2024 week 17 · Luck Factor

Consolation

Dec 24 – 30, 2024

j-mart

125.80

Krajcik

98.08

j-mart lineup

Tinker Failures: 1.44 points left. Optimal 127.24 vs. actual 125.80.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Josh Allen	22.98	Josh Allen	22.98
WR	Amon-Ra St. Brown	20.00	Amon-Ra St. Brown	20.00
WR	Drake London	19.60	Drake London	19.60
RB	Kareem Hunt	8.00	Kareem Hunt	8.00
RB	James Conner	2.80	Devin Singletary	4.00
TE	Mike Gesicki	18.60	Mike Gesicki	18.60
W/R/T	Garrett Wilson	17.60	Garrett Wilson	17.60
W/R/T	Tre Tucker	11.46	Keon Coleman	11.70
DEF	Titans	4.76	Titans	4.76

Carried by One Guy: Josh Allen, 22.98 points (18.3% of positive starter points).

Krajcik lineup

Tinker Failures: 33.06 points left. Optimal 131.14 vs. actual 98.08.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jordan Love	14.00	Baker Mayfield	36.56
WR	Jordan Addison	18.90	Jordan Addison	18.90
WR	Quentin Johnston	9.80	Quentin Johnston	9.80
RB	Jamaal Williams	3.40	Breece Hall	6.30
RB	Breece Hall	6.30	Isaac Guerendo	13.90
TE	Travis Kelce	22.40	Travis Kelce	22.40
W/R/T	Courtland Sutton	16.50	Courtland Sutton	16.50
W/R/T	Jalen Coker	5.50	Jalen Coker	5.50
DEF	49ers	1.28	49ers	1.28

Avoidable loss: the best full lineup would have tied or won.

Carried by One Guy: Travis Kelce, 22.40 points (22.8% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

Consolation

Dec 24 – 30, 2024

Kev

123.21

Demich

125.81

Kev lineup

Tinker Failures: 10.20 points left. Optimal 133.41 vs. actual 123.21.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jayden Daniels	33.78	Jayden Daniels	33.78
WR	Amari Cooper	14.60	Amari Cooper	14.60
WR	Xavier Legette	7.80	Xavier Legette	7.80
RB	James Cook III	11.30	James Cook III	11.30
RB	Jahmyr Gibbs	28.30	Jahmyr Gibbs	28.30
TE	George Kittle	21.20	George Kittle	21.20
W/R/T	Hunter Henry	0.00	Tucker Kraft	7.30
W/R/T	Isiah Pacheco	1.80	Devaughn Vele	4.70
DEF	Cardinals	4.43	Cardinals	4.43

Avoidable loss: the best full lineup would have tied or won.

Carried by One Guy: Jayden Daniels, 33.78 points (27.4% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Michael Pittman Jr. scored 27.90; zeroing that score creates a win.

Demich lineup

Tinker Failures: 12.02 points left. Optimal 137.83 vs. actual 125.81.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Bo Nix	21.86	Patrick Mahomes	28.00
WR	Michael Pittman Jr.	27.90	Michael Pittman Jr.	27.90
WR	Rome Odunze	2.50	Michael Wilson	6.90
RB	Aaron Jones Sr.	11.70	Aaron Jones Sr.	11.70
RB	Rachaad White	4.40	Isaiah Davis	5.88
TE	Pat Freiermuth	11.00	Pat Freiermuth	11.00
W/R/T	D'Andre Swift	12.10	D'Andre Swift	12.10
W/R/T	DeMario Douglas	14.60	DeMario Douglas	14.60
DEF	Eagles	19.75	Eagles	19.75

Carried by One Guy: Michael Pittman Jr., 27.90 points (22.2% of positive starter points).

Playoff

Dec 24 – 30, 2024

Nevans

118.72

Fischer

124.36

Nevans lineup

Tinker Failures: 5.70 points left. Optimal 124.42 vs. actual 118.72.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jared Goff	27.82	Jared Goff	27.82
WR	Davante Adams	9.70	Davante Adams	9.70
WR	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	6.20	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	6.20
RB	Derrick Henry	26.50	Derrick Henry	26.50
RB	Saquon Barkley	20.90	Saquon Barkley	20.90
TE	Grant Calcaterra	4.40	Grant Calcaterra	4.40
W/R/T	Ray-Ray McCloud III	3.70	Ray-Ray McCloud III	3.70
W/R/T	Rashod Bateman	2.20	Isaiah Likely	7.90
DEF	Ravens	17.30	Ravens	17.30

Avoidable loss: the best full lineup would have tied or won.

Carried by One Guy: Jared Goff, 27.82 points (23.4% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: Brock Purdy scored 32.28; zeroing that score creates a win.

Fischer lineup

Tinker Failures: 21.86 points left. Optimal 146.22 vs. actual 124.36.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Brock Purdy	32.28	Brock Purdy	32.28
WR	Nico Collins	8.90	Brandin Cooks	9.20
WR	Brian Thomas Jr.	23.90	Brian Thomas Jr.	23.90
RB	De'Von Achane	5.80	Rico Dowdle	11.80
RB	Tyrone Tracy Jr.	9.30	Tyrone Tracy Jr.	9.30
TE	Brock Bowers	14.60	Brock Bowers	14.60
W/R/T	Brian Robinson	8.90	Tyreek Hill	21.86
W/R/T	Dontayvion Wicks	8.30	Chig Okonkwo	10.90
DEF	Dolphins	12.38	Dolphins	12.38

Carried by One Guy: Brock Purdy, 32.28 points (26.0% of positive starter points).

Playoff

Dec 24 – 30, 2024

Josh

115.85

Joe Shore

82.50

Josh lineup

Tinker Failures: 21.00 points left. Optimal 136.85 vs. actual 115.85.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Sam Darnold	26.78	Sam Darnold	26.78
WR	Justin Jefferson	17.20	Justin Jefferson	17.20
WR	Ja'Marr Chase	21.20	Ja'Marr Chase	21.20
RB	Najee Harris	10.10	Craig Reynolds	8.60
RB	Kendre Miller	2.90	Najee Harris	10.10
TE	Jake Ferguson	2.80	Jake Ferguson	2.80
W/R/T	Ameer Abdullah	19.78	Ameer Abdullah	19.78
W/R/T	Brenton Strange	0.00	J.K. Dobbins	15.30
DEF	Bills	15.09	Bills	15.09

Carried by One Guy: Sam Darnold, 26.78 points (23.1% of positive starter points).

Joe Shore lineup

Tinker Failures: 22.10 points left. Optimal 104.60 vs. actual 82.50.

Slot	Actual	Pts	Optimal	Pts
QB	Jalen Hurts	0.00	Jalen Hurts	0.00
WR	Cooper Kupp	3.90	A.J. Brown	12.60
WR	A.J. Brown	12.60	Jameson Williams	24.50
RB	Joe Mixon	5.90	Chase Brown	13.10
RB	Chase Brown	13.10	Bucky Irving	25.00
TE	T.J. Hockenson	11.80	T.J. Hockenson	11.80
W/R/T	DK Metcalf	7.20	DK Metcalf	7.20
W/R/T	Bucky Irving	25.00	Malik Washington	7.40
DEF	Packers	3.00	Packers	3.00

Carried by One Guy: Bucky Irving, 25.00 points (30.3% of positive starter points).

Opponent's Final Boss: No single-player result flip.

2024 week 17 matchups

Matchups

Consolation

j-mart lineup

Krajcik lineup

Consolation

Kev lineup

Demich lineup

Playoff

Nevans lineup

Fischer lineup

Playoff

Josh lineup

Joe Shore lineup