2021 week 17 · Luck Factor

Consolation

Dec 28, 2021 – Jan 3, 2022

j-mart

61.40

Kev

82.64

j-mart lineup

Tinker Failures: 14.40 points left. Optimal 75.80 vs. actual 61.40.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Taylor Heinicke	9.28	Taylor Heinicke	9.28
WR	Jalen Guyton	3.10	Jalen Guyton	3.10
WR	Donovan Peoples-Jones	11.18	Donovan Peoples-Jones	11.18
RB	Alvin Kamara	21.00	Alvin Kamara	21.00
RB	Ronald Jones	3.70	Ronald Jones	3.70
TE	C.J. Uzomah	7.20	C.J. Uzomah	7.20
W/R/T	Kareem Hunt	0.00	Keenan Allen	14.40
W/R/T	DJ Moore	5.90	DJ Moore	5.90
K	Matt Gay	2.00	Matt Gay	2.00
DEF	Broncos	-1.96	Broncos	-1.96

Carried by One Guy: Alvin Kamara, 21.00 points (33.1% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Kev lineup

Tinker Failures: 22.60 points left. Optimal 105.24 vs. actual 82.64.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Matthew Stafford	16.26	Matthew Stafford	16.26
WR	Tyler Lockett	12.10	Tyler Lockett	12.10
WR	Justin Jefferson	11.80	Justin Jefferson	11.80
RB	David Johnson	0.00	Austin Ekeler	20.20
RB	JaMycal Hasty	2.30	JaMycal Hasty	2.30
TE	Cole Kmet	5.50	Cole Kmet	5.50
W/R/T	Antonio Brown	5.60	Odell Beckham Jr.	14.90
W/R/T	Odell Beckham Jr.	14.90	Russell Gage Jr.	8.00
K	Randy Bullock	10.00	Randy Bullock	10.00
DEF	Panthers	4.18	Panthers	4.18

Carried by One Guy: Matthew Stafford, 16.26 points (19.7% of positive starter points).

Consolation

Dec 28, 2021 – Jan 3, 2022

Martin

128.31

Josh

82.52

Martin lineup

Tinker Failures: 21.20 points left. Optimal 149.51 vs. actual 128.31.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Patrick Mahomes	20.86	Patrick Mahomes	20.86
WR	Christian Kirk	13.80	Christian Kirk	13.80
WR	Brandon Aiyuk	13.84	Brandon Aiyuk	13.84
RB	Rashaad Penny	34.50	Rashaad Penny	34.50
RB	Damien Harris	17.70	Damien Harris	17.70
TE	Dawson Knox	0.00	Dallas Goedert	13.10
W/R/T	DeVante Parker	8.60	DeVante Parker	8.60
W/R/T	Dallas Goedert	13.10	D'Onta Foreman	21.20
K	Harrison Butker	7.00	Harrison Butker	7.00
DEF	Jaguars	-1.09	Jaguars	-1.09

Carried by One Guy: Rashaad Penny, 34.50 points (26.7% of positive starter points).

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 4.30 points left. Optimal 86.82 vs. actual 82.52.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Aaron Rodgers	20.32	Aaron Rodgers	20.32
WR	Terry McLaurin	13.10	Terry McLaurin	13.10
WR	Jerry Jeudy	0.00	CeeDee Lamb	8.40
RB	Sony Michel	18.90	Sony Michel	18.90
RB	Alexander Mattison	5.30	Alexander Mattison	5.30
TE	Mike Gesicki	9.10	Mike Gesicki	9.10
W/R/T	Myles Gaskin	2.30	Dalvin Cook	4.30
W/R/T	CeeDee Lamb	8.40	Myles Gaskin	2.30
K	Greg Zuerlein	2.00	Greg Zuerlein	2.00
DEF	Buccaneers	3.10	Buccaneers	3.10

Carried by One Guy: Aaron Rodgers, 20.32 points (24.6% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Playoff

