2022 week 15 · Luck Factor

Consolation

Dec 13 – 19, 2022

Martin

80.36

Big Hut

151.24

Martin lineup

Tinker Failures: 13.22 points left. Optimal 93.58 vs. actual 80.36.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Justin Fields	23.58	Justin Fields	23.58
WR	Isaiah McKenzie	4.40	Isaiah McKenzie	4.40
WR	DJ Moore	18.30	DJ Moore	18.30
RB	Miles Sanders	1.90	Nyheim Miller-Hines	9.52
RB	Chuba Hubbard	9.70	Chuba Hubbard	9.70
TE	Mark Andrews	6.10	Mark Andrews	6.10
W/R/T	Travis Homer	5.00	Travis Homer	5.00
W/R/T	Brandon Aiyuk	3.90	Trey McBride	9.50
DEF	Ravens	7.48	Ravens	7.48

Carried by One Guy: Justin Fields, 23.58 points (29.3% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Big Hut lineup

Tinker Failures: 0.00 points left. Optimal 151.24 vs. actual 151.24.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Justin Herbert	10.72	Justin Herbert	10.72
WR	DeVonta Smith	19.60	DeVonta Smith	19.60
WR	Drake London	12.00	Drake London	12.00
RB	Ezekiel Elliott	15.10	Ezekiel Elliott	15.10
RB	Austin Ekeler	15.00	Austin Ekeler	15.00
TE	Dawson Knox	21.80	Dawson Knox	21.80
W/R/T	Jerick McKinnon	34.20	Jerick McKinnon	34.20
W/R/T	James Conner	18.10	James Conner	18.10
DEF	Vikings	4.72	Vikings	4.72

Carried by One Guy: Jerick McKinnon, 34.20 points (22.6% of positive starter points).

Consolation

Dec 13 – 19, 2022

Josh

153.75

Kev

103.92

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 2.26 points left. Optimal 156.01 vs. actual 153.75.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Patrick Mahomes	34.74	Patrick Mahomes	34.74
WR	Mike Evans	13.30	Mike Evans	13.30
WR	JuJu Smith-Schuster	16.80	JuJu Smith-Schuster	16.80
RB	Joe Mixon	10.40	Joe Mixon	10.40
RB	Isiah Pacheco	9.64	James Cook III	11.90
TE	Austin Hooper	5.30	Austin Hooper	5.30
W/R/T	Zay Jones	36.90	Zay Jones	36.90
W/R/T	David Montgomery	24.10	David Montgomery	24.10
DEF	Jets	2.57	Jets	2.57

Carried by One Guy: Zay Jones, 36.90 points (24.0% of positive starter points).

Kev lineup

Tinker Failures: 30.40 points left. Optimal 134.32 vs. actual 103.92.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Josh Allen	37.86	Josh Allen	37.86
WR	Allen Lazard	1.70	Curtis Samuel	7.50
WR	Hollywood Brown	5.90	Hollywood Brown	5.90
RB	Leonard Fournette	11.40	Leonard Fournette	11.40
RB	Alvin Kamara	12.40	Alvin Kamara	12.40
TE	George Kittle	25.30	George Kittle	25.30
W/R/T	Dalton Schultz	3.50	Dalton Schultz	3.50
W/R/T	Treylon Burks	0.00	Tyler Allgeier	24.60
DEF	Cowboys	5.86	Cowboys	5.86

Carried by One Guy: Josh Allen, 37.86 points (36.4% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Playoff

Dec 13 – 19, 2022

Miller

109.04

Krajcik

145.95

Miller lineup

Tinker Failures: 10.10 points left. Optimal 119.14 vs. actual 109.04.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jalen Hurts	36.70	Jalen Hurts	36.70
WR	Tyreek Hill	21.90	Tyreek Hill	21.90
WR	Gabe Davis	9.60	Gabe Davis	9.60
RB	Jonathan Taylor	2.30	Travis Etienne Jr.	14.70
RB	Bam Knight	2.30	Rachaad White	5.30
TE	Pat Freiermuth	0.00	Pat Freiermuth	0.00
W/R/T	Travis Etienne Jr.	14.70	Elijah Moore	9.40
W/R/T	Brian Robinson	11.70	Brian Robinson	11.70
DEF	49ers	9.84	49ers	9.84

Carried by One Guy: Jalen Hurts, 36.70 points (33.7% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Krajcik lineup

Tinker Failures: 6.70 points left. Optimal 152.65 vs. actual 145.95.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jared Goff	14.08	Jared Goff	14.08
WR	DK Metcalf	12.50	CeeDee Lamb	21.70
WR	CeeDee Lamb	21.70	Amon-Ra St. Brown	15.20
RB	Raheem Mostert	19.16	Raheem Mostert	19.16
RB	Dalvin Cook	27.00	Dalvin Cook	27.00
TE	Evan Engram	14.20	Evan Engram	14.20
W/R/T	Amari Cooper	9.80	Tyler Higbee	12.70
W/R/T	Amon-Ra St. Brown	15.20	Marlon Mack	16.30
DEF	Packers	12.31	Packers	12.31

Carried by One Guy: Dalvin Cook, 27.00 points (18.5% of positive starter points).

Playoff

Dec 13 – 19, 2022

Niz

122.95

Joe Shore

101.01

Niz lineup

Tinker Failures: 3.20 points left. Optimal 126.15 vs. actual 122.95.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Joe Burrow	24.80	Joe Burrow	24.80
WR	Davante Adams	6.80	Stefon Diggs	10.70
WR	Stefon Diggs	10.70	Christian Kirk	15.20
RB	Josh Jacobs	13.00	Josh Jacobs	13.00
RB	J.K. Dobbins	15.80	J.K. Dobbins	15.80
TE	Hunter Henry	2.90	Hunter Henry	2.90
W/R/T	Christian Kirk	15.20	Devin Singletary	10.00
W/R/T	Jahan Dotson	22.50	Jahan Dotson	22.50
DEF	Patriots	11.25	Patriots	11.25

Carried by One Guy: Joe Burrow, 24.80 points (20.2% of positive starter points).

Joe Shore lineup

Tinker Failures: 12.50 points left. Optimal 113.51 vs. actual 101.01.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Tyler Huntley	5.02	Tyler Huntley	5.02
WR	A.J. Brown	29.10	A.J. Brown	29.10
WR	Parris Campbell	3.30	Romeo Doubs	10.50
RB	Christian McCaffrey	27.80	Christian McCaffrey	27.80
RB	Dare Ogunbowale	1.40	Pierre Strong Jr.	6.70
TE	Greg Dulcich	2.10	Greg Dulcich	2.10
W/R/T	DeAndre Hopkins	13.00	DeAndre Hopkins	13.00
W/R/T	Chris Olave	8.30	Chris Olave	8.30
DEF	Eagles	10.99	Eagles	10.99

Carried by One Guy: A.J. Brown, 29.10 points (28.8% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Joe Burrow scored 24.80; zeroing that score creates a win.

2022 week 15 matchups

Matchups

Consolation

Martin lineup

Big Hut lineup

Consolation

Josh lineup

Kev lineup

Playoff

Miller lineup

Krajcik lineup

Playoff

Niz lineup

Joe Shore lineup