.20	Case Keenum	19.20
WR	Demaryius Thomas	19.30	Demaryius Thomas	19.30
WR	Kenny Stills	2.80	Randall Cobb	7.90
WR	Mike Evans	3.50	Paul Richardson	14.70
RB	Leonard Fournette	21.90	Leonard Fournette	21.90
RB	Joe Mixon	0.00	Tarik Cohen	10.42
TE	Delanie Walker	6.70	Delanie Walker	6.70
W/R/T	Randall Cobb	7.90	Jared Cook	16.00
K	Stephen Gostkowski	9.00	Stephen Gostkowski	9.00
DEF	Giants	-1.35	Giants	-1.35

Avoidable loss: the best full lineup would have tied or won.

Carried by One Guy: Leonard Fournette, 21.90 points (24.3% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Alex Collins scored 25.60; zeroing that score creates a win.

Consolation

Dec 5 – 11, 2017

Fischer

105.45

Adam

151.17

Fischer lineup

Tinker Failures: 9.24 points left. Optimal 114.69 vs. actual 105.45.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Derek Carr	10.44	Derek Carr	10.44
WR	Jermaine Kearse	0.90	Travis Benjamin	6.24
WR	Adam Thielen	21.50	Adam Thielen	21.50
WR	Nelson Agholor	10.40	Nelson Agholor	10.40
RB	Todd Gurley	27.00	Todd Gurley	27.00
RB	Samaje Perine	7.20	Samaje Perine	7.20
TE	Austin Seferian-Jenkins	0.60	Austin Seferian-Jenkins	0.60
W/R/T	DeMarco Murray	5.70	Sammy Watkins	9.60
K	Jake Elliott	13.00	Jake Elliott	13.00
DEF	Rams	8.71	Rams	8.71

Carried by One Guy: Todd Gurley, 27.00 points (25.6% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Adam lineup

Tinker Failures: 27.80 points left. Optimal 178.97 vs. actual 151.17.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Dak Prescott	28.58	Dak Prescott	28.58
WR	Doug Baldwin	15.30	Doug Baldwin	15.30
WR	Zay Jones	0.00	Cooper Kupp	22.30
WR	Cooper Kupp	22.30	Jordy Nelson	5.30
RB	Alfred Morris	10.00	Rodney Smith	32.50
RB	Jordan Howard	30.00	Jordan Howard	30.00
TE	Tyler Kroft	0.00	Tyler Kroft	0.00
W/R/T	Theo Riddick	24.30	Theo Riddick	24.30
K	Graham Gano	8.00	Graham Gano	8.00
DEF	Titans	12.69	Titans	12.69

Carried by One Guy: Jordan Howard, 30.00 points (19.8% of positive starter points).

Playoff

Dec 5 – 11, 2017

Demich

89.11

Josh

84.32

Demich lineup

Tinker Failures: 17.80 points left. Optimal 106.91 vs. actual 89.11.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Matt Ryan	6.84	Matt Ryan	6.84
WR	Julio Jones	12.30	Josh Gordon	14.40
WR	Josh Gordon	14.40	Jarvis Landry	20.78
WR	Jarvis Landry	20.78	Tyler Lockett	19.80
RB	Mike Davis	7.00	Mike Davis	7.00
RB	Peyton Barber	6.80	Peyton Barber	6.80
TE	Jason Witten	8.50	Jason Witten	8.50
W/R/T	Corey Davis	4.40	Corey Coleman	14.70
K	Matt Prater	7.00	Matt Prater	7.00
DEF	Bengals	1.09	Bengals	1.09

Carried by One Guy: Jarvis Landry, 20.78 points (23.3% of positive starter points).

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 13.88 points left. Optimal 98.20 vs. actual 84.32.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Philip Rivers	22.76	Ben Roethlisberger	30.74
WR	A.J. Green	6.90	A.J. Green	6.90
WR	Brandin Cooks	4.30	Brandin Cooks	4.30
WR	Robbie Chosen	4.20	Dede Westbrook	16.60
RB	Derrick Henry	8.00	C.J. Anderson	8.30
RB	Christian McCaffrey	6.80	Derrick Henry	8.00
TE	Travis Kelce	10.90	Travis Kelce	10.90
W/R/T	Dede Westbrook	16.60	James White	8.60
K	Ryan Succop	1.00	Ryan Succop	1.00
DEF	Patriots	2.86	Patriots	2.86

Avoidable loss: the best full lineup would have tied or won.

Carried by One Guy: Philip Rivers, 22.76 points (27.0% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Jarvis Landry scored 20.78; zeroing that score creates a win.

Playoff

Dec 5 – 11, 2017

Miller

143.80

Martin

73.82

Miller lineup

Tinker Failures: 14.48 points left. Optimal 158.28 vs. actual 143.80.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Russell Wilson	21.84	Russell Wilson	21.84
WR	Larry Fitzgerald	6.90	Marquise Goodwin	15.60
WR	Davante Adams	25.40	Davante Adams	25.40
WR	Jamison Crowder	5.14	Danny Amendola	10.92
RB	Devonta Freeman	15.10	Devonta Freeman	15.10
RB	Jamaal Williams	27.30	Jamaal Williams	27.30
TE	Ricky Seals-Jones	2.50	Ricky Seals-Jones	2.50
W/R/T	Giovani Bernard	16.00	Giovani Bernard	16.00
K	Greg Zuerlein	5.00	Greg Zuerlein	5.00
DEF	Broncos	18.62	Broncos	18.62

Carried by One Guy: Jamaal Williams, 27.30 points (19.0% of positive starter points).

Martin lineup

Tinker Failures: 6.00 points left. Optimal 79.82 vs. actual 73.82.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Marcus Mariota	3.46	Marcus Mariota	3.46
WR	Marvin Jones Jr.	7.90	Marvin Jones Jr.	7.90
WR	Kelvin Benjamin	11.30	Kelvin Benjamin	11.30
WR	Marqise Lee	9.00	Marqise Lee	9.00
RB	Lamar Miller	7.00	Lamar Miller	7.00
RB	Duke Johnson	13.00	Duke Johnson	13.00
TE	Evan Engram	7.40	Evan Engram	7.40
W/R/T	Greg Olsen	0.00	DeVante Parker	6.00
K	Robbie Gould	16.00	Robbie Gould	16.00
DEF	Steelers	-1.24	Steelers	-1.24

Carried by One Guy: Robbie Gould, 16.00 points (21.3% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

2017 week 14 matchups

Matchups

Consolation

j-mart lineup

Big Hut lineup

Consolation

Fischer lineup

Adam lineup

Playoff

Demich lineup

Josh lineup

Playoff

Miller lineup

Martin lineup