Dec 28, 2021 – Jan 3, 2022

Miller

135.72

Big Hut

109.67

Miller lineup

Tinker Failures: 31.20 points left. Optimal 166.92 vs. actual 135.72.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jalen Hurts	12.96	Jalen Hurts	12.96
WR	DK Metcalf	30.90	DK Metcalf	30.90
WR	Hunter Renfrow	21.88	Hunter Renfrow	21.88
RB	D'Andre Swift	5.90	AJ Dillon	22.30
RB	Javonte Williams	4.20	Jaret Patterson	20.80
TE	Gerald Everett	6.60	Pat Freiermuth	7.20
W/R/T	Michael Pittman Jr.	10.70	Michael Pittman Jr.	10.70
W/R/T	AJ Dillon	22.30	Darnell Mooney	19.90
K	Mason Crosby	13.00	Mason Crosby	13.00
DEF	Eagles	7.28	Eagles	7.28

Carried by One Guy: DK Metcalf, 30.90 points (22.8% of positive starter points).

Big Hut lineup

Tinker Failures: 8.50 points left. Optimal 118.17 vs. actual 109.67.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Justin Herbert	17.68	Justin Herbert	17.68
WR	Tyreek Hill	10.20	Tyreek Hill	10.20
WR	Kenny Golladay	0.00	Mike Williams	15.30
RB	Mike Davis	12.70	Mike Davis	12.70
RB	Jonathan Taylor	20.40	Jonathan Taylor	20.40
TE	Noah Fant	21.20	Noah Fant	21.20
W/R/T	Mike Williams	15.30	Le'Veon Bell	8.50
W/R/T	Chase Claypool	4.70	Chase Claypool	4.70
K	Nick Folk	8.00	Nick Folk	8.00
DEF	Dolphins	-0.51	Dolphins	-0.51

Carried by One Guy: Noah Fant, 21.20 points (19.2% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: DK Metcalf scored 30.90; zeroing that score creates a win.

Playoff

Dec 28, 2021 – Jan 3, 2022

Demich

185.77

Krajcik

155.27

Demich lineup

Tinker Failures: 11.40 points left. Optimal 197.17 vs. actual 185.77.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Dak Prescott	23.04	Dak Prescott	23.04
WR	Deebo Samuel Sr.	17.20	Deebo Samuel Sr.	17.20
WR	Tee Higgins	9.20	K.J. Osborn	14.00
RB	Josh Jacobs	18.00	Rex Burkhead	13.90
RB	Michael Carter	7.30	Josh Jacobs	18.00
TE	Travis Kelce	13.40	Travis Kelce	13.40
W/R/T	Amon-Ra St. Brown	37.40	Amon-Ra St. Brown	37.40
W/R/T	Elijah Mitchell	23.00	Elijah Mitchell	23.00
K	Chris Boswell	16.00	Chris Boswell	16.00
DEF	Bears	21.23	Bears	21.23

Carried by One Guy: Amon-Ra St. Brown, 37.40 points (20.1% of positive starter points).

Krajcik lineup

Tinker Failures: 9.48 points left. Optimal 164.75 vs. actual 155.27.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Kyler Murray	22.92	Kyler Murray	22.92
WR	Hollywood Brown	3.80	Cole Beasley	6.20
WR	Ja'Marr Chase	57.60	Ja'Marr Chase	57.60
RB	Dare Ogunbowale	14.80	Dare Ogunbowale	14.80
RB	Tony Pollard	8.80	Tony Pollard	8.80
TE	George Kittle	4.50	George Kittle	4.50
W/R/T	Brandin Cooks	19.60	Brandin Cooks	19.60
W/R/T	Deonte Harty	5.72	Rashod Bateman	12.80
K	Daniel Carlson	13.00	Daniel Carlson	13.00
DEF	Seahawks	4.53	Seahawks	4.53

Carried by One Guy: Ja'Marr Chase, 57.60 points (37.1% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Amon-Ra St. Brown scored 37.40; zeroing that score creates a win.

2021 week 17 matchups

Matchups

Consolation

j-mart lineup

Kev lineup

Consolation

Martin lineup

Josh lineup

Playoff

Miller lineup

Big Hut lineup

Playoff

Demich lineup

Krajcik lineup